6Here is the Pickwatch BetSmart Preview for the Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game in Week 15 of the 2025 NFL Season.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Info

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, Florida
TV: Amazon Prime Video

Falcons vs. Bucs Betting Odds

Point Spread
- Falcons +5
- Bucs -5
Moneyline
- Falcons +220
- Bucs -260
Total
- Over/Under 44.5

Season Betting Records

Moneyline
- Falcons: 4-9
- Bucs: 7-6
Against the Spread
- Falcons: 5-7-1
- Bucs: 5-8
Totals (Over-Under)
- Falcons: 6-6-1
- Bucs: 7-6

Atlanta Falcons (4-9) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) Preview

The Falcons enter tonight’s divisional matchup with a run-heavy offensive identity that has leaned on efficiency and ball control to stay competitive in recent weeks. Their quarterback play has stabilized, the offensive line has played better in pass protection, and Bijan Robinson remains the centerpiece of a scheme built around misdirection and zone-running concepts. Indoors, Atlanta tends to play a faster tempo, but outdoors in Tampa they’ll focus more on methodical drives and limiting turnovers.

Tampa Bay comes in riding an offense that has grown increasingly efficient behind Baker Mayfield, who has been particularly sharp at home. Mike Evans continues to be among the league’s highest-value deep threats, while Chris Godwin’s usage on crossers and middle-field routes has increased. Defensively, the Bucs bring one of the league’s most disruptive front sevens, generating pressure without blitzing and forcing opponents into long down-and-distance situations.

Injury-wise, Tampa Bay is dealing with several defensive injuries in the secondary and at linebacker, which could make them vulnerable to Atlanta’s play-action game and intermediate throws. Atlanta enters with questions along the defensive interior and at cornerback, areas that Mayfield and Evans will look to target early. Both teams have key starters listed as questionable, and in-game availability may shift matchups.

This game pits contrasting strengths: Atlanta’s ball control vs. Tampa’s explosive passing. The Bucs have the edge at home with their offensive rhythm and pass-rush consistency, but if the Falcons run efficiently and keep Mayfield on the sideline, this could tighten quickly. Expect a competitive NFC South game shaped by red-zone execution and which team avoids a costly turnover late.

Falcons/Bucs Head-to-Head (H2H) Stats and Analysis

The Atlanta Falcons are tied with Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the all-time series 32-32. Here's their last 5 games:

Atlanta Falcons 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 — September 7, 2025
Atlanta Falcons 31, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26 — October 27, 2024
Atlanta Falcons 36, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — October 3, 2024
Atlanta Falcons 25, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29 — December 10, 2023
Atlanta Falcons 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 — October 22, 2023

BetSmart Betting Rundown

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NOTE: All available bets are as of time of publication. Odds and lines change often, so be sure to check each subsequent Pickwatch betting tool for the latest numbers.

Arbitrage

Our Arbitrage Betting Tool is currently identifying 3 arbitrage betting opportunities for guaranteed profit.

Middles

Our Middle Betting Tool is currently identifying 10 middle betting opportunities.

Positive EV

Our Positive EV Betting Tool is currently identifying 14 different positive expected value wagers, and provided data on the expected value percentrage, and how often the bet has hit in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Player Props

Our Prop Finder Tool is currently providing data for 292 different player prop bets, showing subscribers how often each player has hit the specific prop in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Falcons vs. Bucs: Expert Picks

Visit our Expert Picks page to view picks and data from over 200 experts to see where the consensus is on the Falcons vs. Bucs moneyline, point spread and total points.