Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/31/2024 8:30 PM EST

We have your Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Houston Rockets hit the road to face the Dallas Mavericks.

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Houston Rockets +215 (FanDuel) / Dallas Mavericks -245 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -6.5 - Houston Rockets -109 (BetRivers) / -6.0 - Dallas Mavericks -112 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 226.0 - Under -110 (Caesars) / 225.5 - Over -115 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 10/31/2024
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)
TV: NBA League Pass

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks have faced each other four times. In these matchups, the Mavericks have emerged victorious in three games, while the Rockets have claimed one win. The home team has generally held the advantage, winning three of the four games, with the visiting team securing just one victory. When it comes to covering the spread, the Mavericks have been more successful, covering in three games compared to the Rockets' one. The games have tended to be high-scoring affairs, with the total score going over the set line in three of the four contests, while only one game fell under.

The most recent encounter between these two teams took place on April 7, 2024, with the Mavericks defeating the Rockets 147-136 in an overtime thriller. Kyrie Irving was the standout performer for Dallas, scoring 48 points, including key baskets in both regulation and overtime. Luka Doncic also made a significant contribution with 37 points and 12 assists. On the Rockets' side, Dillon Brooks led the scoring with 29 points. The Mavericks shot 54.1% from the field and excelled at the free-throw line, converting 88.9% of their attempts. In contrast, the Rockets shot 49.5% from the field and 77.1% from the free-throw line. Despite the loss, the Rockets led in fast break points, 28-15, and had a larger lead at one point in the game, up by 22 points compared to the Mavericks' largest lead of 11 points.

In the other three games, the Mavericks continued to demonstrate their dominance. On March 31, 2024, they secured a decisive 125-107 victory in Houston, covering the spread as the favorite. Earlier in the season, on December 22, 2023, the Rockets managed to win 122-96 at home, covering the spread as the favorite. The first matchup of the two-season span occurred on November 28, 2023, with the Mavericks winning 121-115 at home, again covering the spread. Across these games, the Mavericks have consistently been the favorite, as indicated by the moneyline odds, and have generally lived up to expectations by winning and covering the spread in most encounters.

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Preview

The Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks are set to clash in a highly anticipated matchup at the American Airlines Center. Both teams have shown promise early in the season, with the Rockets holding a 2-2 record and the Mavericks at 3-1. The Rockets, led by the dynamic Jalen Green, are looking to build on their recent victory over the San Antonio Spurs. Green has been a revelation, averaging 28.8 points per game and showcasing his prowess from beyond the arc with a 41% shooting percentage from three-point range. His assertiveness on the court has been a key factor in Houston's offensive strategy, and his performance will be crucial if the Rockets hope to challenge the Mavericks.

On the other side, the Mavericks are coming off a strong road win against the Minnesota Timberwolves, where Kyrie Irving delivered an efficient 35-point performance. Luka Doncic, while not at his most efficient in that game, remains a central figure for Dallas, averaging 26.8 points, 9.3 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per game. The Mavericks have demonstrated their ability to close out games, as evidenced by Doncic's game-sealing three-pointer against the Timberwolves. Dallas's home court has been a fortress, with the team unbeaten in their first two home games of the season.

Defensively, both teams have shown improvements. The Rockets have climbed 11 spots in opponent points per game compared to last season, allowing just 107 points per game. However, they have struggled against teams with elite guards, a challenge they will face again with the Mavericks' backcourt duo of Doncic and Irving. The Mavericks, meanwhile, boast the ninth-best net rating in the league, a testament to their balanced play on both ends of the court.

Historically, the Mavericks have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last four encounters. The Rockets have found it challenging to secure victories in Dallas, with just one win in their last seven visits. As both teams prepare for this Texas showdown, the Mavericks' depth and experience, particularly in high-pressure situations, could prove decisive. With both teams eager to assert their dominance in the Southwest Division, this game promises to be a thrilling contest.

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Pick: Dallas Mavericks Moneyline

In this highly anticipated matchup between the Houston Rockets and the Dallas Mavericks, the smart money is on the Mavericks to secure a victory on their home court. The Mavericks have demonstrated a strong start to the season, boasting a 3-1 record and showcasing their ability to close out games effectively. Their recent road win against the Minnesota Timberwolves highlighted their resilience and depth, with Kyrie Irving delivering an efficient 35-point performance and Luka Doncic contributing significantly despite a less efficient shooting night. Doncic's ability to hit clutch shots, such as his game-sealing three-pointer against the Timberwolves, underscores the Mavericks' capability to perform under pressure.

Historically, the Mavericks have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last four encounters against the Rockets. The home court advantage has been significant, with the Mavericks unbeaten in their first two home games of the season. This trend is likely to continue, given the Rockets' struggles in Dallas, where they have managed just one win in their last seven visits.

Defensively, the Mavericks have been solid, boasting the ninth-best net rating in the league. This balanced play on both ends of the court makes them a formidable opponent, particularly against a Rockets team that has shown vulnerability against elite guards. While the Rockets have improved defensively, climbing 11 spots in opponent points per game, they have yet to face a team of the Mavericks' caliber this season.

With the Mavericks' depth, experience, and home court advantage, they are well-positioned to come out on top in this Texas showdown. Backing the Mavericks on the moneyline is a prudent choice, as they look to assert their dominance in the Southwest Division and continue their strong start to the season.

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Top Player Prop Picks

Jalen Green Over 3.5 Assists +130 (FanDuel)

Jalen Green has been a standout performer for the Houston Rockets this season, averaging 28.8 points per game and showing significant improvement in his overall play. His assertiveness on the court has been a key factor in Houston's offensive strategy. While his scoring prowess is well-documented, Green's ability to facilitate and create opportunities for his teammates should not be overlooked. With the Rockets relying heavily on Green to lead their offense, he is likely to have the ball in his hands frequently, providing ample opportunities to surpass the 3.5 assists line. Given the odds of +130, this prop offers good value, especially considering Green's role as the primary playmaker for the Rockets.

Kyrie Irving Over 33.5 Points Rebounds Assists -105 (DraftKings)

Kyrie Irving has been instrumental in the Dallas Mavericks' strong start to the season, highlighted by his efficient 35-point performance against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Irving's ability to contribute across multiple facets of the game makes the over on 33.5 points, rebounds, and assists an attractive proposition. With Luka Doncic drawing significant defensive attention, Irving often finds himself in advantageous positions to score, rebound, and assist. The Mavericks' reliance on Irving's offensive output, combined with his knack for stepping up in crucial moments, suggests he will have ample opportunities to fill the stat sheet against a Rockets team that has struggled against elite guards.

Alperen Sengun Over 0.5 Blocks +110 (BetMGM)

Alperen Sengun has been a key defensive presence for the Houston Rockets, and his ability to protect the rim will be crucial against the high-powered offense of the Dallas Mavericks. With odds of +110, betting on Sengun to record at least one block offers good value. The Mavericks, led by Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, are known for their aggressive drives to the basket, which should provide Sengun with opportunities to contest shots and accumulate blocks. Given the Rockets' emphasis on improving their defensive metrics this season, Sengun's role as a rim protector is likely to be emphasized, making the over on 0.5 blocks a compelling choice.