Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/16/2024 9:40 PM EST
We have your Houston Astros at San Diego Padres prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Houston Astros hit the road to face the San Diego Padres.
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Odds Info
Best Moneyline Odds: Houston Astros +115 (bet365) / San Diego Padres -135 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Houston Astros -185 (DraftKings) / San Diego Padres +154 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 8.0 - Under -120 (bet365) / 7.5 - Over -120 (ESPN BET)
Game Info
Date: 9/16/2024
Time: 9:40 PM EST
Location: Petco Park (San Diego, California)
TV: MLB.TV
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Over the past two seasons, the Houston Astros and San Diego Padres have faced each other in three games. The Astros emerged victorious in two of these encounters, while the Padres secured a win in one. The home team has generally had the upper hand, winning two out of the three games, with the visiting team claiming victory only once. In terms of betting outcomes, the Astros have covered the spread twice, whereas the Padres have done so once. All three games have gone over the total score line, with none falling under. The games have been characterized by high-scoring affairs, with the total score exceeding the set over-under in each instance.
The most recent matchup between these teams took place on September 10, 2023, where the Houston Astros defeated the San Diego Padres with a decisive 12-2 victory. The Astros, playing at home, were the favorites with a moneyline of -145, and they comfortably covered the spread. The game saw the Astros' offense come alive, particularly in the 6th inning, where they scored eight runs. José Altuve's two-run home run in the 3rd inning set the tone for the Astros, while Kyle Tucker and Yainer Diaz also contributed significantly to the scoring. The Padres managed to score only two runs, both from solo home runs by Matt Carpenter and Eguy Rosario. The Astros' pitching staff was effective, allowing only two earned runs over nine innings, while the Padres' pitchers struggled, giving up 12 runs.
In the previous two games of the series, the Astros and Padres each claimed a victory. On September 9, 2023, the Astros won 7-5, with the game going over the total score line. The Astros were again the favorites and managed to cover the spread. The Padres' lone victory came on September 8, 2023, when they defeated the Astros 11-2. In this game, the Padres were the underdogs but managed to win convincingly, covering the spread and contributing to the over result. Across these games, the Astros have shown a strong offensive performance, consistently putting up high run totals, while the Padres have had mixed results, with one dominant win and two losses.
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Preview
The Houston Astros and San Diego Padres are set to clash in what promises to be an electrifying series opener at Petco Park. Both teams are riding high on winning streaks, with the Astros having secured four consecutive victories and the Padres coming off three straight wins. This matchup is particularly intriguing as it pits two teams with potent offenses against each other, both eager to maintain their momentum as the regular season nears its conclusion.
On the mound, the Padres will rely on Yu Darvish, who has been a steady presence with a 5-3 record and a 3.52 ERA. Darvish's ability to control the game will be crucial against an Astros lineup known for its slugging prowess, ranking eighth in MLB with a .419 team slugging percentage. The Astros will counter with Spencer Arrighetti, who has had a challenging season with a 7-12 record and a 4.72 ERA. However, Arrighetti's 158 strikeouts indicate his potential to dominate when he's on his game.
Offensively, the Padres will look to Jurickson Profar and Luis Arraez to lead the charge. Profar has been a consistent power threat with 26 doubles and 22 home runs, while Arraez has been on a tear, hitting .457 over his last 10 games. The Astros, meanwhile, will depend on the likes of Jose Altuve and Yainer Diaz. Altuve, hitting .301 with 28 doubles and 19 home runs, remains a key figure in the Astros' lineup, while Diaz has been in fine form, batting .326 over his last 10 games.
Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, as evidenced by their recent performances. The Padres' recent victory over the Giants featured a late-game offensive surge, while the Astros' win against the Angels was marked by a strong showing from their lineup. With both teams' offenses firing on all cylinders, this game has the potential to be another high-scoring affair, setting the stage for an exciting contest under the lights in San Diego.
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Pick: Total Runs Over
When evaluating the upcoming matchup between the Houston Astros and the San Diego Padres, the case for betting on the total runs to go over is compelling. Both teams have demonstrated a strong offensive presence in recent games, making a high-scoring affair likely. The Astros, with a team slugging percentage of .419, rank eighth in MLB, showcasing their ability to generate runs consistently. Key players like Jose Altuve, who is hitting .301 with 28 doubles and 19 home runs, and Yainer Diaz, who has been batting .326 over his last 10 games, are pivotal to the Astros' offensive success. Their recent 6-4 victory over the Angels further underscores their capability to put runs on the board, with Jason Heyward leading the charge offensively.
On the other side, the Padres have been equally impressive, particularly with Jurickson Profar and Luis Arraez leading their lineup. Profar's 26 doubles and 22 home runs highlight his power-hitting ability, while Arraez's recent form, hitting .457 over his last 10 games, adds depth to their batting order. The Padres' recent 4-3 win over the Giants, where they showcased a late-game offensive surge, is indicative of their potential to score in bunches.
Historically, encounters between these two teams have been characterized by high-scoring outcomes. In their last three meetings, all games have exceeded the total score line, with none falling under. The most recent matchup saw the Astros dominate with a 12-2 victory, further emphasizing the trend of high-scoring games. With both teams riding winning streaks and their offenses firing on all cylinders, the stage is set for another explosive contest. Given these factors, betting on the total runs to go over appears to be a prudent choice for this matchup at Petco Park.
Houston Astros at San Diego Padres Top Player Prop Picks
Yu Darvish Over 4.5 Strikeouts -100 (FanDuel)
Yu Darvish has been a reliable force on the mound for the San Diego Padres, boasting a 5-3 record with a 3.52 ERA. His ability to control the game and rack up strikeouts is well-documented, making the over on 4.5 strikeouts an enticing proposition. Facing a Houston Astros lineup that, while potent, can be susceptible to strikeouts, Darvish's track record suggests he can surpass this line. His command and experience will be crucial in navigating through the Astros' order, and with the Padres' recent momentum, Darvish is poised to deliver a strong performance.
Jurickson Profar Over 0.5 Total Bases -140 (bet365)
Jurickson Profar has been a consistent contributor to the Padres' offense, with 26 doubles and 22 home runs this season. His ability to get on base and drive the ball makes the over on 0.5 total bases a solid pick. Profar's recent form, coupled with the Padres' offensive surge, suggests he will have ample opportunities to make an impact against Spencer Arrighetti, who has struggled with a 4.72 ERA. Profar's knack for finding gaps and his power-hitting capability make this prop a favorable bet.
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Singles -125 (bet365)
Jose Altuve remains a pivotal figure in the Astros' lineup, hitting .301 with 28 doubles and 19 home runs. His ability to consistently make contact and find gaps in the defense makes the over on 0.5 singles a compelling choice. Altuve's recent performances have been impressive, and his knack for getting on base will be crucial against Yu Darvish. Given his track record and the Astros' offensive prowess, Altuve is well-positioned to notch at least one single in this matchup.
