NFL Pickwatch - Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/27/2024 7:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Charlotte Hornets.

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat -170 (Caesars) / Charlotte Hornets +145 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: 3.5 - Miami Heat -112 (FanDuel) / 4.0 - Charlotte Hornets -112 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 217.5 - Under -110 (FanDuel) / Over -108 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 11/27/2024
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, NC)
TV: FanDuel SN SE

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 4 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 4 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 8 overs and 7 unders.

Charlotte Hornets Betting Trends

At home, the Charlotte Hornets have 5 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Charlotte Hornets have 5 wins and 11 losses this season.
This season, the Charlotte Hornets have hit 7 overs and 10 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets have faced off five times, with Miami emerging victorious in all five encounters. The games were split between home and away venues, with the visiting team winning three times and the home team securing two victories. Miami has been successful against the spread in three of these matchups, while Charlotte managed to cover the spread twice. The games have predominantly leaned towards the under, with four of the five contests falling below the projected total score, and only one game surpassing the over-under line.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on October 26, 2024, where the Miami Heat defeated the Charlotte Hornets 114-106. Miami, playing as the visiting team, was favored with a moneyline of -245 and successfully covered the spread. Key performances included Jimmy Butler scoring 26 points and Tyler Herro adding 22 points for Miami. The Heat shot 46.5% from the field and 41.2% from three-point range, while Charlotte shot 43.8% overall and 31.7% from beyond the arc. Miami also had a significant advantage in assists, recording 33 compared to Charlotte's 20, and capitalized on turnovers with 18 fast break points. The Heat's largest lead was 14 points, while the Hornets' largest was 7.

In the previous matchups, Miami consistently demonstrated strong offensive and defensive performances. They maintained a higher field goal percentage in most games and often outperformed Charlotte in assists and rebounds. The Heat's ability to capitalize on turnovers and maintain a solid defensive rating contributed to their success. Charlotte, despite some competitive performances, struggled to maintain consistency, particularly in shooting efficiency and managing turnovers. These historical trends suggest that Miami has had the upper hand in recent encounters, both in terms of scoring and overall gameplay execution.

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Preview

The Miami Heat are set to face the Charlotte Hornets in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at the Spectrum Center. Both teams are coming off recent losses, with the Heat narrowly falling to the Milwaukee Bucks 106-103, despite a strong performance from Jimmy Butler, who contributed 23 points. The Hornets, on the other hand, are reeling from a 95-84 defeat against the Orlando Magic, despite LaMelo Ball's impressive 44-point effort.

Miami enters this contest with a 7-8 record, having struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season. They have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their recent victory over the Dallas Mavericks, where Butler nearly achieved a double-double with 33 points and nine rebounds. However, their inability to close out tight games, as evidenced by their loss to the Bucks, has been a recurring issue. The Heat's road performance has been balanced, with a 4-4 record, and they will be looking to improve upon this as they face a Hornets team that has been inconsistent at home.

Charlotte, with a 6-11 record, has been heavily reliant on the offensive prowess of LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller. Ball has been on a scoring tear, posting 50 and 44 points in his last two outings, but the Hornets have struggled to convert these individual performances into team victories. Injuries have plagued the Hornets, with key players like Miles Bridges and Nick Richards sidelined, leaving Ball and Miller to shoulder much of the offensive load. This has led to a lack of balance in their gameplay, which Miami will look to exploit.

Historically, the Heat have dominated this matchup, winning all five of their encounters over the past two seasons. Their most recent victory against the Hornets came on October 26, 2024, where they secured a 114-106 win. In that game, Miami's efficient shooting and superior ball movement were key factors, with Butler and Tyler Herro leading the scoring charge. The Heat's ability to capitalize on turnovers and maintain a strong defensive presence has been a hallmark of their success against Charlotte.

As both teams prepare for this Southeast Division clash, the Heat will aim to leverage their historical advantage and recent form to secure a much-needed win. Meanwhile, the Hornets will be eager to break their losing streak and find a way to translate Ball's individual brilliance into a cohesive team performance. With both teams having a penchant for high-scoring affairs, fans can expect an exciting and competitive game.

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Pick: Total Points Over

As the Miami Heat prepare to face the Charlotte Hornets, the expectation is for a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Both teams have shown tendencies towards high-scoring games, with the Heat recently securing a 123-118 victory over the Dallas Mavericks and the Hornets experiencing a 95-84 loss to the Orlando Magic, despite LaMelo Ball's impressive 44-point performance. The Heat's offensive capabilities are underscored by Jimmy Butler's consistent scoring, including a 33-point game against Dallas and a 23-point effort against the Bucks. Meanwhile, the Hornets have been heavily reliant on Ball, who has been on a scoring tear with 50 and 44 points in his last two outings.

Historically, the matchups between these two teams have leaned towards higher scores, with their most recent encounter on October 26, 2024, resulting in a 114-106 victory for the Heat. In that game, Miami's efficient shooting and superior ball movement were key factors, with Butler and Tyler Herro leading the scoring charge. The Heat's ability to capitalize on turnovers and maintain a strong offensive presence has been a hallmark of their success against Charlotte.

Additionally, the Hornets' defensive struggles, exacerbated by injuries to key players like Miles Bridges and Nick Richards, have left them vulnerable, particularly against teams with strong offensive capabilities like Miami. This lack of defensive depth, combined with the offensive firepower of both teams, suggests that the game is likely to surpass the projected total score. With both teams having a penchant for high-scoring affairs and the Heat's recent form indicating a strong offensive output, the over on the total points is a logical and well-supported pick for this matchup.

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets Top Player Prop Picks

Jimmy Butler Over 19.5 Points -105 (BetMGM)

Jimmy Butler has been a consistent offensive force for the Miami Heat, and his recent performances suggest he is poised to exceed the 19.5 points line. In the Heat's narrow loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, Butler led the team with 23 points, showcasing his ability to score efficiently even in tightly contested games. His scoring prowess was also on display in Miami's victory over the Dallas Mavericks, where he nearly achieved a double-double with 33 points. Given Butler's role as a primary scorer and his recent form, betting on him to surpass 19.5 points against a Charlotte Hornets team that has struggled defensively, particularly with key players like Miles Bridges and Nick Richards sidelined, seems a solid choice.

LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 3Fgm +124 (FanDuel)

LaMelo Ball has been on an impressive scoring run, and his ability to hit from beyond the arc makes the over on 4.5 three-point field goals a compelling pick. Ball has been the offensive linchpin for the Hornets, scoring 50 and 44 points in his last two games. His shooting from deep has been a significant part of his scoring arsenal, and with the Hornets relying heavily on his offensive output due to injuries, Ball is likely to continue taking a high volume of shots from three-point range. Against a Miami team that has shown vulnerabilities in close games, Ball's shooting could be pivotal, making the over on this prop a strong consideration.

Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds -100 (FanDuel)

Bam Adebayo's presence in the paint is crucial for the Miami Heat, and his rebounding ability will be key against a Charlotte Hornets team missing some of their interior players. Adebayo has been a consistent performer on the boards, and with the Hornets' frontcourt weakened by injuries to players like Nick Richards, Adebayo is well-positioned to dominate the glass. His ability to secure rebounds will be vital in limiting second-chance opportunities for the Hornets and providing the Heat with additional possessions. Given the matchup and Adebayo's track record, the over on 10.5 rebounds is a logical and well-supported pick.