Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/6/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Cleveland Browns hit the road to face the Washington Commanders.

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Cleveland Browns +145 (ESPN Bet) / Washington Commanders -170 (ESPN Bet)
Best Spread Odds: -3.5 - Cleveland Browns -118 (BetRivers) / -3.0 - Washington Commanders -120 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 43.5 - Under -108 (DraftKings) / Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 10/6/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Northwest Stadium (Landover, MD)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Cleveland Browns and the Washington Commanders have faced each other once, with the game taking place on January 1, 2023. In this matchup, the Cleveland Browns emerged victorious, defeating the Washington Commanders 24-10. The Browns, who were the visiting team, managed to cover the spread, while the Commanders, as the home team, failed to do so. The game went under the closing over-under line, marking the only instance in this period where the total score did not exceed the set line. This singular encounter saw the Browns as the underdog, yet they managed to secure a win both outright and against the spread.

In the most recent game, the Browns secured a 24-10 victory over the Commanders. The scoring began with a 37-yard field goal by Cade York for the Browns in the first quarter. The Commanders briefly took the lead in the second quarter with a 1-yard rushing touchdown by Carson Wentz. However, the Browns responded strongly in the third quarter with two touchdown passes from Deshaun Watson, one to Amari Cooper for 46 yards and another to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 13 yards. In the fourth quarter, the Commanders narrowed the gap with a 43-yard field goal by Joey Slye, but Watson connected with Cooper again for a 33-yard touchdown, sealing the victory for the Browns. Key statistics from the game included the Browns' 301 total yards and a 36.36% third-down conversion rate, while the Commanders managed 260 total yards but struggled with three interceptions thrown by Wentz.

The Browns' offensive performance was marked by a balanced attack, with 146 rushing yards on 30 attempts and 169 passing yards on 18 attempts. Deshaun Watson's efficiency was evident with three touchdown passes and no interceptions. The Browns' defense also played a crucial role, recording three interceptions and three sacks. On the other hand, the Commanders' offense struggled, particularly in the passing game, where they completed 16 of 28 attempts for 143 yards and no touchdowns, while also throwing three interceptions. Despite having a higher time of possession, the Commanders were unable to capitalize on their opportunities, converting only 43.75% of their third-down attempts. The Browns' ability to capitalize on key moments and maintain a strong defensive presence was instrumental in their victory.

 

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders Preview

The Cleveland Browns are set to face the Washington Commanders in a Week 5 matchup that presents a stark contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Browns, currently sitting at 1-3, have struggled to find their footing this season, particularly on the offensive side of the ball. Despite having invested heavily in quarterback Deshaun Watson, the Browns have yet to see a return on their investment, as they remain the only team in the NFL without a 300-yard offensive game this season. Watson's performance has been underwhelming, and the Browns' offense ranks near the bottom of the league in several key categories, including total yards and points per game.

On the other hand, the Washington Commanders have been one of the pleasant surprises of the 2024 NFL season. Led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Commanders boast a 3-1 record and have been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging 40 points per game over their last two outings. Daniels has been nothing short of sensational, completing 82.1% of his passes, the highest completion percentage for a quarterback through their first four games in NFL history. His dual-threat ability has been a key factor in Washington's offensive success, and he has quickly emerged as a frontrunner for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Defensively, the Browns have shown some resilience, allowing the eighth-fewest yards per pass attempt in the league. However, injuries have plagued their offensive line, and the absence of star running back Nick Chubb has further hampered their offensive capabilities. The Browns' defense, led by Myles Garrett, remains a formidable unit, capable of disrupting opposing offenses. Garrett's ability to pressure the quarterback will be crucial if the Browns hope to contain Daniels and the high-flying Commanders' offense.

As the Browns travel to Northwest Stadium, they face a Commanders team riding a wave of momentum. Washington's balanced attack, featuring contributions from a variety of playmakers, poses a significant challenge for Cleveland's defense. The Commanders' ability to maintain offensive balance and exploit the Browns' vulnerabilities will be key to their success. With both teams having much at stake, this matchup promises to be a pivotal contest in shaping the trajectory of their respective seasons.

