Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/3/2024 8:15 PM EST

We have your Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to face the Atlanta Falcons.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +105 (BetMGM) / Atlanta Falcons -125 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: -2.0 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers -110 (ESPN BET) / Atlanta Falcons -110 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 44.0 - Under -110 (BetMGM) / 43.5 - Over -110 (bet365)

Special offers for this game at:
Underdog - Free Pick for NEW Customers: Kirk Cousins Total Yards > 0.5
BetR - Free Pick for NEW Customers: Kirk Cousins Completed Passes > 0.5

Game Info

Date: 10/3/2024
Time: 8:15 PM EST
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)
TV: Prime Video

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons have faced each other four times, with each team securing two victories. The games have been evenly split between home and away wins, with the visiting team winning twice and the home team also winning twice. In terms of betting outcomes, the Falcons have been more successful against the spread, covering in three of the four matchups, while the Buccaneers have covered only once. The total score has gone over the set line in two of the games and under in the other two, indicating a balanced scoring pattern in their recent encounters.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on December 10, 2023, where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers emerged victorious with a 29-25 win over the Atlanta Falcons. The Buccaneers, who were the underdogs with a closing spread of +1.5, managed to win both the game and against the spread. The game saw a total score of 54, surpassing the closing over-under line of 41.5, resulting in an over. Tampa Bay's offense was efficient, accumulating 290 total yards, with a significant contribution of 148 rushing yards. Baker Mayfield played a crucial role, scoring a rushing touchdown and throwing two touchdown passes. The Buccaneers' defense also contributed with a safety and limited their turnovers to zero, while the Falcons had one turnover.

In contrast, the Falcons had a more productive offensive game in terms of yardage, amassing 434 total yards, including 338 passing yards. Despite their offensive output, they fell short in securing the win. Desmond Ridder threw for one touchdown and rushed for another, but the team's efforts were not enough to overcome the Buccaneers' lead. The Falcons' defense managed to sack Mayfield once but could not capitalize on turnovers, as they failed to recover any fumbles or intercept any passes. The game was marked by a close contest, with both teams exchanging leads, but ultimately, the Buccaneers' ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities led them to victory.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons are set to clash in a pivotal NFC South matchup on Thursday Night Football. Both teams are coming off significant victories, with the Buccaneers dismantling the Philadelphia Eagles 33-16 and the Falcons edging out the New Orleans Saints 26-24. This game not only holds importance for divisional standings but also serves as a litmus test for both teams' early-season form.

The Buccaneers, under the guidance of quarterback Baker Mayfield, have been impressive, boasting a 3-1 record. Mayfield has been a revelation, ranking second in the NFL with eight touchdown passes and sixth in passing yards with 984. His ability to spread the ball effectively has been complemented by the emergence of rookie running back Bucky Irving, who has averaged 5.8 yards per carry. Despite injuries to key receivers like Trey Palmer and Jalen McMillan, Mayfield has found reliable targets in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, both of whom have been instrumental in the team's offensive success.

On the other side, the Falcons, led by veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins, have shown resilience. Cousins, who is still finding his rhythm after an Achilles injury, has thrown for 864 yards and four touchdowns. The Falcons' offense, however, has struggled with consistency, particularly in getting their playmakers like tight end Kyle Pitts more involved. Running back Bijan Robinson remains a key figure, contributing both on the ground and through the air, despite dealing with a hamstring issue earlier in the week.

Defensively, the Buccaneers have been formidable, particularly in their pass rush, which was on full display against the Eagles. The Falcons, meanwhile, have been a bend-but-don't-break unit, excelling in pass defense but struggling to generate turnovers and sacks. This matchup will test Atlanta's ability to protect Cousins against a Tampa Bay defense that thrives on pressure.

With both teams eyeing the top spot in the NFC South, this game promises to be a tightly contested affair. The Buccaneers' offensive firepower and the Falcons' home-field advantage set the stage for an intriguing battle under the lights at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming clash between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons is poised to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities that suggest a potential shootout under the lights at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Buccaneers, led by Baker Mayfield, have been particularly potent on offense. Mayfield is currently second in the NFL with eight touchdown passes and sixth in passing yards, amassing 984 yards through the air. His performance against the Philadelphia Eagles, where he threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns, underscores his ability to lead a dynamic passing attack. The presence of reliable targets like Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, both ranking among the top receivers in the league, further bolsters Tampa Bay's offensive prowess. Additionally, rookie running back Bucky Irving has emerged as a significant threat, averaging 5.8 yards per carry, which adds another dimension to their offensive game plan.

On the other side, the Falcons, with Kirk Cousins at the helm, have shown flashes of offensive brilliance. Despite some early-season struggles, Cousins has managed to throw for 864 yards and four touchdowns. The Falcons' offense is bolstered by the versatile Bijan Robinson, who contributes both on the ground and as a pass-catcher. His ability to exploit defenses, combined with Cousins' experience, suggests that Atlanta can keep pace with Tampa Bay's scoring.

Defensively, while both teams have had their moments, they have also shown vulnerabilities that could lead to a high-scoring game. The Buccaneers' defense, despite its strong pass rush, has allowed 16 or more points in each of their games this season. Meanwhile, the Falcons' defense, characterized as a bend-but-don't-break unit, has struggled to generate turnovers and sacks, potentially allowing Mayfield and the Buccaneers' offense to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Given these factors, the over on the total points is an attractive option. Both teams have the offensive firepower to light up the scoreboard, and with the stakes high in this NFC South showdown, expect both offenses to come out firing, leading to a game that surpasses the projected total.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons Top Player Prop Picks

Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +112 (FanDuel)

Baker Mayfield has been a revelation for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this season, ranking second in the NFL with eight touchdown passes through four games. His performance against the Philadelphia Eagles, where he threw for 347 yards and two touchdowns, highlights his ability to lead a potent passing attack. Despite injuries to key receivers, Mayfield has consistently found reliable targets in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, both of whom have been instrumental in the team's offensive success. The Falcons' defense, while strong in pass coverage, has struggled to generate turnovers and sacks, potentially allowing Mayfield to exploit their vulnerabilities and continue his touchdown streak.

Bijan Robinson Over 63.5 Rushing Yards +102 (Caesars)

Bijan Robinson has been a key figure in the Falcons' offense, contributing both on the ground and through the air. Despite dealing with a hamstring issue earlier in the week, Robinson is expected to play a significant role against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay's defense has allowed 5.0 yards per rush, the fourth-highest in the NFL, which plays into Robinson's strengths as a dynamic ball-carrier. With the Falcons likely to lean on their ground game to control the tempo and keep Mayfield off the field, Robinson is poised to surpass the 63.5 rushing yards line.

Chris Godwin Over 65.5 Rushing Receiving Yards -115 (DraftKings)

Chris Godwin has emerged as one of Baker Mayfield's top targets, ranking third in the NFL in receptions and sixth in receiving yards. His consistent performance, including a six-reception, 69-yard outing against the Eagles, underscores his importance in the Buccaneers' offensive scheme. The Falcons have allowed 56 receptions to wide receivers this season, tied for the fourth-most in the NFL, which bodes well for Godwin's chances to exceed the 65.5 rushing and receiving yards line. With Mayfield's ability to spread the ball effectively, Godwin is likely to be a focal point in Tampa Bay's game plan, making this prop a strong play.