NFL Pickwatch - Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/26/2024 8:00 PM EST

We have your Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Houston Rockets hit the road to face the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Houston Rockets +130 (DraftKings) / Minnesota Timberwolves -150 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: -3.5 - Houston Rockets -110 (DraftKings) / Minnesota Timberwolves -110 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 221.5 - Under -109 (BetRivers) / 221.0 - Over -105 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 11/26/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Target Center (Minneapolis, MN)
TV: FanDuel SN North

Houston Rockets Betting Trends

On the road, the Houston Rockets have 4 wins and 3 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Houston Rockets have 2 wins and 2 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Houston Rockets have 12 wins and 6 losses.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Trends

At home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have 5 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Minnesota Timberwolves have 8 wins and 7 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Minnesota Timberwolves have 8 wins and 8 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves have faced each other three times, with the Timberwolves emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between January 2024 and April 2024. In these matchups, the home team won twice, while the visiting team secured a single victory. The Timberwolves covered the spread in two of the games, while the Rockets managed to cover the spread once. The total score went over the set line in two of the games, while it stayed under in one. Across these games, the Timberwolves consistently outperformed the Rockets, both in terms of scoring and defensive metrics.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on April 2, 2024, with the Timberwolves winning 113-106. In this matchup, the Timberwolves were the favorites with a point spread of -7.5, and they won by a margin of seven points, which meant the Rockets covered the spread. The game total of 219 points exceeded the over-under line of 214, resulting in an "over" outcome. Naz Reid led the Timberwolves with 25 points, while Jalen Green was the top scorer for the Rockets with 26 points. The Timberwolves had a superior shooting performance, hitting 53.2% of their field goals and 42.3% of their three-point attempts, compared to the Rockets' 44.6% field goal percentage and 29.2% from beyond the arc. Both teams had a similar rebounding performance, with the Timberwolves grabbing 39 rebounds to the Rockets' 37.

In the earlier games, the Timberwolves demonstrated their dominance with a 111-90 victory on February 4, 2024, and a 122-95 win on January 5, 2024. In the February matchup, the Timberwolves were favored with a -7.5 spread and covered it comfortably with a 21-point win. The total score of 201 points fell under the set line of 222. In the January game, the Timberwolves were again the favorites with a -180 moneyline and covered the 4-point spread with a decisive 27-point victory. The total score of 217 points slightly exceeded the over-under line of 215.5. Throughout these games, the Timberwolves consistently showcased their offensive and defensive strengths, maintaining a higher shooting percentage and effective field goal percentage compared to the Rockets.

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Preview

The Houston Rockets are set to face the Minnesota Timberwolves in a pivotal matchup that could determine the standings in Western Conference Group A of the Emirates NBA Cup 2024. The Rockets, boasting a 12-6 record, have been one of the more surprising teams this season, showing resilience and strong defensive play. However, they are coming off a disappointing 104-98 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers, a game where their offensive struggles were evident, particularly from their starting backcourt of Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet. Green, who has been battling an illness, has seen a dip in his shooting performance, which could be a concern heading into this game.

On the other side, the Timberwolves, with an 8-8 record, are looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak. Despite their recent struggles, they have shown flashes of potential, particularly in a close contest against the Boston Celtics. Anthony Edwards has been a standout performer for Minnesota, leading the team with an impressive 27.9 points per game. The Timberwolves have undergone significant changes this season, including a major trade that brought in Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo, which has required some adjustment time for the team.

Historically, the Timberwolves have had the upper hand against the Rockets, winning all three encounters last season. The physicality of Edwards and the defensive presence of Rudy Gobert have posed challenges for the Rockets in past matchups. The Timberwolves' ability to defend the perimeter and control the paint will be crucial in this game, especially against a Rockets team that has struggled with shooting consistency.

As both teams vie for control of Group A, the Timberwolves will look to leverage their home-court advantage at the Target Center, where they have been relatively strong this season. The Rockets, meanwhile, will aim to overcome their recent offensive woes and capitalize on their defensive strengths to secure a crucial victory. With the stakes high, this matchup promises to be a competitive and closely contested battle.

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves Moneyline

The Minnesota Timberwolves are poised to secure a crucial victory against the Houston Rockets, and the moneyline pick for this matchup leans heavily in their favor. Despite their recent two-game losing streak, the Timberwolves have shown resilience and potential, particularly in their narrow loss to the Boston Celtics. Anthony Edwards has been a standout performer, averaging an impressive 27.9 points per game, and his physicality has consistently posed challenges for the Rockets in past encounters. The Timberwolves' home-court advantage at the Target Center, where they have a solid 5-2 record this season, further bolsters their chances.

Historically, the Timberwolves have dominated the Rockets, winning all three matchups last season. The defensive presence of Rudy Gobert and the recent addition of Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo have strengthened Minnesota's lineup, providing a formidable challenge for Houston's offense. The Rockets, on the other hand, are coming off a disappointing loss to the Portland Trail Blazers, where their offensive struggles were evident, particularly from their starting backcourt of Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet. Green's recent illness and shooting slump add to the Rockets' concerns, making it difficult for them to generate enough offense against a Timberwolves team that excels in perimeter defense and paint control.

With the stakes high in the Emirates NBA Cup 2024 Group A standings, the Timberwolves are motivated to leverage their home advantage and secure a win that would give them control of their destiny in the group stage. Given their recent performances and historical success against the Rockets, the Timberwolves are well-positioned to emerge victorious in this pivotal matchup.

Houston Rockets at Minnesota Timberwolves Top Player Prop Picks

Anthony Edwards Over 27.5 Points -115 (bet365)

Anthony Edwards has been a standout performer for the Minnesota Timberwolves, averaging an impressive 27.9 points per game this season. His scoring prowess is further highlighted by his efficient shooting percentages, with 47.2% from the field and 43.8% from beyond the arc. Given the Rockets' recent struggles in defending the perimeter, as noted by Coach Ime Udoka's comments on their need to improve 3-point defense, Edwards is well-positioned to exploit these weaknesses. Additionally, with the Timberwolves playing at home, where they have a solid 5-2 record, Edwards is likely to thrive in a familiar environment, making the over on his points a compelling pick.

Jalen Green Under 18.5 Points -105 (bet365)

Jalen Green has been battling an illness and has seen a dip in his shooting performance, which is a concern heading into this matchup against the Timberwolves. Despite averaging 18.7 points this season, his recent shooting slump, including a 3-for-14 performance against the Trail Blazers, suggests he may struggle to reach his usual scoring output. The Timberwolves' defensive presence, particularly with Rudy Gobert's rim protection, poses additional challenges for Green. Historically, Green has found it difficult against Minnesota, winning just one of ten career matchups and averaging 18.6 points. Given these factors, the under on his points is a prudent choice.

Rudy Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds -108 (BetRivers)

Rudy Gobert's dominance on the boards is a key factor for the Timberwolves, and he is averaging 11.5 rebounds per game this season. His ability to control the paint will be crucial against a Rockets team that has struggled with shooting consistency. Gobert's physical presence inside often complicates the game plan for Houston's Alperen Sengun and other slashers, making it likely that Gobert will have ample opportunities to secure rebounds. With the Timberwolves looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak, Gobert's rebounding will be pivotal in limiting second-chance opportunities for the Rockets, making the over on his rebounds a strong pick.