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders Pick: Washington Commanders Moneyline

The Washington Commanders are poised to continue their impressive start to the 2024 NFL season with a victory over the Cleveland Browns. The Commanders, led by rookie sensation Jayden Daniels, have been a revelation, boasting a 3-1 record and an explosive offense that has averaged 40 points per game in their last two outings. Daniels has been nothing short of extraordinary, completing 82.1% of his passes, the highest completion percentage for a quarterback through their first four games in NFL history. His dual-threat capability has been a cornerstone of Washington's offensive success, making him a frontrunner for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

In stark contrast, the Cleveland Browns have struggled mightily, particularly on offense. Despite their significant investment in quarterback Deshaun Watson, the Browns have yet to produce a 300-yard offensive game this season, ranking near the bottom of the league in total yards and points per game. Watson's performance has been underwhelming, and the absence of star running back Nick Chubb has further hampered their offensive capabilities. The Browns' offensive line has been plagued by injuries, compounding their struggles and leaving them vulnerable against a Commanders defense that has shown signs of improvement.

Defensively, the Browns have been respectable, allowing the eighth-fewest yards per pass attempt in the league. However, they face a formidable challenge in containing the high-flying Commanders' offense, which has been firing on all cylinders. Myles Garrett, a key figure in the Browns' defense, will need to exert significant pressure on Daniels to disrupt Washington's rhythm. Yet, the Commanders' balanced attack, featuring contributions from a variety of playmakers, poses a significant challenge for Cleveland's defense.

Given the Commanders' current form and the Browns' ongoing struggles, Washington is well-positioned to secure a victory at home. The Commanders' ability to maintain offensive balance and exploit the Browns' vulnerabilities will be crucial in this matchup. With the momentum firmly on their side, the Commanders are the clear choice for the moneyline pick in this contest.

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders Top Player Prop Picks

Jayden Daniels Over 212.5 Passing Yards +105 (bet365)

Jayden Daniels has been nothing short of spectacular in his rookie season, completing an unprecedented 82.1% of his passes through the first four games, the highest completion percentage for a quarterback in NFL history at this stage. His ability to dissect defenses with precision has been a key factor in the Commanders' offensive explosion, averaging 40 points per game over their last two outings. Despite facing a Browns defense that has allowed the eighth-fewest yards per pass attempt, Daniels' dual-threat capability and the Commanders' balanced offensive attack should enable him to surpass the 212.5 passing yards mark. With the Browns' defense focusing on containing his rushing ability, Daniels is poised to exploit opportunities through the air, making the over a compelling choice.

Amari Cooper Under 51.5 Receiving Yards +110 (bet365)

Amari Cooper has been a reliable target for the Browns, but the team's offensive struggles have limited his production. With Deshaun Watson's underwhelming performance and the Browns' inability to generate a 300-yard offensive game this season, Cooper's opportunities have been scarce. The Commanders' defense, while not elite, has shown improvement and will likely focus on neutralizing Cooper as a primary threat. Given the Browns' offensive line issues and Watson's inconsistency, Cooper may find it challenging to reach the 51.5 receiving yards threshold. The under is further supported by the Browns' overall offensive inefficiency, ranking near the bottom of the league in total yards and points per game.

Jayden Daniels Over 46.5 Rushing Yards -120 (bet365)

Jayden Daniels' dual-threat nature has been a revelation for the Commanders, with his rushing ability adding a dynamic element to their offense. Averaging 218 rushing yards over the first four games, Daniels has consistently demonstrated his capability to make plays with his legs. The Browns' defense, while formidable, has been unable to completely stifle mobile quarterbacks, and with Myles Garrett potentially limited by injuries, Daniels could find more room to maneuver. His elusiveness and playmaking skills should allow him to exceed the 46.5 rushing yards line, especially as the Commanders continue to leverage his versatility to keep defenses off balance.