Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/1/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Houston Texans hit the road to face the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Houston Texans -225 (bet365) / Jacksonville Jaguars +195 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: 5.0 - Houston Texans -110 (BetMGM) / 5.5 - Jacksonville Jaguars -115 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 43.5 - Under -108 (FanDuel) / Over -105 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 12/1/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars have faced each other three times. In these matchups, the Texans emerged victorious twice, while the Jaguars secured one win. The visiting team has had the upper hand in two of these encounters, with the home team winning only once. When it comes to covering the spread, the Jaguars have done so twice, whereas the Texans have managed to cover the spread only once. The games have generally leaned towards lower scoring, with the total score going under the set line in two out of the three games, and only once did the total score exceed the over-under line.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on September 29, 2024, where the Houston Texans defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars with a final score of 24-20. The Texans, playing at home, were the favorites with a closing spread of -5.5, but the Jaguars managed to cover the spread. The game saw a total score of 44, which was under the closing over-under line of 44.5. Houston's C.J. Stroud had a standout performance with 345 passing yards and two touchdowns, contributing significantly to the Texans' 435 total yards. In contrast, Jacksonville's Trevor Lawrence threw for 169 yards and two touchdowns, with the Jaguars accumulating 313 total yards. The Texans also demonstrated superior third-down efficiency, converting 53.8% of their attempts compared to the Jaguars' 33.3%.

In the previous two games, the Texans and Jaguars each had a win. On November 26, 2023, the Jaguars won 24-21 as the visiting team, covering the spread as slight favorites. The total score of 45 points fell under the closing over-under line of 48.5. Earlier that season, on September 24, 2023, the Texans secured a decisive 37-17 victory on the road, covering the spread as underdogs. The total score of 54 points exceeded the over-under line of 43.5. Across these games, the Texans have shown a strong passing game, while the Jaguars have had mixed results in both rushing and passing, with turnovers playing a crucial role in the outcomes.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Preview

The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars are set to clash in a pivotal AFC South matchup at EverBank Stadium. The Texans, despite a recent slump, remain atop the division with a 7-5 record. However, their recent form has been concerning, losing three of their last four games, including a surprising defeat to the struggling Tennessee Titans. Quarterback C.J. Stroud, who was a revelation in his rookie season, has shown signs of vulnerability, throwing five interceptions over the past three weeks. The Texans will be eager to rectify these issues and solidify their divisional lead.

On the other side, the Jaguars are enduring a challenging season, sitting at 2-9 and coming off a bye week. Their recent performances have been disappointing, highlighted by a crushing 52-6 loss to the Detroit Lions. The absence of starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who has been sidelined with an AC joint sprain, has been a significant factor in their struggles. Mac Jones has stepped in but has been unable to turn the tide, as evidenced by his performance against the Lions where he threw for just 138 yards and an interception.

Despite their record, the Jaguars have the potential to play spoiler, especially against a divisional rival like the Texans. The return of Trevor Lawrence to practice is a positive sign, though his status for the game remains uncertain. The Jaguars' defense will need to step up, particularly in containing the Texans' passing attack, which has been their strength. Historically, these matchups have been closely contested, with the Texans winning two of the last three encounters. However, the Jaguars have shown resilience, covering the spread in two of those games.

As both teams prepare for this encounter, the Texans will aim to regain their early-season form, while the Jaguars will look to salvage some pride and potentially disrupt Houston's playoff aspirations. With both teams having something to prove, this game promises to be an intriguing battle in the AFC South.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Pick: Total Points Over

As the Houston Texans prepare to face the Jacksonville Jaguars, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. Historically, matchups between these two teams have shown a tendency towards higher scores, with the total score exceeding the over-under line in one of their last three encounters. The most recent game between the Texans and Jaguars ended with a total of 44 points, just under the closing line, but the offensive capabilities of both teams suggest a different outcome this time.

The Texans, despite their recent struggles, have demonstrated a potent passing attack led by C.J. Stroud. In their last meeting, Stroud threw for 345 yards and two touchdowns, showcasing his ability to move the ball effectively against the Jaguars' defense. Although Stroud has faced challenges recently, including five interceptions over the past three weeks, his potential to bounce back and exploit a vulnerable Jaguars secondary remains high. The Texans' offensive prowess is further highlighted by their ability to accumulate significant yardage, as seen in their 435 total yards in the previous matchup.

On the other hand, the Jaguars, while struggling this season, have the potential to contribute to a high-scoring game, especially with the possible return of Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence's presence on the field could rejuvenate the Jaguars' offense, which has been lackluster in his absence. Even if Lawrence is not at full strength, the Jaguars have shown resilience in past games, managing to cover the spread against the Texans despite being underdogs.

Moreover, both teams have defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to a shootout. The Jaguars' defense has been porous, as evidenced by their recent 52-6 loss to the Lions, while the Texans have also shown susceptibility, particularly in their recent loss to the Titans. These defensive lapses, combined with the offensive capabilities of both teams, set the stage for a game that could easily surpass the current total points line of 43.5.

The combination of offensive talent and defensive weaknesses on both sides makes the over a compelling choice for this AFC South clash. With both teams eager to prove themselves and the potential for explosive plays, expect a high-scoring contest that exceeds expectations.

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Top Player Prop Picks

C.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -110 (DraftKings)

C.J. Stroud has been a standout performer for the Houston Texans, and despite recent struggles, he remains a potent force in the passing game. In their last encounter with the Jaguars, Stroud threw for 345 yards and two touchdowns, demonstrating his ability to dissect Jacksonville's defense. The Jaguars have shown vulnerabilities in their secondary, as evidenced by their recent 52-6 loss to the Lions, where they allowed significant yardage through the air. With Stroud eager to bounce back from a few challenging weeks, expect him to capitalize on these defensive lapses and exceed the 1.5 passing touchdowns line.

Trevor Lawrence Under 225.5 Passing Yards -115 (FanDuel)

Trevor Lawrence's return to practice is a positive sign for the Jaguars, but his status for the game remains uncertain. Even if he plays, Lawrence may not be at full strength, given his recent AC joint sprain. In their previous matchup against the Texans, Lawrence managed only 169 passing yards, and with the Jaguars' offensive struggles this season, it is reasonable to expect a conservative game plan. The Texans' defense, while not flawless, has shown the ability to contain opposing quarterbacks, making the under on Lawrence's passing yards a compelling choice.

Joe Mixon Under 60.5 Rushing Yards -110 (BetMGM)

Joe Mixon has been a key component of the Texans' offense, but his recent performances suggest a potential struggle against the Jaguars. In their last game against the Titans, Mixon was limited to just 22 rushing yards on 14 carries, averaging a mere 1.6 yards per attempt. The Jaguars, despite their overall defensive issues, have the capability to focus on limiting Mixon's impact on the ground. With the Texans likely to rely more on their passing game, Mixon may find it challenging to surpass the 60.5 rushing yards line, making the under a strategic pick.