Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/26/2025 6:40 PM EDT

We have your Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Atlanta Braves hit the road to face the Miami Marlins.

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Atlanta Braves -125 on BetMGM / Miami Marlins +110 on Caesars
Best Spread Odds: Atlanta Braves -1.0 (+102) on BetRivers / Miami Marlins +1.5 (-156) on FanDuel
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-120) on ESPN BET / Under 8.0 (-110) on FanDuel

Game Info

Date: August 26, 2025
Time: 6:40 PM EDT
Location: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
TV: FDSSO

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins Preview

The Atlanta Braves (59-72) travel to loanDepot park to continue their series against the Miami Marlins (62-69). The Braves, currently fourth in the NL East, have faced a challenging season marked by injuries and inconsistencies, particularly evident in their 26-39 road record. Their pitching staff holds a 4.38 ERA, and the offense ranks 16th in runs scored, a notable drop from their dominant form in previous years. Rookie right-hander Hurston Waldrep (0.73 ERA in 31.2 career innings) will take the mound for Atlanta. Waldrep has been a bright spot, boasting a 4-0 record since August 2nd, and previously held the Marlins to just one run over six innings in a recent Braves victory.

The Miami Marlins, sitting third in the NL East, have shown flashes of potential this season, despite a 31-35 home record. Their pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA, and the offense ranks 19th in runs scored. Miami will counter with veteran right-hander Sandy Alcantara, the 2022 Cy Young winner, who is working his way back from Tommy John surgery. Alcantara carries a 6.04 ERA through 134.0 innings this season, though he has shown recent improvement, allowing only two earned runs over his last 13 innings across two starts. The Marlins edged the Braves 2-1 in the series opener on Monday, with a strong pitching performance from Edward Cabrera and a key home run from Maximo Acosta.

Injuries for the Braves include Chris Sale (60-Day-IL), Aaron Bummer (15-Day-IL), and Austin Riley (10-Day-IL). The Marlins are without Ryan Weathers (60-Day-IL) and Anthony Bender (15-Day-IL). loanDepot park, traditionally pitcher-friendly, has shown a more neutral profile this season with a 1.131 run factor, ranking it second among MLB venues, though it still slightly suppresses home runs.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The head-to-head history between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins shows a significant advantage for the Braves overall, with 102 wins (44 on the road) compared to the Marlins' 54 victories (28 at home). However, recent matchups have been much more competitive. In their last 10 meetings, the record is evenly split at 5-5. When playing in Miami, the Marlins have shown a strong home advantage against the Braves, winning 4 of the last 5 games played at loanDepot park, including Monday's 2-1 victory.

Historically, games between these two teams tend to be lower-scoring. The Under has hit in 6 of their last 10 head-to-head encounters, and notably, the Under is 4-1 in their last five games played in Miami. This trend suggests that despite the park's recent slight shift towards being more hitter-friendly, the pitching matchups between these two clubs often lead to tighter, lower-scoring contests.

Pick: Under 8.0 Total Runs

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Despite both teams ranking in the bottom-10 in team ERA this season, their head-to-head matchups frequently result in lower-scoring affairs. The Under has been a consistent trend, hitting in 6 of the last 10 meetings and 4 of the last 5 games played in Miami. While the total has climbed to 8.0, the historical data and recent performances, including Monday's 2-1 Marlins victory, suggest that runs will be at a premium. Both starting pitchers, Hurston Waldrep and Sandy Alcantara, have shown flashes of brilliance, and the Marlins' home field advantage in this specific matchup points towards a tighter game. You can find the best odds for Under 8.0 total runs at -110 on FanDuel.

Top Player Prop Picks

Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Bases

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Ozzie Albies has demonstrated a strong ability to get on base and accumulate bases, hitting the over on this line in 73.33% of his last 15 games and 65.65% over the entire season. His average bases over his last 15 games is 1.6, well above the 0.5 line. Historically, Albies has performed well against Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara, with 13 hits, including four doubles and two home runs, in 45 at-bats, resulting in a .289 batting average and a .511 slugging percentage. This favorable individual matchup, combined with his consistent recent performance, makes the Over 0.5 Bases a compelling pick. The best odds for this prop are -190 on Caesars.

Drake Baldwin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Drake Baldwin has been a productive hitter for the Braves, especially against the Marlins. He has hit the over on 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs in 70% of his last 10 games, with an average of 2.9 over that span. More impressively, against the Marlins in 2025, Baldwin has hit the over in 88.89% of his 9 appearances, averaging 4.22 Hits + Runs + RBIs. He also contributed a solo home run in Monday's game against Miami. Given his recent form and strong performance specifically against this opponent, taking the Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs is a strong play. The best odds for this prop are -105 on Caesars.

Hurston Waldrep Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

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Rookie Hurston Waldrep has quickly established himself as a strikeout threat for the Braves. He has hit the over on 4.5 strikeouts in 60% of his last 5 starts, averaging 5.2 strikeouts per game. Over the entire season, he has cleared this line in 75% of his appearances, with an average of 6.0 strikeouts. In his lone appearance against the Marlins in 2025, Waldrep recorded 6 strikeouts, hitting the over on this line. With an average of nearly a strikeout per inning in his young career, and facing a Marlins lineup that can be prone to swing-and-miss, Waldrep is well-positioned to exceed this total. The best odds for this prop are +114 on FanDuel.