NFL Pickwatch - Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/20/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Detroit Lions hit the road to face the Minnesota Vikings.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Detroit Lions +112 (FanDuel) / Minnesota Vikings -130 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: -2.5 - Detroit Lions -110 (bet365) / -2.0 - Minnesota Vikings -110 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 49.5 - Under -110 (ESPN BET) / Over -110 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 10/20/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, MN)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings have faced off four times, with the Lions emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The games have predominantly favored the home team, which has won three out of the four matchups. The Lions have consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in all four games, while the Vikings have failed to do so. Additionally, each of these games has seen the total score exceed the over-under line, with none falling under. This trend suggests a pattern of high-scoring affairs when these two teams meet. The Lions have demonstrated a strong offensive presence, often capitalizing on turnovers and maintaining a solid defensive stance against the Vikings.

In their most recent matchup on January 7, 2024, the Detroit Lions defeated the Minnesota Vikings with a final score of 30-20. The Lions, playing at home, were favored with a closing spread of -3.5 and successfully covered it. The game saw a total score of 50, surpassing the closing over-under line of 47.5. Detroit's offense was efficient, with Jared Goff throwing two touchdown passes, including a notable 70-yard connection with Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Lions also capitalized on the ground, with rushing touchdowns from Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. Defensively, the Lions were effective in limiting the Vikings' third-down conversions to just 15.4% and forced two interceptions, which proved crucial in securing their victory.

The Vikings, despite accumulating 448 total yards compared to the Lions' 381, struggled with turnovers and inefficiency on third downs. Nick Mullens connected with Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison for two touchdown passes, but the team's inability to convert on key plays and the two interceptions thrown were detrimental. The Vikings' defense managed to sack Goff once but could not force any turnovers. Penalties also played a role, with the Vikings committing eight for 77 yards, compared to the Lions' four for 20 yards. This game highlighted the Lions' ability to capitalize on the Vikings' mistakes and maintain control, both offensively and defensively, leading to their third consecutive victory over Minnesota.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Preview

The upcoming clash between the Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings promises to be a pivotal matchup in the NFC North, with both teams vying for supremacy in what has become one of the most competitive divisions in the NFL. The Lions, fresh off a commanding victory over the Dallas Cowboys, have showcased their offensive prowess, led by quarterback Jared Goff, who has been instrumental in orchestrating one of the league's most dynamic offenses. Goff's ability to connect with his top targets, including Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta, has been a key factor in Detroit's success, as evidenced by their recent 47-9 dismantling of the Cowboys.

However, the Lions will face a formidable challenge in the Minnesota Vikings, who are currently undefeated and boast one of the league's most tenacious defenses. The Vikings' defensive unit, under the guidance of coordinator Brian Flores, has been relentless in applying pressure, leading the NFL in blitz rate and ranking second in pressure rate. This aggressive approach has been a cornerstone of their success, and they will look to disrupt Goff's rhythm and exploit the absence of Detroit's star defensive end, Aidan Hutchinson, who is sidelined with a season-ending injury.

Despite the setback of losing Hutchinson, the Lions remain a formidable force, particularly on the offensive line, which has provided Goff with ample protection and opened up lanes for their potent rushing attack featuring Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. The Lions' ability to adapt and maintain their offensive efficiency will be crucial as they aim to outmaneuver a Vikings team that has been equally impressive on both sides of the ball.

As the Lions and Vikings prepare to face off at U.S. Bank Stadium, the stakes could not be higher. With both teams eyeing a potential playoff berth, this matchup is not only a test of skill and strategy but also a battle for divisional dominance. The Lions, having already demonstrated their capability to perform under pressure, will look to continue their winning ways and assert themselves as legitimate contenders in the NFC North.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Pick: Detroit Lions Against the Spread

The Detroit Lions have shown remarkable resilience and offensive prowess this season, making them a compelling pick against the spread in their upcoming matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. The Lions are coming off a dominant 47-9 victory over the Dallas Cowboys, a game in which they showcased their offensive versatility and defensive tenacity. Quarterback Jared Goff has been instrumental in leading one of the league's most dynamic offenses, with a strong supporting cast that includes standout performances from Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta. Despite the loss of star defensive end Aidan Hutchinson, the Lions have demonstrated their ability to adapt and maintain their efficiency on both sides of the ball.

Historically, the Lions have had the upper hand against the Vikings, winning three of their last four encounters and consistently covering the spread in these matchups. This trend underscores their ability to outperform expectations, particularly in high-stakes divisional games. The Lions' offensive line has been a key factor in their success, providing Goff with ample protection and facilitating a potent rushing attack led by Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. This offensive line will be crucial in countering the Vikings' aggressive defensive strategy, which leads the NFL in blitz rate and ranks second in pressure rate.

While the Vikings boast an undefeated record and a formidable defense, the Lions' recent performances suggest they are well-equipped to handle the pressure and exploit any defensive lapses. The Lions' ability to capitalize on turnovers and maintain a solid defensive stance has been evident in their recent games, including their victory over the Vikings earlier this year. With the Lions' offense firing on all cylinders and their defense capable of making key stops, they are poised to cover the spread in this pivotal NFC North showdown.

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Top Player Prop Picks

Jared Goff Over 315.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Jared Goff has been a pivotal force in the Detroit Lions' offensive success this season, and his performance against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 6 is a testament to his capabilities. Goff threw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns, showcasing his ability to exploit defenses with precision and poise. The Lions' offensive line has provided him with excellent protection, allowing him to connect with his top targets, including Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta. Despite facing a formidable Minnesota Vikings defense that ranks second in pressure rate, Goff's track record against the Vikings is promising. In their last encounter, he threw for two touchdowns and led the Lions to a 30-20 victory. With the Lions' offense firing on all cylinders and Goff's ability to perform under pressure, betting on him to exceed 315.5 passing yards is a compelling proposition.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 85.5 Receiving Yards Receiving Yards -110 (DraftKings)

Amon-Ra St. Brown has emerged as a key playmaker for the Detroit Lions, consistently delivering standout performances. In the Lions' recent victory over the Cowboys, St. Brown was instrumental, contributing to the team's offensive dominance. His chemistry with Jared Goff has been a significant factor in his success, as evidenced by their 70-yard touchdown connection in their last matchup against the Vikings. St. Brown's ability to find open spaces and make crucial catches has been a hallmark of his play, and with the Vikings' defense likely focusing on pressuring Goff, St. Brown could find ample opportunities to exploit the secondary. Given his recent form and the Lions' offensive strategy, betting on St. Brown to surpass 85.5 receiving yards is a strong play.

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 65.5 Rushing Yards Rushing Yards -110 (BetMGM)

Jahmyr Gibbs has been a revelation in the Lions' backfield, providing a dynamic rushing option that complements their potent passing attack. In the Lions' commanding win over the Cowboys, Gibbs showcased his ability to break through defenses, contributing significantly to the team's 492 total yards. With the absence of Aidan Hutchinson on the defensive side, the Lions may lean more heavily on their rushing game to control the clock and keep the Vikings' offense off the field. Gibbs' explosive running style and the Lions' strong offensive line make him a prime candidate to exceed 65.5 rushing yards. As the Lions look to maintain their offensive balance and exploit any defensive lapses by the Vikings, Gibbs is poised for another impactful performance.