Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/28/2024 8:20 PM EST

We have your Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Dolphins hit the road to face the Green Bay Packers.

Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Dolphins +150 (BetRivers) / Green Bay Packers -175 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -3.5 - Miami Dolphins -115 (DraftKings) / Green Bay Packers +100 (ESPN BET)
Best Total Odds: 47.0 - Under -112 (DraftKings) / Over -108 (DraftKings)

Special offers available for this game

Underdog: Free Pick for NEW Customers: Jordan Love Total Yards > 0.5
Betr: Free Pick for NEW Customers: Tua Tagovailoa Total Passing Attempts > 0.5

Game Info

Date: 11/28/2024
Time: 8:20 PM EST
Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, WI)
TV: NBC

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past three seasons, the Green Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins have faced each other once, with the Packers emerging victorious. This matchup took place on December 25, 2022, where the visiting Packers defeated the Dolphins 26-20. In this game, the Packers also covered the spread, as they were the underdogs with a closing spread of +3.5. The game total went under the closing over-under line of 49.5. The visiting team won the only game played, and the Dolphins, as the home team, did not manage to secure a win. The Packers' victory also marked the only instance where the visiting team won against the spread in this matchup.

In the most recent game, the Packers secured a 26-20 victory over the Dolphins. The game was characterized by a strong defensive performance from Green Bay, which capitalized on Miami's four turnovers, including three interceptions thrown by Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Despite Miami's 376 total yards compared to Green Bay's 301, the turnovers proved costly for the Dolphins. Aaron Rodgers led the Packers with 238 passing yards, completing 24 of 38 attempts with one touchdown and one interception. The Packers' scoring was bolstered by Mason Crosby's four field goals, including two crucial ones in the fourth quarter that sealed the win. Miami's offense, despite a strong start with an 84-yard touchdown pass from Tagovailoa to Jaylen Waddle, struggled to maintain momentum, particularly in the second half where they failed to score.

The Packers' defense played a pivotal role in their victory, recording three interceptions and recovering a fumble. Green Bay's offense managed to control the game with a balanced attack, including a 1-yard rushing touchdown by AJ Dillon. The Dolphins, on the other hand, were unable to convert their yardage advantage into points, largely due to their turnovers. The Packers' ability to capitalize on Miami's mistakes and their effective special teams performance, highlighted by Crosby's field goals, were key factors in their win. As the teams prepare to face each other again, the Packers will look to replicate their defensive success, while the Dolphins will aim to minimize turnovers and convert their offensive yardage into points.

Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers Preview

The Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers are set to clash in a highly anticipated Thanksgiving night showdown at Lambeau Field. Both teams enter this matchup with significant momentum, as the Dolphins have won three consecutive games, while the Packers have triumphed in five of their last six outings. This game carries substantial playoff implications, particularly for the Dolphins, who are striving to improve their postseason prospects.

Miami's resurgence has been fueled by the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who has been instrumental in the team's recent success. Since coming back from a concussion, Tagovailoa has thrown for 812 yards and eight touchdowns over the past three weeks, showcasing his precision and leadership. His ability to connect with key targets like Jaylen Waddle and Jonnu Smith has revitalized the Dolphins' passing attack, making them a formidable offensive unit. However, the Dolphins' ground game has been less effective, averaging only 4.1 yards per carry, which could be a focal point for improvement against a Packers defense that has been opportunistic in creating turnovers.

On the other side, the Packers are riding high after a dominant 38-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers. Quarterback Jordan Love has been a steady presence for Green Bay, and his recent performance against the 49ers marked the first game this season without an interception. Love's connection with wide receiver Tyreek Hill and the dynamic rushing of Josh Jacobs, who ranks third in the NFL with 944 rushing yards, have been pivotal to the Packers' offensive success. Green Bay's defense, led by standout performances from players like Xavier McKinney, who leads the league in interceptions, will aim to disrupt Tagovailoa and capitalize on any mistakes.

Weather conditions could play a role in this matchup, with temperatures expected to dip into the 20s. Historically, the Dolphins have struggled in cold weather, losing 11 straight games in sub-40 degree conditions. This factor, combined with the Packers' strong home-field advantage, could pose a challenge for Miami. Nevertheless, the Dolphins are determined to overcome these obstacles and continue their push for a playoff berth.

