Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/1/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Indianapolis Colts hit the road to face the New England Patriots.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Indianapolis Colts -145 (ESPN BET) / New England Patriots +130 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: 2.5 - Indianapolis Colts -120 (FanDuel) / 3.0 - New England Patriots -120 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 42.5 - Under -110 (bet365) / Over -110 (bet365)

Game Info

Date: 12/1/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)
TV: CBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots have faced each other twice, with each team securing one victory. The games were evenly split between the home and visiting teams, with each winning once. In terms of betting outcomes, both teams have also covered the spread once each. Notably, both games went under the projected total score, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring contests when these two teams meet. The Colts and Patriots have shown a balanced competition, with neither team consistently dominating the other in these recent matchups.

The most recent encounter between the Colts and the Patriots took place on November 12, 2023, where the Colts emerged victorious with a narrow 10-6 win. The game was characterized by strong defensive performances from both sides, as evidenced by the low final score. The Colts managed to score a touchdown in the first quarter through a 1-yard rush by Jonathan Taylor, complemented by a field goal in the fourth quarter by Matt Gay. The Patriots' scoring was limited to two field goals by Chad Ryland, one in the first quarter and another in the fourth. The Colts' defense was particularly effective, recording five sacks and two interceptions, which played a crucial role in their victory.

In contrast, the earlier matchup on November 6, 2022, saw the Patriots dominate with a 26-3 win over the Colts. The Patriots, playing at home, were the favorites and covered the spread comfortably. Their defense was formidable, sacking the Colts' quarterback nine times and intercepting a pass, which contributed to their decisive victory. The Patriots' offense was efficient, with a balanced attack that included a passing touchdown and four field goals. The Colts struggled offensively, managing only 121 total yards and failing to convert any of their third-down attempts. This game highlighted the Patriots' ability to capitalize on their home advantage and execute a strong defensive strategy.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Preview

The upcoming matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium promises to be a pivotal game for both teams, albeit for different reasons. The Colts, sitting at 5-7, are clinging to their playoff hopes and view this game as a must-win to stay in the hunt for a wild-card spot. With a favorable schedule ahead, featuring opponents with a combined record of 17-40, the Colts have a slim margin for error and need to capitalize on every opportunity, starting with this game against the Patriots.

Quarterback Anthony Richardson will be a key figure for the Colts, as he looks to build on his recent performances. Despite a setback against the Detroit Lions, Richardson has shown flashes of potential and will need to be at his best to exploit a Patriots defense that has struggled at times this season. The Colts' running game, led by Jonathan Taylor, has been inconsistent, but facing a New England defense that ranks 18th in rushing yards allowed per game could provide the spark needed to get back on track. Taylor's ability to break through the Patriots' defensive line will be crucial, especially given the Patriots' vulnerability to the run at home, where they allow 130.0 rushing yards per game.

On the other side, the Patriots are in a rebuilding phase under head coach Jerod Mayo, with a 3-9 record that reflects their struggles this season. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown promise, but the team is still searching for its identity post-Bill Belichick. The Patriots' recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable defensive showing against the Chicago Bears but a disappointing loss to the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots will look to leverage their home-field advantage and improve their discipline, having been penalized heavily in recent games.

Both teams have something to prove, and while the Colts are fighting for a playoff berth, the Patriots are focused on building a foundation for future success. This game is not just about the present standings but also about setting the tone for the remainder of the season. With both teams having shown the ability to score and concede points in recent weeks, this matchup could see a higher scoring affair than their previous encounters, making it an intriguing contest for fans and analysts alike.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming clash between the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots is shaping up to be a game where the total points could easily surpass the set line of 42.5. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities on defense and potential on offense, which could lead to a higher-scoring affair than their recent encounters. The Colts, led by quarterback Anthony Richardson, have a favorable matchup against a Patriots defense that has struggled against the run, allowing 130.0 rushing yards per game at home. This presents an opportunity for Jonathan Taylor to break out of his recent slump and contribute significantly to the scoreboard.

On the other side, the Patriots, despite their 3-9 record, have shown flashes of offensive capability, particularly with rookie quarterback Drake Maye under center. Maye's dual-threat ability could exploit a Colts defense that has been inconsistent throughout the season. The Patriots' recent games have seen them both score and concede a significant number of points, as evidenced by their 34-15 loss to the Dolphins, where their defense was unable to contain a high-powered passing attack.

Furthermore, the Colts are in a must-win situation to keep their playoff hopes alive, which could lead to a more aggressive offensive approach. With both teams having something to prove and the potential for explosive plays on both sides, this matchup is primed to exceed the projected total. The combination of the Colts' need for a win and the Patriots' quest to establish a new identity post-Belichick suggests a game that could see plenty of action and scoring opportunities, making the over a compelling pick.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots Top Player Prop Picks

Jonathan Taylor Over 98.5 Rushing Receiving Yards -117 (Caesars)

Jonathan Taylor is poised for a breakout performance against a New England Patriots defense that has shown vulnerability against the run, particularly at home. The Patriots are allowing 130.0 rushing yards per game at Gillette Stadium, which ranks among the highest in the league. Taylor, despite recent struggles, remains a key component of the Colts' offensive strategy. With the Colts in a must-win situation to keep their playoff hopes alive, expect them to lean heavily on Taylor to exploit the Patriots' defensive weaknesses. Head coach Shane Steichen has emphasized the need to get Taylor more involved, and this matchup provides the perfect opportunity for Taylor to surpass the 98.5 rushing and receiving yards line.

Drake Maye Over 226.5 Passing Yards -110 (bet365)

Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential in his debut season, and he faces a Colts defense that has been inconsistent throughout the year. Maye's dual-threat capability adds an extra dimension to the Patriots' offense, and with the Colts focusing on stopping the run, Maye should find opportunities to exploit their secondary. The Colts' defense has allowed significant yardage in the air in previous matchups, and with the Patriots looking to establish a new identity post-Belichick, Maye will be eager to showcase his arm strength and accuracy. Expect Maye to exceed the 226.5 passing yards line as he continues to develop as a franchise quarterback.

Anthony Richardson Over 44.5 Rushing Yards -110 (bet365)

Anthony Richardson's ability to make plays with his legs will be crucial against a Patriots defense that has struggled to contain mobile quarterbacks. Richardson has been a dynamic force for the Colts, and with the Patriots ranking 18th in rushing yards allowed per game, he should find ample opportunities to break free for significant gains. The Colts are in a position where they need to maximize every offensive weapon to stay in the playoff race, and Richardson's rushing ability provides a unique challenge for the Patriots' defense. Look for Richardson to surpass the 44.5 rushing yards line as he looks to lead the Colts to a pivotal victory.