Who is up for another round of MACtion best bets?

I cannot help but notice that the haters and losers, of which there are many, are awfully quiet after I swept my MACtion best bets last night. I also went 2-1 on my NCAAB picks and am up to 9-1 through the first two days of college hoops. I mention that not to brag (although I will allow applause at this time) but to give yall a heads up that my daily college basketball plays will be coming starting next week and that I will have my unders system, which has two years of documented profitability up and running on Monday.

Anyway, enough about college basketball (love Hampton +16.5 and the over tonight), let's get straight into our best bets for some weekday college football. If you decide to follow our picks, we ask that you do so responsibly.

*Odds via BetMGM Sportsbook

Kent State (-2.5) @ Bowling Green O/U 55.5

Bowling Green's defense does not rank well, but they have come up clutch in many of their games, including last week against Western Michigan. They only allowed nine points on 3.5 yards per rush and 7.1 yards per Pass. The Falcons were also able to survive after turning the ball over three times last week, and over their last three games overall, Bowling Green is only allowing 13.3 points per game.

As I said, though, the Falcons' defense has some problems: they are ranked 103rd in Finishing Drives, 96th in Pass Success, 123rd in Line Yards, and they are allowing 5.7 yards per play. Luckily, they have one of the best front sevens in the MAC, as they are ranked 14th in Rush Success, 11th in Pass Rush, and 46th in Havoc.

In the secondary, Bowling Green is allowing 7.6 yards per Pass and allowing teams to complete passes at a 68% clip, which generally would concern me, but Kent State quarterback Collin Schlee has been a turnover machine this season with four interceptions and six lost fumbles, and the loss of leading receiver Dante Cephas to an injury last week will impact the effectiveness of a hit-or-miss passing attack.

🚨🚨 FAKE KNEEL TOUCHDOWN ALERT 🚨🚨

BGSU QB Matt McDonald rolls backwards, then veers left for a wide-open 47-yard touchdown to put the nail in the coffin!

56-44 BGSU with under a minute remaining. pic.twitter.com/HDgRkZjGVT
— Hustle Belt (@HustleBelt) October 30, 2021

Neither defense in this game would scare me, but the offenses in this game might be even worse. The Golden Flashes are only putting up 23 points per game and 5.5 yards per play this season, while the Falcons are ranked below 100th in scoring (20.9) and yards per play (4.7). While I mentioned that Bowling Green's defense has been excellent as of late, their offense has yet to return the favor, scoring only 17.7 points per game over their last four.

On the other side, Kent State's offense is putting up 27 points per game over their last four, but this offense makes its money on the ground as they are ranked 15th in Rushes Per Game (43.8). This will play well for a dominant Bowling Green front seven, but I do not trust BG's offense to keep up in this one, especially with a tight spread. Instead, we will take the under as Kent State will be without their best receiver, and this Bowling Green offense has not been good at all this season.

Pick: Under 55.5

Buffalo (-2.5) @ Central Michigan O/U 49.5

Last season, I almost made enough money to retire by betting on Lew Nichols and the Chips. Last week, Nichols returned from an injury that kept him out for nearly a month, and he immediately made an impact with 92 yards rushing against Northern Illinois.

Tonight, he will go up against a Buffalo rush defense that is ranked 14th in Rush Success, but they are also giving up 4.9 yards per rush and 164.1 rushing yards per game. The Bulls certainly have a better defense than Northern Illinois, where Nichols was able to return to his old form, but they are prone to giving up big chunk plays, and we have seen this front-seven fail against worst rushing attacks like last week against Ohio when the Bobcats put up 157 rushing yards on 4.5 yards per carry.

.@LewNichols_ doing what he does💪@CMU_Football | #MACtion pic.twitter.com/htigL5xDhe
— #MACtion (@MACSports) September 17, 2022

Buffalo's defense is also ranked 53rd in Finishing drives, while Central Michigan is ranked 83rd in Pass Success and only 113th in Pass Blocking, the Bulls are 112th in Pass Success and 63rd in Pass-Rush. The Chips are going to run with a three-man rotation much like they did last week, where they saw success in the passing game with 7.6 yards per Pass, and one of their quarterbacks, Jase Bauer, actually led the Chips in rushing last week with 109 yards and two rushing touchdowns on 7.8 yards per carry.

Central Michigan has a pretty simple philosophy on offense: to cause as much chaos as possible and make this game ugly. If the Bulls can keep this game on the ground and cause a poor tackling defense to stay on the field for longer, the Chips should slowly pound Buffalo into submission and walk out of here with an ugly but impressive win.

Pick: Central Michigan +2.5

Photo Credit: Embed from Getty Images