NFL Pickwatch - Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/2/2024 7:30 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Boston Celtics prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Boston Celtics.

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat +400 (Caesars) / Boston Celtics -500 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: -10.5 - Miami Heat -109 (BetRivers) / -10.0 - Boston Celtics -115 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 220.5 - Under -110 (BetMGM) / Over -105 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 12/2/2024
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Location: TD Garden (Boston, MA)
TV: NBA League Pass

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 5 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 2 wins and 4 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Miami Heat have 9 wins and 9 losses.

Boston Celtics Betting Trends

At home, the Boston Celtics have 7 wins and 2 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Boston Celtics have 16 wins and 3 losses this season.
Overall this season, the Boston Celtics have 16 wins and 4 losses.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat have faced off eight times, with the Celtics emerging victorious in seven of those encounters. The games have been a mix of home and away victories, with the visiting team winning five times and the home team securing three wins. In terms of betting outcomes, the Celtics have covered the spread in five games, while the Heat have managed to do so in three. The games have generally leaned towards lower scoring, with the total going under the set line in five instances, while surpassing it in three. These matchups have showcased a competitive edge, with the Celtics often coming out on top, both in terms of outright wins and against the spread.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on May 1, 2024, where the Boston Celtics decisively defeated the Miami Heat with a score of 118-84. The Celtics were led by Jaylen Brown and Derrick White, each contributing 25 points. Brown's performance was highlighted by a driving layup early in the first quarter and a crucial three-pointer later in the same period. Derrick White also made a significant impact with a three-pointer in the third quarter. Jayson Tatum added 16 points, including a technical free throw in the second quarter. On the other side, Bam Adebayo was the top scorer for the Heat with 23 points, but Miami struggled with their shooting, finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.4% and a mere 10.3% from three-point range. The Celtics dominated the boards, out-rebounding the Heat 56 to 29, and capitalized on Miami's 15 turnovers, converting them into 15 points.

This upcoming matchup on December 2, 2024, will see the Celtics and Heat face off once again. Given the historical data, the Celtics have had the upper hand in recent meetings, both in terms of wins and covering the spread. The Heat will need to address their shooting inefficiencies and turnover issues if they hope to reverse their fortunes against a Celtics team that has consistently outperformed them. As both teams prepare for this encounter, the Celtics will look to maintain their dominance, while the Heat will aim to leverage any adjustments to secure a much-needed victory.

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Preview

The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at TD Garden. The Celtics, boasting a 16-4 record, are coming off a narrow 115-111 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, a game in which they were without key starters Jaylen Brown and Derrick White. Despite the setback, Boston remains a formidable force, particularly at home where they have secured seven wins in nine outings this season. Jayson Tatum continues to lead the charge for the Celtics, delivering MVP-caliber performances, including a 33-point effort against the Cavaliers.

On the other side, the Miami Heat enter the contest with a 9-9 record, having recently fallen to the Toronto Raptors in a close 119-116 encounter. The Heat's performance has been marked by inconsistency, particularly on the road where they hold a 5-5 record. Tyler Herro has been a standout for Miami, consistently putting up impressive numbers, including a 31-point game against Toronto. However, the Heat's prospects could hinge on the availability of Jimmy Butler, who is nursing a knee injury sustained in the loss to the Raptors. Butler's presence on the court could be pivotal, given his experience and ability to influence the game on both ends.

Historically, the Celtics have had the upper hand in recent meetings with the Heat, winning seven of their last eight encounters. Boston's ability to dominate the boards and capitalize on turnovers has been a recurring theme in these matchups. The Celtics' offensive prowess, particularly from beyond the arc, poses a significant challenge for Miami, who will need to tighten their defense to contain Boston's high-scoring offense. As the two teams prepare to face off, the Celtics will aim to extend their home winning streak, while the Heat will look to overcome their recent struggles and secure a crucial victory on the road.

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Pick: Boston Celtics Moneyline

The Boston Celtics are poised to secure a victory against the Miami Heat, and the moneyline pick for the Celtics is well-supported by recent performances and historical trends. Boston, with a 16-4 record, has been a dominant force in the Eastern Conference, particularly at home where they boast a 7-2 record. Despite a recent setback against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Celtics have consistently demonstrated their ability to bounce back, especially when playing at TD Garden.

Jayson Tatum continues to be a pivotal player for the Celtics, delivering MVP-level performances, including a 33-point game against the Cavaliers. His leadership and scoring ability are crucial, especially with the potential absence of key players like Jaylen Brown and Derrick White, who missed the last game due to illness and injury, respectively. The Celtics' offensive prowess is further highlighted by their impressive average of 19.1 made 3-pointers per game, a statistic that underscores their ability to outscore opponents.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat, with a 9-9 record, have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road where they hold a 5-5 record. The Heat's recent loss to the Toronto Raptors exposed vulnerabilities, especially in their shooting efficiency and turnover management. While Tyler Herro has been a standout performer, the uncertainty surrounding Jimmy Butler's knee injury adds another layer of challenge for Miami. Butler's potential absence could significantly impact the Heat's ability to compete against a high-caliber team like the Celtics.

Historically, the Celtics have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Heat, winning seven of their last eight encounters. This trend, combined with Boston's strong home court advantage and superior offensive capabilities, makes the Celtics the favored choice for the moneyline. As the Celtics aim to extend their home winning streak, they are well-positioned to capitalize on the Heat's recent struggles and secure a decisive victory.

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Top Player Prop Picks

Jayson Tatum Over 3.5 3Fgm -130 (BetRivers)

Jayson Tatum has been a consistent force for the Boston Celtics, especially from beyond the arc. With the Celtics averaging 19.1 made 3-pointers per game, Tatum's ability to contribute significantly to this statistic is undeniable. In their recent game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, Tatum scored 33 points, showcasing his scoring prowess even in the absence of key teammates like Jaylen Brown and Derrick White. Given the Celtics' reliance on their three-point shooting and Tatum's role as a primary scorer, betting on him to exceed 3.5 made three-pointers is a strong proposition. The odds of -130 at BetRivers reflect the confidence in Tatum's shooting capabilities, especially against a Miami Heat team that has struggled defensively on the road.

Jimmy Butler Over 1.5 Turnovers +125 (bet365)

Jimmy Butler's potential impact on the game is significant, but his recent knee injury raises questions about his efficiency. Despite his experience, Butler's performance against the Toronto Raptors highlighted some vulnerabilities, including turnovers. With the Celtics' defense known for its ability to pressure opponents and force mistakes, Butler could find himself committing more than 1.5 turnovers. The odds of +125 at bet365 offer value, considering the Celtics' defensive prowess and Butler's recent struggles. As Miami looks to overcome their inconsistencies, Butler's handling of the ball will be crucial, but the pressure from Boston's defense could lead to turnovers.

Jayson Tatum Over 5.5 Assists -130 (DraftKings)

Jayson Tatum's role as a playmaker for the Celtics has been increasingly important, especially with the absence of key players like Jaylen Brown and Derrick White. Tatum's ability to facilitate and create opportunities for his teammates is reflected in his assist numbers. With the Celtics' high-scoring offense and reliance on ball movement, Tatum is likely to exceed 5.5 assists in this matchup. The odds of -130 at DraftKings suggest confidence in Tatum's playmaking abilities, particularly against a Miami Heat team that has shown defensive vulnerabilities. As Boston aims to maintain their offensive rhythm, Tatum's contributions in distributing the ball will be pivotal.