New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/30/2024 1:10 PM EST

We have your New York Mets at Atlanta Braves prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets hit the road to face the Atlanta Braves.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets +136 (DraftKings) / Atlanta Braves -154 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - New York Mets -164 (FanDuel) / Atlanta Braves +145 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -105 (DraftKings) / Over -115 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: 9/30/2024
Time: 1:10 PM EST
Location: Truist Park (Atlanta, Georgia)
TV: ESPN2

New York Mets Betting Trends

On the road, the New York Mets have 42 wins and 37 losses this season.
As the favorite, the New York Mets have 37 wins and 31 losses this season.
Overall this season, the New York Mets have 88 wins and 72 losses.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

At home, the Atlanta Braves have 45 wins and 34 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Atlanta Braves have 80 wins and 59 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Atlanta Braves have 88 wins and 72 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past month, the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets have faced each other once, with the Braves emerging victorious. This game was played on September 24, 2024, and saw the home team, Atlanta, defeating the visiting Mets. The Braves, who were the favorites with a moneyline of -140, covered the spread of -1.5, while the Mets, with a moneyline of +115, failed to cover. The game went under the total score line, with a final score of 5-1, against an over-under set at 8.0. This matchup highlighted the Braves' ability to capitalize on their home advantage, as they secured the win and covered the spread, while the Mets struggled to make an impact.

In the detailed breakdown of the game on September 24, the Braves took control early, scoring three runs in the third inning. Michael Harris II was instrumental, doubling to bring Orlando Arcia home, and later scoring himself on an Ozzie Albies single. Ramón Laureano added another run, bringing Albies across the plate. Harris II continued his strong performance with a home run in the fourth inning, and Marcell Ozuna extended the lead with a homer in the fifth. The Mets managed to score their only run in the seventh inning with a home run by Mark Vientos. The Braves' offense was efficient, recording 10 hits and leaving 14 runners on base, while the Mets struggled with only 4 hits and 10 runners left on base.

The pitching performances were also a key factor in the game. The Braves' pitcher, Spencer Schwellenbach, delivered a solid performance, pitching nine innings with an earned run average of 1.00 and striking out six batters. In contrast, the Mets' pitcher, Luis Severino, allowed five earned runs over eight innings, despite striking out eight batters. The Braves' ability to convert their hits into runs and maintain a strong defensive performance was crucial in their victory. As the teams prepare to face each other again, the Braves will look to replicate their success, while the Mets will aim to adjust and improve their performance.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Preview

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves are set to face off in a high-stakes doubleheader at Truist Park, with both teams vying for a spot in the 2024 MLB playoffs. This matchup is particularly crucial as it will determine the final National League wild-card spots, with the Arizona Diamondbacks anxiously awaiting the outcome. The Mets and Braves are both locked at 88-72, and a win in either game will secure a playoff berth for the victor, while a sweep by either team would allow the Diamondbacks to advance.

The Mets, who have shown resilience throughout the season, are coming off a decisive 5-0 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers. Tylor Megill will take the mound for New York in Game 1, bringing a 3.98 ERA and a recent string of strong performances, including a 1.79 ERA since his recall in late August. The Mets' offense, led by Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, will need to capitalize on their opportunities against a formidable Braves pitching staff. Lindor, who recently returned from injury, has been a key contributor, boasting a .271 batting average with 32 home runs this season.

On the other side, the Braves will counter with rookie Spencer Schwellenbach, who has been impressive in his debut season with an 8-7 record and a 3.47 ERA. Schwellenbach has been particularly effective against the Mets, allowing just one run over 14 innings in two starts this year. Atlanta's lineup, featuring the likes of Michael Harris II, who has been on a hot streak with multiple multi-hit games, will look to maintain their offensive momentum. Harris II's recent performances, including a standout game against the Mets earlier this week, highlight his ability to impact the game both at the plate and on the base paths.

The strategic decisions made by both teams will be pivotal, especially considering the potential use of their aces, Luis Severino for the Mets and Chris Sale for the Braves, in the second game if necessary. The outcome of Game 1 will heavily influence these decisions, as the winning team will likely rest key players in preparation for the playoffs. With so much at stake, this doubleheader promises to deliver intense competition and could very well be a defining moment in the 2024 MLB season.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline

The Atlanta Braves are poised to secure a playoff spot in the first game of their doubleheader against the New York Mets, and the odds are in their favor. With a home record of 45-34 this season, the Braves have demonstrated their ability to capitalize on their home-field advantage at Truist Park. The Braves have also been successful as favorites, boasting 80 wins and 59 losses in such situations. This confidence is further bolstered by their recent victory over the Mets on September 24, where they dominated with a 5-1 win, showcasing their offensive prowess and pitching strength.

Spencer Schwellenbach, the Braves' rookie sensation, will take the mound in Game 1. Schwellenbach has been a revelation this season, posting an 8-7 record with a 3.47 ERA. His performances against the Mets have been particularly impressive, allowing just one run over 14 innings in two starts. This includes a standout game where he struck out 11 batters over seven scoreless innings. His ability to stifle the Mets' offense gives the Braves a significant edge in this crucial matchup.

Offensively, the Braves are led by Michael Harris II, who has been on a tear with multiple multi-hit games recently. Harris II's ability to impact the game both at the plate and on the base paths was evident in their last encounter with the Mets, where he contributed significantly to the Braves' victory. His recent form, combined with the Braves' overall offensive depth, positions them well to challenge the Mets' pitching staff.

While the Mets have shown resilience, particularly with Tylor Megill's recent strong performances, the Braves' combination of home advantage, superior head-to-head record, and Schwellenbach's dominance against the Mets makes them the favored pick. The strategic decision to potentially rest ace Chris Sale for the Wild Card Series, should they win Game 1, further underscores the Braves' confidence in securing a victory early. With so much at stake, the Braves are well-equipped to clinch a playoff berth in this high-stakes encounter.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Top Player Prop Picks

Spencer Schwellenbach Under 5.5 Hits Allowed -145 (Caesars)

Spencer Schwellenbach has been a revelation for the Braves this season, particularly when facing the New York Mets. In his two starts against them, Schwellenbach has allowed just one run over 14 innings, showcasing his ability to stifle their offense. His impressive 3.47 ERA and 1.07 WHIP further highlight his effectiveness on the mound. Given his track record against the Mets and his recent form, Schwellenbach is well-positioned to keep the Mets' hitters in check once again. The odds reflect his dominance, and the under on hits allowed is a strong play, especially considering the high stakes of this matchup.

Michael Harris Over 0.5 Singles -130 (bet365)

Michael Harris II has been a standout performer for the Braves, particularly in recent games. His ability to consistently get on base has been a key factor in Atlanta's offensive success. Harris has recorded multiple multi-hit games over the past week, including a stellar performance against the Mets where he went 3-for-4 with a double and a home run. His .266 batting average, combined with his recent hot streak, makes the over on singles a compelling choice. Harris's knack for finding gaps in the defense and his current form suggest he will continue to be a thorn in the Mets' side.

Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Runs Scored -105 (DraftKings)

Francisco Lindor has been a crucial component of the Mets' lineup, especially since his return from injury. In the recent victory over the Brewers, Lindor went 2-for-4 with a home run, two RBIs, and two runs scored, demonstrating his ability to impact the game in multiple ways. With a .271 batting average and 32 home runs this season, Lindor is a constant threat at the plate. His ability to get on base and the Mets' need for offensive production in this critical game make the over on runs scored an attractive proposition. Given his recent form and the stakes of the matchup, Lindor is likely to be heavily involved in the Mets' scoring opportunities.