As both teams prepare for this critical encounter, the stage is set for an exciting and potentially high-scoring affair. The Packers will look to maintain their strong form at home, while the Dolphins aim to defy the odds and secure a crucial victory on the road.

Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming Thanksgiving night clash between the Miami Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field promises to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Both teams have demonstrated potent offensive capabilities in recent weeks, setting the stage for a game filled with fireworks.

The Miami Dolphins, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, have been on an offensive tear since his return from injury. Over the past three games, Tagovailoa has thrown for 812 yards and eight touchdowns, showcasing his ability to lead a dynamic passing attack. His connection with receivers like Jaylen Waddle and Jonnu Smith has been instrumental in Miami's resurgence, as evidenced by their recent 34-15 victory over the New England Patriots. The Dolphins' offense has been particularly effective through the air, with Tagovailoa completing a league-high 73.3% of his passes, which bodes well for a high-scoring game.

On the other side, the Green Bay Packers have been equally impressive offensively. Quarterback Jordan Love has been a steady force, and his recent performance against the San Francisco 49ers, where he threw two touchdowns without an interception, highlights his growing confidence. The Packers' offense is further bolstered by the presence of running back Josh Jacobs, who ranks third in the NFL with 944 rushing yards and has been a key contributor with seven touchdowns this season. Additionally, wide receiver Tyreek Hill provides a deep threat, capable of explosive plays that can quickly change the game's momentum.

Both teams have shown a propensity to score in bunches, with the Packers averaging 38 points in their recent win over the 49ers and the Dolphins putting up 34 points against the Patriots. The Packers' defense, while opportunistic, has allowed teams to move the ball, and the Dolphins' defense has similarly shown vulnerabilities, particularly against strong offenses. This combination of offensive firepower and defensive susceptibilities suggests that both teams will have ample opportunities to put points on the board.

Moreover, the historical context of this matchup supports the over. In their last meeting, the Packers and Dolphins combined for 46 points, and with both offenses currently firing on all cylinders, surpassing the set total of 47 points seems likely. While the cold weather at Lambeau Field could be a factor, both teams have shown they can perform under pressure, and the stakes of a Thanksgiving night game will only add to the intensity and scoring potential.

Given the recent offensive performances of both the Dolphins and the Packers, coupled with their respective defensive challenges, betting on the total points to go over is a strategic choice for this exciting Thanksgiving matchup.

Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers Top Player Prop Picks

Josh Jacobs Over 2.5 Receptions +122 (FanDuel)

Josh Jacobs has been a pivotal part of the Green Bay Packers' offense, not only as a rusher but also as a reliable target in the passing game. With 23 receptions for 186 yards this season, Jacobs has demonstrated his ability to contribute through the air. In the Packers' recent victory over the San Francisco 49ers, Jacobs was instrumental, carrying the ball 26 times and scoring three touchdowns. While his rushing prowess is well-documented, his role in the passing game should not be underestimated, especially against a Miami defense that has shown vulnerabilities. Given the odds and Jacobs' consistent involvement in the offense, taking the over on 2.5 receptions presents a valuable opportunity.

Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 Passing TDs +125 (BetRivers)

Tua Tagovailoa has been on a tear since returning from injury, throwing for 812 yards and eight touchdowns over the past three weeks. His precision and leadership have been key to Miami's three-game winning streak, and he has shown a strong connection with his receivers, including Jaylen Waddle and Jonnu Smith. The Packers' defense, while opportunistic, has allowed teams to move the ball, and Tagovailoa's ability to exploit defensive weaknesses makes the over on 1.5 passing touchdowns an enticing proposition. With the Dolphins' playoff hopes on the line, expect Tagovailoa to continue his aggressive approach, making this prop a strong play.

Jordan Love Over 0.5 Interceptions -137 (BetRivers)

Despite a solid performance against the 49ers where he avoided turnovers, Jordan Love has struggled with interceptions this season, throwing 11 picks in nine games. The Dolphins' defense, led by standout performances from players like Xavier McKinney, who leads the league in interceptions, will aim to capitalize on Love's tendency to take risks. Miami's defense has been effective in creating turnovers, and with the stakes high in this Thanksgiving matchup, Love may be pressured into making mistakes. Given his track record and the Dolphins' defensive capabilities, betting on Love to throw at least one interception is a prudent choice.