New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/6/2024 4:08 PM EST

We have your New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Mets hit the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Mets +132 (BetRivers) / Philadelphia Phillies -150 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - New York Mets -160 (bet365) / Philadelphia Phillies +140 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 8.0 - Under -110 (FanDuel) / 7.5 - Over -120 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 10/6/2024
Time: 4:08 PM EST
Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
TV: FS1

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past month, the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies have faced off in seven games, with the Mets securing four victories and the Phillies winning three. The home team has had a distinct advantage, winning five of these encounters, while the visiting team managed to win only twice. In terms of betting outcomes, the Mets have been more successful against the spread, covering in five games compared to the Phillies' two. The games have generally been high-scoring affairs, with the total score going over the set line in five instances, while staying under in two.

The most recent matchup on September 22, 2024, saw the New York Mets narrowly defeat the Philadelphia Phillies with a final score of 2-1. The Phillies took an early lead in the first inning with Alec Bohm's single allowing Trea Turner to score. However, the Mets equalized in the second inning when Tyrone Taylor's single brought Mark Vientos home. The decisive moment came in the sixth inning when Brandon Nimmo hit a 351-foot home run to secure the Mets' victory. The Mets recorded seven hits and two runs, while the Phillies managed five hits and one run. The Mets' pitcher was particularly effective, recording 12 strikeouts with an earned run average of 1.00, compared to the Phillies' pitcher who had 10 strikeouts and an earned run average of 2.25. Both teams displayed solid fielding, maintaining a perfect fielding percentage.

In the broader context of these seven games, the Mets have shown a slight edge in performance, both in terms of wins and covering the spread. The games have been predominantly high-scoring, with the over hitting in five out of seven matchups. The Phillies have managed to win as underdogs in some instances, but the Mets have generally been more consistent, especially when playing at home. As the two teams prepare to face each other again, these statistics provide a comprehensive view of their recent encounters, highlighting the competitive nature of their matchups.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are set to clash in Game 2 of the National League Division Series, with the Mets holding a 1-0 series lead after a dramatic comeback victory in Game 1. The Mets, who have been riding a wave of late-inning heroics, will look to continue their postseason magic at Citizens Bank Park. In Game 1, the Mets were stifled by Phillies ace Zack Wheeler for seven innings, managing only one hit. However, they erupted for five runs in the eighth inning against the Phillies' bullpen, showcasing their resilience and ability to capitalize on opportunities.

On the mound for the Mets will be Luis Severino, who has been a reliable presence in their rotation. Severino, with a regular-season record of 11-7 and a 3.91 ERA, has shown the ability to perform under pressure, as evidenced by his win in the Wild Card Series against the Brewers. The Mets' bullpen has also been a key factor in their success, with David Peterson, Reed Garrett, and Phil Maton playing pivotal roles in shutting down the Phillies' potent offense in Game 1.

The Phillies, on the other hand, will be looking to bounce back and even the series. They will send Cristopher Sánchez to the mound, a left-hander who has been particularly effective at home with a 2.21 ERA at Citizens Bank Park this season. Sánchez's performance will be crucial for the Phillies, who need to find a way to contain the Mets' offense and regain their footing in the series. Offensively, the Phillies will rely on their power hitters like Kyle Schwarber, who homered in Game 1, to provide the necessary spark.

As the series progresses, the Phillies will need to address their bullpen issues, which were exposed in the eighth inning of Game 1. The Mets, meanwhile, will aim to maintain their momentum and continue their impressive run in the postseason. With both teams having strong lineups and capable pitching staffs, Game 2 promises to be another thrilling encounter in this heated rivalry.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

As the Philadelphia Phillies prepare to host the New York Mets in Game 2 of the National League Division Series, the focus shifts to their ability to bounce back after a tough loss in Game 1. Despite the setback, the Phillies are well-positioned to cover the spread in this crucial matchup. One of the key factors in their favor is the performance of Cristopher Sánchez, who will take the mound for Philadelphia. Sánchez has been a standout at Citizens Bank Park this season, boasting a remarkable 2.21 ERA in home games. His ability to dominate on his home turf provides the Phillies with a significant advantage, especially against a Mets lineup that struggled to generate offense against Zack Wheeler in the early innings of Game 1.

Moreover, the Phillies' lineup is packed with power hitters capable of turning the tide in their favor. Kyle Schwarber, who launched a leadoff home run in Game 1, exemplifies the kind of offensive firepower that Philadelphia can unleash. With Bryce Harper and Trea Turner also in the mix, the Phillies have the potential to put up runs quickly and efficiently. The Mets' bullpen, while effective in Game 1, will face a formidable challenge in containing this potent lineup for a second consecutive game.

Additionally, the Phillies have shown resilience in overcoming adversity, and their recent struggles at home are likely to fuel a determined response. Historically, Philadelphia has been a strong team at home, and their 54-27 record at Citizens Bank Park during the regular season underscores their capability to perform well in front of their home crowd. The Phillies' need to even the series and avoid falling into a 0-2 hole will serve as a powerful motivator, driving them to cover the spread in Game 2.

While the Mets have demonstrated a knack for late-game heroics, the Phillies' combination of strong starting pitching, a powerful lineup, and the urgency of the situation makes them a compelling pick to cover the spread. Expect Philadelphia to come out with renewed focus and intensity, leveraging their home-field advantage to secure a crucial victory in this pivotal game.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Top Player Prop Picks

Luis Severino Over 4.5 Strikeouts -140 (bet365)

In Game 2 of the NLDS, Luis Severino is poised to be a key figure for the Mets on the mound. With a regular-season record of 11-7 and a 3.91 ERA, Severino has demonstrated his ability to perform under pressure. His recent performance in the Wild Card Series against the Brewers, where he secured a win, further underscores his capability. The Phillies' lineup, while potent, has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in Game 1 where they struggled against the Mets' bullpen. Severino's strikeout potential is significant, and with the Phillies' lineup having struck out multiple times in Game 1, the over on 4.5 strikeouts is a strong play.

Cristopher Sanchez Under 15.5 Pitching Outs -143 (bet365)

Cristopher Sanchez has been a standout at home for the Phillies, boasting a 2.21 ERA at Citizens Bank Park. However, the Mets' lineup has shown resilience and the ability to capitalize on bullpen opportunities, as evidenced by their late-game heroics in Game 1. While Sanchez's home performance is impressive, the Mets' recent form and their knack for late-inning rallies suggest that they could force the Phillies to turn to their bullpen earlier than expected. Given the Mets' momentum and their ability to disrupt starting pitchers, the under on 15.5 pitching outs for Sanchez is a compelling choice.

Brandon Nimmo Over 0.5 Singles -115 (BetMGM)

Brandon Nimmo has been a consistent performer for the Mets this postseason, recording at least one hit in every game. His crucial single in Game 1 of the NLDS, which contributed to the Mets' eighth-inning rally, highlights his ability to deliver in key moments. Nimmo's streakiness has been evident throughout the season, and with his current form, he is well-positioned to continue his hitting streak. Facing Sanchez, a left-handed pitcher, Nimmo's left-handed batting stance could provide him with favorable matchups, making the over on 0.5 singles a strong proposition.