NFL Pickwatch - Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/24/2024 6:00 PM EST

We have your Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Mavericks hit the road to face the Miami Heat.

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Dallas Mavericks +130 (Caesars) / Miami Heat -145 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -3.5 - Dallas Mavericks -115 (ESPN BET) / -3.0 - Miami Heat -112 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 222.0 - Under -110 (Caesars) / 221.5 - Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 11/24/2024
Time: 6:00 PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
TV: KFAA-TV

Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

On the road, the Dallas Mavericks have 3 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Dallas Mavericks have 3 wins and 2 losses this season.
This season, the Dallas Mavericks have hit 8 overs and 8 unders.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

At home, the Miami Heat have 2 wins and 3 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 4 wins and 3 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 7 overs and 6 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat have faced each other four times, with the Mavericks emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The games have predominantly favored the home team, which has won three times, while the visiting team has only secured one victory. In terms of betting outcomes, the Mavericks have covered the spread in three games, while the Heat managed to do so once. The games have generally leaned towards lower scoring, with the total score going under the set line in three instances and over just once. The Mavericks have consistently been the favorite in these matchups, as indicated by their lower moneyline odds in each game.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on April 10, 2024, where the Dallas Mavericks defeated the Miami Heat with a final score of 111-92. The Mavericks, playing as the visiting team, were favored with a moneyline of -144 and covered the spread of 3 points. The game total fell under the over-under line of 218, with a combined score of 203 points. Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks with 29 and 25 points, respectively. The Mavericks shot 49.4% from the field and 34.1% from beyond the arc, while the Heat managed 40.7% overall and 43.3% from three-point range. Despite being outrebounded 46 to 39, the Mavericks capitalized on turnovers, scoring 24 fast break points compared to the Heat's 5.

In the previous matchups, the Mavericks have shown a strong offensive performance, particularly in their January 20, 2023, game where they scored 115 points against the Heat's 90. The Heat's sole victory came on April 1, 2023, when they won 129-122, covering the spread as underdogs. Across these games, the Mavericks have demonstrated effective shooting, particularly from three-point range, and have often been able to control the pace of the game. The Heat, on the other hand, have struggled to maintain consistency, particularly in their defensive efforts against the Mavericks' potent offense. As the teams prepare to face off again, these historical performances provide a context for understanding the dynamics that may influence the upcoming game.

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Preview

The Dallas Mavericks are riding a wave of momentum as they head into their matchup against the Miami Heat, boasting a four-game winning streak. This surge has been fueled by standout performances from key players like Kyrie Irving, who has been instrumental in the Mavericks' recent success. Despite the absence of Luka Doncic due to a right wrist sprain, the Mavericks have managed to maintain their offensive prowess, as evidenced by their recent victory over the Denver Nuggets, where they edged out a 123-120 win. Irving's ability to step up in Doncic's absence will be crucial as they face a Miami Heat team that has shown resilience at home.

The Miami Heat, on the other hand, are looking to build on their recent win against the Philadelphia 76ers. With Jimmy Butler listed as questionable due to illness, the Heat may need to rely on their depth to counter the Mavericks' offensive threats. Butler's potential absence could impact the Heat's scoring capabilities, but the team has shown they can compete with strong performances from other key players. The Heat's defense will be tested against a Mavericks team that has been effective in controlling the pace and capitalizing on turnovers.

Historically, the Mavericks have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of their last four encounters with the Heat. Their ability to shoot effectively from beyond the arc and manage the game's tempo has been a significant factor in their success. As the Mavericks aim to extend their winning streak, they will need to continue their strong offensive execution and capitalize on any defensive lapses by the Heat. Meanwhile, the Heat will look to leverage their home-court advantage and tighten their defense to disrupt the Mavericks' rhythm.

With both teams having shown the ability to score prolifically, this matchup promises to be an exciting contest. The Mavericks' recent form and the Heat's determination to defend their home turf set the stage for a high-scoring affair, making this game a must-watch for NBA fans.

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Pick: Total Points Over

As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to face the Miami Heat, the stage is set for a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. The Mavericks are riding a four-game winning streak, showcasing their offensive prowess even in the absence of Luka Doncic. Kyrie Irving has stepped up significantly, leading the charge with his scoring ability, as evidenced by his standout performance in the recent victory over the Denver Nuggets. The Mavericks' ability to maintain their offensive momentum without Doncic is a testament to their depth and adaptability.

On the other side, the Miami Heat are coming off a solid win against the Philadelphia 76ers, with Jimmy Butler playing a pivotal role. Although Butler is listed as questionable due to illness, the Heat have demonstrated their capacity to compete with strong contributions from their supporting cast. The Heat's recent games have shown their potential to score effectively, particularly when playing at home, where they have managed to leverage their home-court advantage.

Historically, matchups between these two teams have leaned towards higher scoring, with the Mavericks often dictating the pace and capitalizing on their three-point shooting. In their last encounter, the Mavericks secured a decisive victory with a score of 111-92, and their offensive efficiency was on full display. Given the Mavericks' recent form and the Heat's determination to defend their home turf, this game promises to be a dynamic contest with both teams capable of putting up significant points.

With the total points line set at 221.5, the offensive capabilities of both teams suggest that the over is a strong play. The Mavericks' ability to control the tempo and the Heat's resilience at home create a scenario ripe for a high-scoring game. As both teams look to assert their dominance, expect a thrilling matchup that surpasses the projected total, making the over a smart choice for this encounter.

Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat Top Player Prop Picks

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 3Fgm +136 (FanDuel)

Klay Thompson's renowned shooting ability makes the over on 3.5 three-point field goals a compelling pick for this matchup. Despite a recent off-night where he went scoreless, Thompson's potential to ignite from beyond the arc is well-documented, as highlighted by Erik Spoelstra's comments on his Hall of Fame shooting. With Luka Doncic sidelined, Thompson's role in the Mavericks' offense becomes even more critical, providing him with ample opportunities to find his rhythm and contribute significantly from deep. The odds of +136 on FanDuel offer great value for a player of Thompson's caliber, especially given the Mavericks' need for perimeter scoring in Doncic's absence.

Kyrie Irving Over 11.5 Rebounds Assists -109 (Caesars)

Kyrie Irving has been a pivotal figure for the Mavericks, particularly in the absence of Luka Doncic. His ability to contribute across multiple facets of the game makes the over on 11.5 rebounds and assists an attractive proposition. Irving's recent performances have showcased his versatility, as he has stepped up to fill the void left by Doncic, not only in scoring but also in facilitating and rebounding. The Mavericks' recent success, including their victory over the Nuggets, has been fueled by Irving's all-around contributions. With the Heat potentially missing Jimmy Butler, Irving's chances to exploit mismatches and dominate the stat sheet increase, making this prop a strong play.

Jimmy Butler Under 1.5 Turnovers -125 (bet365)

Jimmy Butler's status as questionable due to illness adds an intriguing layer to this prop bet. However, assuming he plays, the under on 1.5 turnovers is a solid pick. Butler is known for his disciplined play and ability to maintain control, even under pressure. His recent performance against the 76ers, where he managed just one turnover while contributing significantly in other areas, underscores his capacity to handle the ball efficiently. With the Heat needing to rely on Butler's leadership and ball-handling skills, especially if he is not at full strength, the focus will likely be on minimizing mistakes, making the under on turnovers a prudent choice.