East Texas A&M Lions @ Florida State Seminoles Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/6/2025 12:00 PM EDT

We have your East Texas A&M Lions @ Florida State Seminoles prop betting and game preview needs covered as the East Texas A&M Lions hit the road to face the Florida State Seminoles.

Game Info

Date: 2025-09-06
Time: 12:00 PM EDT
Location: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
TV: ACC Network

East Texas A&M Lions @ Florida State Seminoles Preview

The Florida State Seminoles host the East Texas A&M Lions in what is anticipated to be a dominant performance for the Seminoles. Florida State is looking to build on a recent upset victory over No. 8 Alabama, where they stunned the Crimson Tide 31-17 as 13.5-point underdogs. This win showcased a punishing rushing attack, led by new quarterback Tommy Castellanos, who contributed 78 rushing yards and a touchdown, and the team collectively amassed 230 rushing yards, a significant improvement from their 2024 average of 89.9 yards. The Seminoles' defense also proved formidable, holding Alabama to just 6 of 17 on third-down conversions and making three stops on fourth down.

Last season, Florida State struggled significantly, finishing with a 2-10 record, their worst in 50 years. They ranked third-worst in FBS in total offense and fourth-worst in scoring offense, covering the spread in only three games and going 2-5 straight up at home. However, the recent performance against Alabama, coupled with an almost entirely new starting lineup and the addition of transfer quarterback Tommy Castellanos, suggests a potential turnaround. Castellanos, a Boston College transfer, threw for 18 touchdowns and just five interceptions last season for the Eagles, and his dual-threat capabilities could reinvigorate the Seminoles' offense.

On the other side, the East Texas A&M Lions are coming off a 3-9 season, including a 2-4 record in the FCS Southland Conference. This game marks their third consecutive season facing an FBS opponent, and they are widely considered to be a significantly weaker opponent for Florida State. The Seminoles are expected to have a "gimme game" against the Lions, providing an opportunity to further solidify their new offensive and defensive schemes.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

There is no recorded head-to-head history between the East Texas A&M Lions and the Florida State Seminoles. This will be their first meeting on the football field.

Pick: Florida State Seminoles Spread

Given the significant disparity in team strength and recent performance, the Florida State Seminoles are poised for a comfortable victory over the East Texas A&M Lions. While specific betting lines for this matchup are not available, Florida State's recent upset win against a top-10 Alabama team demonstrates their capability to dominate, especially against a significantly weaker FCS opponent. The Seminoles' revitalized rushing attack and the dual-threat ability of quarterback Tommy Castellanos should allow them to control the game from the outset. East Texas A&M's 3-9 record in the FCS Southland Conference last season further underscores the expected mismatch. Florida State should cover any reasonable spread set for this game, as they look to build momentum early in the season.

Top Player Prop Picks

Tommy Castellanos - Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns

Florida State's new quarterback, Tommy Castellanos, is expected to have a productive outing against the East Texas A&M Lions. Despite facing a tough Alabama defense in their previous game, Castellanos completed 9 of 14 passes for 152 yards. Against an FCS opponent, the Seminoles' offense should find it much easier to move the ball and convert in the red zone. Castellanos threw for 18 touchdowns last season at Boston College, and it is highly probable he will throw at least one touchdown pass in this matchup. The odds for him to go over 0.5 passing touchdowns are -180, reflecting the high likelihood of this outcome.

Tommy Castellanos - Over 166.5 Passing Yards

While the analysis for Castellanos' passing yards against Alabama suggested the under due to the elite defense, the context completely shifts when facing East Texas A&M. Castellanos managed 152 passing yards against a formidable Crimson Tide defense. Against an FCS team that finished 3-9 last season, he should have ample opportunity to air out the ball and easily surpass the 166.5-yard mark. Even if the game script favors the run, Castellanos' efficiency and the overall offensive talent of Florida State should allow him to exceed this total. The odds for him to go over 166.5 passing yards are -114.

Roydell Williams - Over 27.5 Rushing Yards

Florida State's rushing attack showed significant improvement against Alabama, gaining 230 yards on the ground. Roydell Williams, as one of the Seminoles' running backs, is in a prime position to contribute against an FCS opponent. The line of 27.5 rushing yards is quite low, especially considering the expected dominance of Florida State's ground game in this matchup. The Seminoles will likely lean heavily on their running backs to control the clock and wear down the Lions' defense. Williams should see enough carries and find sufficient running lanes to comfortably exceed this total. The odds for him to go over 27.5 rushing yards are -114.