NFL Pickwatch - Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/3/2024 10:00 PM EST

We have your Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Golden State Warriors hit the road to face the Denver Nuggets.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Golden State Warriors +158 (Caesars) / Denver Nuggets -178 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -4.5 - Golden State Warriors -105 (Caesars) / Denver Nuggets -115 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 239.5 - Under -115 (ESPN BET) / Over -105 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 12/3/2024
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)
TV: TNT

Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

On the road, the Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Golden State Warriors have 4 wins and 3 losses this season.
This season, the Golden State Warriors have hit 10 overs and 9 unders.

Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

At home, the Denver Nuggets have 5 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Denver Nuggets have 7 wins and 6 losses this season.
This season, the Denver Nuggets have hit 12 overs and 6 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors have faced off four times, with Denver emerging victorious in all four encounters. The games were evenly split between home and away victories, with each team winning twice on the road. Despite Denver's dominance in terms of wins, the Warriors have been more successful against the spread, covering in three out of the four matchups. The games have generally leaned towards lower scoring, with the total going under in three of the four contests, and only one game surpassing the over-under line. This trend suggests a pattern of competitive but defensively oriented games between these two teams.

The most recent matchup took place on February 25, 2024, where the Denver Nuggets secured a decisive 119-103 victory over the Golden State Warriors. Denver, playing as the visiting team, was favored with a point spread of -1.5 and successfully covered it with a 16-point win. Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with an impressive performance, scoring 32 points and dishing out 16 assists. Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon also contributed significantly, adding 27 and 17 points, respectively. The Nuggets showcased their offensive efficiency with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and capitalized on the Warriors' 17 turnovers, scoring 24 fast break points. On the other hand, Klay Thompson was the leading scorer for the Warriors with 23 points, but the team struggled to keep pace with Denver's offensive output.

In the previous three games, Denver continued to demonstrate their superiority, albeit with closer margins. On January 4, 2024, Denver edged out Golden State 130-127 in a high-scoring affair, with the game going over the total score line. Earlier, on December 25, 2023, Denver won 120-114, and on November 8, 2023, they secured a narrow 108-105 victory. In these games, Denver was often the favorite, and while they consistently won, the Warriors managed to cover the spread in two of these three matchups. The games were characterized by competitive play, with Denver's offensive prowess and ability to capitalize on turnovers being key factors in their success.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Preview

The Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets are set to clash in a pivotal NBA Cup matchup, with both teams eager to reverse recent slides in form. The Warriors, despite clinching a spot in the knockout round, are looking to snap a four-game losing streak. Their recent struggles have been marked by injuries to key players, including Draymond Green, who is doubtful with calf soreness, and Stephen Curry, who is managing knee tendinitis. Nevertheless, Curry remains a potent offensive force, averaging 22.5 points per game, and his performance will be crucial as the Warriors aim to regain their winning momentum.

On the other side, the Denver Nuggets are fighting to keep their NBA Cup hopes alive. With a 10-8 record, they need a victory against the Warriors and favorable outcomes in other games to advance. The Nuggets have been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses in their last ten games. However, they boast the formidable presence of Nikola Jokic, who is averaging a triple-double with 29.6 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 10.7 assists per game. Jokic's ability to dominate the court will be a significant factor, especially if Green is unable to play.

Denver's recent history against Golden State is favorable, having won their last seven encounters. However, these games have often been closely contested, with an average margin of victory of just 3.8 points in five of those matchups. The Nuggets will look to capitalize on their home-court advantage at Ball Arena, where they have a 5-4 record this season. Michael Porter Jr. will also be a key player for Denver, contributing 18.6 points per game and shooting over 50% from the field.

As the Warriors and Nuggets prepare to face off, both teams are aware of the stakes. For Golden State, it's about regaining confidence and rhythm, while Denver is fighting for survival in the NBA Cup. The game promises to be a high-stakes battle, with both teams bringing their best to the court in pursuit of victory.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming clash between the Golden State Warriors and the Denver Nuggets is poised to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Both teams have shown tendencies towards high-scoring games, with the Nuggets hitting the over in 12 of their 18 games this season, while the Warriors have done so in 10 of their 19 contests. The offensive firepower on both sides is undeniable, with Nikola Jokic leading the charge for Denver, averaging a triple-double with 29.6 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 10.7 assists per game. His ability to orchestrate the offense and score at will makes the Nuggets a formidable threat on the scoreboard.

On the Warriors' side, Stephen Curry remains a pivotal figure, averaging 22.5 points per game despite dealing with knee tendinitis. His shooting prowess, particularly from beyond the arc, is a constant threat to any defense. The Warriors' depth, with players like Andrew Wiggins consistently contributing, adds to their scoring potential. Wiggins has been in fine form, scoring at least 18 points in six of his last seven games, which bodes well for a high-scoring encounter.

Historically, matchups between these two teams have often leaned towards higher scores. In their last four meetings, the total has gone over in three of them, highlighting the offensive capabilities both teams bring to the table. The most recent encounter saw the Nuggets secure a 119-103 victory, with Jokic and Jamal Murray leading the scoring for Denver. Given the current form and the stakes involved in this NBA Cup matchup, both teams are likely to push the pace and exploit their offensive strengths.

Furthermore, the Warriors are eager to break their four-game losing streak, which could see them adopt a more aggressive offensive approach. Meanwhile, the Nuggets, fighting to keep their NBA Cup hopes alive, will be motivated to capitalize on their home-court advantage and put up a strong offensive performance. With both teams having much to play for, expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game that surpasses the total points line.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets Top Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Over 28.5 Points -105 (BetRivers)

Nikola Jokic has been a dominant force for the Denver Nuggets, consistently putting up impressive numbers. Averaging a triple-double with 29.6 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 10.7 assists per game, Jokic is the centerpiece of Denver's offense. His scoring prowess is evident, having scored a season-high 41 points against the Los Angeles Clippers earlier this season. With the Warriors potentially missing Draymond Green, who is doubtful due to calf soreness, Jokic could find even more opportunities to exploit Golden State's defense. The Warriors have struggled recently, losing four consecutive games, and Jokic's ability to score in various ways makes the over on 28.5 points a compelling pick.

Stephen Curry Over 4.5 3Fgm 120 (bet365)

Stephen Curry remains one of the most lethal shooters in the NBA, and his ability to hit from beyond the arc is unmatched. Despite dealing with knee tendinitis, Curry is averaging 22.5 points per game and shooting 43.4% from three-point range. In a game where the Warriors are looking to break a four-game losing streak, Curry's shooting will be crucial. The Nuggets' defense will have their hands full trying to contain him, especially with the Warriors' depth allowing Curry to find open looks. Given his track record and the stakes of the game, betting on Curry to exceed 4.5 made three-pointers is a strong play.

Jamal Murray Over 5.5 Assists -130 (bet365)

Jamal Murray has been a key contributor for the Nuggets, not just in scoring but also in facilitating the offense. Averaging 18.1 points and showing his playmaking ability with eight assists in a recent game against the Clippers, Murray is integral to Denver's success. With Nikola Jokic drawing significant defensive attention, Murray often finds himself in positions to create opportunities for his teammates. The Warriors' defense, potentially weakened by the absence of Draymond Green, could allow Murray to exploit passing lanes and rack up assists. Given his recent form and the importance of this game for Denver, the over on 5.5 assists is a well-supported choice.