Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/12/2024 8:15 PM EST

We have your Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Buffalo Bills hit the road to face the Miami Dolphins.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Buffalo Bills +105 (DraftKings) / Miami Dolphins -125 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Buffalo Bills -110 (BetRivers) / Miami Dolphins -110 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 49.0 - Under -110 (DraftKings) / 48.5 - Over -115 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 9/12/2024
Time: 8:15 PM EST
Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
TV: Prime Video

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins have faced each other five times, with the Bills emerging victorious in four of those encounters. The Dolphins managed to secure a single win during this period. The home team has generally held the advantage, winning four out of the five games, while the visiting team has only won once. In terms of betting outcomes, the Bills have covered the spread twice, whereas the Dolphins have done so three times. The games have been relatively high-scoring, with the total score going over the set line in three instances and staying under in two.

The most recent matchup between these two teams took place on January 7, 2024, where the Buffalo Bills defeated the Miami Dolphins 21-14. The game was characterized by a strong defensive showing from both sides, with each team committing multiple turnovers. Buffalo's offense accumulated 473 total yards and 26 first downs, despite turning the ball over three times. Miami, on the other hand, managed 275 total yards and 16 first downs, also struggling with two interceptions. The Bills' victory was secured in the fourth quarter with a 5-yard touchdown pass from Josh Allen to Dawson Knox, following a game-tying 96-yard punt return touchdown by Deonte Harty.

In the context of these five games, the Bills have consistently demonstrated offensive prowess, often outgaining the Dolphins in total yards. However, both teams have shown vulnerabilities in ball security, with turnovers being a recurring theme. The Dolphins have occasionally managed to exploit these weaknesses, as evidenced by their ability to cover the spread more frequently. The scoring patterns suggest that while the games have been competitive, the Bills have generally had the upper hand, particularly when playing at home. As the teams prepare to face off again, these historical trends provide a backdrop for what could be another closely contested matchup.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Preview

The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins are set to clash in a highly anticipated Week 2 matchup, with both teams coming off narrow victories in their season openers. The Bills, led by the resilient Josh Allen, showcased their ability to overcome adversity by rallying from a 17-3 deficit to defeat the Arizona Cardinals 34-28. Allen, despite suffering an injury to his non-throwing hand, delivered a stellar performance with four total touchdowns, demonstrating his dual-threat capability. His clearance to play against Miami is a significant boost for Buffalo, as they look to maintain their offensive momentum.

However, the Bills will be without their starting nickel cornerback, Taron Johnson, who is sidelined with a forearm injury. This absence could impact Buffalo's defensive strategy, especially against a Miami offense that features explosive playmakers like Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins, under the guidance of head coach Mike McDaniel, have been formidable at home, boasting a 13-4 record in Miami and a strong September track record. Their Week 1 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars was marked by a late-game surge, with Tua Tagovailoa orchestrating a comeback that highlighted the team's resilience and offensive depth.

Miami's defense, which stifled Jacksonville in the second half, will be tested by Allen's dynamic playmaking and the Bills' revamped receiving corps. The Dolphins' injury concerns, particularly in the running back position, could influence their offensive game plan, but their home-field advantage and recent form suggest they are well-prepared for the challenge. As both teams aim to assert their dominance in the AFC East, this matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter, with the Bills looking to leverage their recent success against Miami and the Dolphins eager to capitalize on their home turf advantage.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Pick: Buffalo Bills Against the Spread

As the Buffalo Bills prepare to face the Miami Dolphins in a crucial Week 2 matchup, the case for backing the Bills against the spread is compelling. Despite the Dolphins' strong home record and their impressive start to the season, the Bills have shown resilience and adaptability, particularly under the leadership of quarterback Josh Allen. Allen's performance in Week 1 against the Arizona Cardinals was nothing short of remarkable, as he led the Bills to a comeback victory despite an early 17-3 deficit. His ability to account for four touchdowns, even while managing an injury to his non-throwing hand, underscores his status as one of the league's premier dual-threat quarterbacks.

Moreover, the Bills have historically had the upper hand in recent encounters with the Dolphins, winning four of their last five matchups. This trend suggests that Buffalo has a psychological edge, which could play a significant role in a high-stakes divisional game. While the absence of nickel cornerback Taron Johnson due to a forearm injury is a concern, the Bills' defense has shown the ability to adjust and compensate for such losses, as evidenced by their second-half adjustments against Arizona that stifled Kyler Murray's offense.

On the other hand, the Dolphins, despite their home-field advantage, face their own set of challenges. Their running back situation is uncertain, with key players like Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane listed as did not practice due to injuries. This could limit Miami's offensive versatility and place additional pressure on Tua Tagovailoa to deliver through the air. While the Dolphins' defense was formidable in their Week 1 win over Jacksonville, they will be tested by the Bills' dynamic offense, which has been bolstered by the addition of new receiving targets.

Given these factors, the Bills' ability to cover the spread is supported by their recent success against Miami, Allen's proven track record in overcoming adversity, and the potential vulnerabilities in the Dolphins' lineup. As both teams vie for early supremacy in the AFC East, the Bills' combination of offensive firepower and strategic resilience makes them a strong pick against the spread.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Top Player Prop Picks

Josh Allen Over 237.5 Passing Yards -110 (bet365)

Josh Allen's performance in Week 1 against the Arizona Cardinals was a testament to his resilience and skill, as he threw for 232 yards and accounted for four total touchdowns. Despite an early 17-3 deficit, Allen's ability to rally his team to victory underscores his capability to perform under pressure. With the Miami Dolphins' defense likely focusing on containing Allen's rushing ability, there will be opportunities for him to exploit their secondary, especially with the absence of Taron Johnson on the Bills' side, which could lead to a more pass-heavy game script. Given Allen's track record and the Bills' need to maintain offensive momentum, betting on him to surpass 237.5 passing yards seems a prudent choice.

Tyreek Hill Over 99.5 Receiving Yards -110 (bet365)

Tyreek Hill's explosive start to the season, with seven receptions for 130 yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars, highlights his role as a pivotal playmaker for the Miami Dolphins. With Taron Johnson ruled out for the Bills, Hill's ability to stretch the field and create mismatches becomes even more pronounced. The Dolphins' offense, under Tua Tagovailoa, will likely lean on Hill's speed and route-running to challenge a Buffalo secondary that may struggle to contain him without their starting nickel cornerback. Hill's propensity for big plays and the Dolphins' home-field advantage make the over on 99.5 receiving yards an enticing proposition.

James Cook Over 62.5 Rushing Yards -110 (bet365)

James Cook's performance in Week 1, where he carried the ball 19 times for 71 yards, demonstrated his role as a key component of the Bills' ground game. With Josh Allen nursing a hand injury, albeit cleared to play, the Bills might opt to rely more on their running game to alleviate some pressure off their star quarterback. Cook's ability to find gaps and gain consistent yardage will be crucial against a Dolphins defense that showed vulnerability in the second half against Jacksonville. Given Cook's workload and the potential for a balanced offensive approach from Buffalo, the over on 62.5 rushing yards is a solid bet.

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