Welcome to week 16's Upset Watch.

Last week was a mixed bag, with many injury-hit games yielding 2 underdog winners from our 6 picks (Thanks Chicago...), meaning we finished with a small loss. Our winner picks are still in profit for the season, and the last 3 weeks of the season present multiple big opportunities for us to win big.

If you're new to Pickwatch, or have never read Upset Watch, here's what we do:

With over 35% of NFL games ending in an underdog outright win, it's important to know when upsets are most likely to occur, and which teams to pick. Last season, we had our third straight winning season, with a combined winning total of over +$8,000 in that time.

Starting every Wednesday, we select a number of underdogs that have a statistically higher chance of winning or covering than others. These are not pool picks, and we only track the performance of our underdog winner and cover picks. Our aim is to come out of each season profitable, which we've done 3 seasons in a row.

Read on for this week's quick pick list, and click any game on the left for analysis added between Wednesday and Friday (or later where injuries are in play).