Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/29/2025 6:45 PM EDT

We have your Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Atlanta Braves hit the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies.

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -178 (Caesars) / Atlanta Braves +160 (Fanduel)
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -1.0 -134 (BetRivers) / Atlanta Braves +1.5 -120 (Fanduel)
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 -110 (Fanduel) / Under 9.5 -130 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-29
Time: 6:45 PM EDT
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
TV: NBCS-PH

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves in what promises to be another exciting chapter in their divisional rivalry. The Phillies are coming off an explosive 19-4 victory over the Braves yesterday, a game highlighted by Kyle Schwarber's historic four-home run, nine-RBI performance. Bryce Harper also contributed with his 22nd home run of the season, showcasing the Phillies' potent offense, especially at home where they boast a 42-22 record this season.

Taking the mound for the Phillies will be left-hander Ranger Suárez (10-6, 3.07 ERA). Suárez has been in dominant form recently, allowing just two runs across his last 13.2 innings while striking out 21 batters and issuing no walks. He has been particularly effective against the Braves this year, yielding only one run in 13 innings across two starts. His renewed command makes him a formidable presence.

The Atlanta Braves will counter with right-hander Bryce Elder (5-9, 6.12 ERA). Elder has faced significant challenges this season, particularly against the Phillies. In three career appearances against Philadelphia, he holds an 0-1 record with a concerning 9.23 ERA, having walked 11 batters in just 12.2 innings. The Braves' offense, despite averaging 5.5 runs per game in August, will need to step up to support Elder against a red-hot Phillies lineup.

Citizens Bank Park is known to be a hitter-friendly venue, ranking 10th in overall park factor and notably 115 for home runs, suggesting favorable conditions for offensive production. The Phillies also hold a strong 59-36 record against right-handed pitchers this season, which bodes well for their matchup against Elder. The Braves, meanwhile, are 17-16 against left-handed starters like Suárez.

Both teams are dealing with injuries, with the Braves having several key players on the 60-Day IL, including Chris Sale and Aaron Bummer, and third baseman Austin Riley on the 10-Day IL. The Phillies are without Jordan Romano and Zack Wheeler, both on the 15-Day IL.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have held the upper hand in recent matchups against the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies are 5-2 in their last seven head-to-head meetings against the Braves, and their home advantage has been evident, with a 4-1 record in their last five meetings in Philadelphia. This season, Philadelphia leads the season series 6-4.

Recent results highlight the Phillies' dominance in this rivalry, including a commanding 19-4 victory yesterday and a 13-0 thrashing on June 27th in Atlanta. While the Braves have secured some wins, such as a 6-1 victory on June 28th and a 9-3 win on May 29th, the Phillies have consistently shown their ability to overpower Atlanta, especially at Citizens Bank Park.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.0 Run Line

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The Philadelphia Phillies are poised to continue their strong performance against the Atlanta Braves. Coming off a massive 19-4 win, their offense is firing on all cylinders, and they return home where they have a formidable 43-22 record this season. The pitching matchup heavily favors the Phillies, with Ranger Suárez in excellent form, having dominated his last two starts and consistently performed well against the Braves this year.

Conversely, Bryce Elder has struggled significantly against this Phillies lineup throughout his career, posting a 9.23 ERA in their matchups. The Phillies' strong record against right-handed pitching (59-36) further reinforces their advantage. Sharp money is also backing the Phillies, with a 62.74% sharp win percentage on their moneyline and a 54.77% sharp win percentage on the -1.0 spread. Given the recent offensive explosion, the favorable pitching matchup, and the home-field advantage, backing the Phillies to cover the -1.0 run line at -134 odds offers excellent value.

Top Player Prop Picks

Nick Castellanos Over Total Bases

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Nick Castellanos has an exceptional career track record against Bryce Elder. In just 8 plate appearances, Castellanos has collected 4 hits, all of which were home runs, resulting in a staggering .500 batting average and a 2.000 slugging percentage. With Citizens Bank Park being a hitter-friendly venue, especially for home runs, Castellanos is in a prime position to rack up total bases against Elder.

Trea Turner Over Total Bases

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Trea Turner has also found considerable success when facing Bryce Elder. In 10 career plate appearances against Elder, Turner has recorded 3 hits, including a double and a home run, leading to a .429 batting average and a 1.000 slugging percentage. His ability to hit for extra bases against Elder makes him a strong candidate to exceed his total bases prop in this matchup.

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs

While Kyle Schwarber's career head-to-head stats against Bryce Elder are surprisingly quiet (0 hits in 9 plate appearances), his current form is undeniable. Schwarber just made history yesterday by hitting four home runs in a single game, driving in nine runs. His power bat is red-hot, and with Citizens Bank Park's favorable home run park factor (115), Schwarber is a prime candidate to hit another long ball. His recent performance and the park conditions outweigh his past struggles against Elder, making the over 0.5 home runs a high-upside play.