Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/22/2025 6:40 PM EDT

We have your Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Colorado Rockies hit the road to face the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -185 (BetMGM), Colorado Rockies +168 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+115 BetMGM), Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-125 FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: Over 8.5 (-105 Caesars), Under 8.5 (-104 BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 2025-08-22
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: -

Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Colorado Rockies (37-91) travel to PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (54-74) in an interleague matchup. While both teams find themselves at the bottom of their respective divisions, they enter this game with recent signs of life. The Rockies have shown surprising form, winning seven of their last ten games, including splitting a four-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers. However, they are a struggling road team with a 16-46 record away from home this season, and rank 29th in OPS and last in wRC+ in road games.

The Pirates, meanwhile, have won two straight series and are coming off a confidence-boosting series win against the Toronto Blue Jays, winning their last game. They hold a respectable 36-30 home record. Pittsburgh's pitching staff has been a strength, ranking 17th in team ERA (4.02) and 3rd in limiting home runs across the league.

On the mound for the Rockies will be Antonio Senzatela, who carries a 4-14 record and a 7.00 ERA this season. Despite his high ERA, Senzatela is coming off one of his best outings of the year, pitching five scoreless innings against the Diamondbacks. For the Pirates, Braxton Ashcraft (3-2, 3.02 ERA) will get the start. Ashcraft has been trending upwards, tossing five strong innings in his last outing. There's also buzz around top pitching prospect Bubba Chandler potentially making his MLB debut in relief for the Pirates, which could further bolster their bullpen.

Offensively, the Rockies will look to Brenton Doyle, who has been red-hot since the All-Star break, batting .395 with six homers and 19 RBIs. Hunter Goodman is another key bat for Colorado, hitting .277 with 25 home runs. For the Pirates, Bryan Reynolds leads the team with 13 home runs and 62 RBIs, slashing .305/.354/.500 in the second half of the season. Veteran Tommy Pham also provides a spark, hitting .263 with a .335 OBP.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Historically, the Pittsburgh Pirates have had the edge in head-to-head matchups against the Colorado Rockies, boasting 39 wins overall, with 17 of those victories coming at home. The Colorado Rockies are not far behind, with 25 wins, 12 of which were on the road. The most recent series between these two teams in Colorado saw all three games result in the Game Total going OVER, highlighted by a remarkable comeback in Game 1 where the Pirates blew a 9-0 lead and lost 17-6. Rockies pitcher Antonio Senzatela has struggled against the Pirates in past encounters, notably allowing 8 earned runs in just 0.2 innings during that 17-16 game on August 1, 2025. However, several Pirates hitters have found success against Senzatela, including Andrew McCutchen (5-for-16, 2 HR), Tommy Pham (7-for-16), and Bryan Reynolds (4-for-6, 2 RBI).

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are the clear favorites in this matchup, and for good reason. They are playing at home, where they hold a solid 36-30 record, contrasting sharply with the Rockies' dismal 16-46 road record. The pitching matchup also favors Pittsburgh, with Braxton Ashcraft's impressive 3.02 ERA significantly outshining Antonio Senzatela's 7.00 ERA. While Senzatela had a good last outing, his history against the Pirates, including a recent shelling, is concerning. The Pirates' overall pitching staff ranks much higher than the Rockies', which should help contain Colorado's offense, especially given the Rockies' struggles on the road. Sharp money is heavily backing the Pirates on the moneyline, with a 63.63% sharp win percentage. While the odds are steep at -185, the statistical advantages and home-field advantage make the Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline the most confident straight pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Warming Bernabel Over 0.5 Hits

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Colorado Rockies infielder Warming Bernabel has been hitting well recently, exceeding 0.5 hits in 100% of his last five games (averaging 1.4 hits) and 70% of his last ten games (averaging 0.9 hits). For the season, he has hit the over in 79.17% of his appearances, averaging 1.17 hits. More impressively, when playing on the road in 2025, he has hit the over in 81.82% of games, averaging 1.0 hit. He also has a strong track record against the Pirates this season, hitting the over in 66.67% of his matchups with them, averaging 2.33 hits. Given his recent form and success against this opponent, taking the over on his hits prop is a strong play. The best odds for this prop are -210 at BetRivers.

Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 Hits

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Colorado Rockies slugger Hunter Goodman presents a compelling case for the over on his hits prop. While his hit rate in the last five games is 40% (averaging 0.8 hits), he has hit the over in 70% of his last ten games (averaging 0.9 hits) and 68.75% for the season (averaging 1.02 hits). Crucially, Goodman has performed exceptionally well against the Pittsburgh Pirates this season, hitting the over in 100% of his matchups against them, averaging 1.5 hits. His road performance in 2025 also supports this pick, with a 65.45% hit rate for the over, averaging 0.96 hits. Despite a slight dip in his very recent form, his overall season performance and strong history against the Pirates make this a valuable pick. The best odds for this prop are -195 at BetRivers.

Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Hits

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Pittsburgh Pirates infielder Jared Triolo is a solid pick for the over on his hits prop. He has hit the over in 60% of his last five games (averaging 0.8 hits) and 70% of his last ten games (averaging 0.9 hits). While his season hit rate for the over is 45.21% (averaging 0.53 hits), his performance against the Colorado Rockies this season has been better, hitting the over in 66.67% of those games, averaging 0.67 hits. Furthermore, when playing at home in 2025, Triolo has hit the over in 50% of his games, averaging 0.58 hits. Considering his recent uptick in form and his ability to get hits against the Rockies, this prop offers good value. The best odds for this prop are -195 at BetRivers.