NFL Pickwatch - Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/1/2024 6:00 PM EST

We have your Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Miami Heat hit the road to face the Toronto Raptors.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Miami Heat -195 (Caesars) / Toronto Raptors +162 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: 4.0 - Miami Heat -110 (BetRivers) / Toronto Raptors -110 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 222.0 - Under -110 (Caesars) / 221.5 - Over -115 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 12/1/2024
Time: 6:00 PM EST
Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)
TV: NBA League Pass

Miami Heat Betting Trends

On the road, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 7 wins and 4 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 9 overs and 8 unders.

Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

At home, the Toronto Raptors have 4 wins and 4 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Toronto Raptors have 5 wins and 15 losses this season.
This season, the Toronto Raptors have hit 10 overs and 10 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors have faced each other five times. In these matchups, the Miami Heat emerged victorious in four games, while the Toronto Raptors secured a win in one. The home team has generally had the upper hand, winning four out of the five games, with the visiting team managing just one victory. When it comes to covering the spread, the Miami Heat have done so in three games, whereas the Toronto Raptors have covered the spread twice. The games have seen a mix of scoring outcomes, with the total score going over the set line three times and staying under twice.

The most recent encounter between these two teams took place on November 29, 2024, where the Toronto Raptors defeated the Miami Heat with a final score of 121-111. Key players for the Raptors included Jakob Poeltl and Scottie Barnes, each contributing 24 points, with Poeltl also grabbing 10 rebounds and Barnes dishing out 10 assists. RJ Barrett led the scoring for the Raptors with 25 points. The Miami Heat's top performer was Jimmy Butler, who scored 26 points, supported by Tyler Herro's 23 points and Bam Adebayo's 14 points and 10 assists. The Raptors shot 53.8% from the field and recorded 34 assists, while the Heat shot 45.7% with 32 assists. Turnovers were a factor, with the Raptors committing 19 compared to the Heat's 10.

In terms of shooting efficiency and ball movement, the Raptors had a slight edge in the most recent game, reflected in their higher field goal percentage and assist numbers. However, the Heat managed to keep the game competitive with fewer turnovers and a strong performance from their key players. The Raptors' ability to capitalize on their shooting opportunities and maintain a balanced offensive attack was crucial in securing their victory. As both teams prepare for their upcoming matchup, these statistics provide a glimpse into the dynamics that could influence the outcome.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Preview

The Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at the Scotiabank Arena. The Heat, currently holding a 9-8 record, are coming off a recent defeat to the Raptors, where they fell 121-111. Despite this setback, the Heat have shown resilience on the road, boasting a 5-4 record away from home this season. As they prepare to face the Raptors again, the Heat will be looking to leverage their strong three-point shooting, averaging 14.6 threes per game, to gain an edge over their opponents.

On the other hand, the Raptors, with a 5-15 record, have struggled this season but are buoyed by their recent victory over the Heat. This win was significant, ending a 13-game road drought and showcasing the team's potential when firing on all cylinders. Key players like Jakob Poeltl and Scottie Barnes were instrumental in the Raptors' success, each contributing 24 points in their last encounter with the Heat. RJ Barrett also played a pivotal role, leading the scoring with 25 points.

Both teams have had their challenges this season, with the Heat struggling against the spread, holding a 5-11 ATS record, while the Raptors have been a more reliable bet at 12-7 ATS. The Heat's ability to minimize turnovers and capitalize on their offensive rebounds will be crucial, especially considering their previous struggles in these areas against the Hornets. Meanwhile, the Raptors will aim to maintain their shooting efficiency and ball movement, which were key factors in their recent victory.

As the Heat and Raptors prepare to face off, the dynamics of their previous encounters and current form suggest a competitive game. The Heat's favored status by 4.5 points reflects their potential to bounce back, but the Raptors' recent performance indicates they are more than capable of challenging the odds. With both teams having a mix of overs and unders this season, the stage is set for an exciting showdown that could see a high-scoring affair.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Pick: Total Points Over

As the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors prepare to face off once again, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. The recent encounter between these two teams on November 29, 2024, saw a combined score of 232 points, well above the set over/under line of 222.5 for their upcoming matchup. This suggests that both teams have the offensive firepower to surpass the projected total once more.

The Raptors' recent victory over the Heat was marked by impressive shooting efficiency, as they hit 53.8% from the field and recorded 34 assists. Key players like RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, and Scottie Barnes were instrumental in this offensive outburst, contributing significantly to the team's scoring tally. The Raptors' ability to maintain such efficiency, especially at home, could be pivotal in pushing the total score over the line.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat, despite their recent loss, have consistently demonstrated their prowess from beyond the arc, averaging 14.6 three-pointers per game this season. This long-range shooting capability, coupled with the scoring threats posed by players like Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro, provides the Heat with the tools to keep pace with the Raptors' offensive output.

Furthermore, both teams have shown a tendency to hit the over in their games this season. The Raptors have recorded 10 overs, while the Heat have hit 9, indicating a pattern of high-scoring games. Given these trends and the offensive capabilities of both squads, the stage is set for another high-scoring encounter, making the over a compelling choice for this matchup.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors Top Player Prop Picks

Jimmy Butler Over 18.5 Points -110 (DraftKings)

Jimmy Butler has been a consistent performer for the Miami Heat, and his scoring prowess will be crucial in their matchup against the Toronto Raptors. In their recent encounter, Butler led the Heat with 26 points, showcasing his ability to score efficiently against the Raptors' defense. With the Heat's reliance on Butler's offensive capabilities, especially in a game where they are looking to bounce back from a previous defeat, taking the over on 18.5 points seems a solid bet. The odds of -110 at DraftKings provide a reasonable return for a player of Butler's caliber, who is expected to be a focal point in the Heat's offensive strategy.

Scottie Barnes Over 21.5 Points -110 (DraftKings)

Scottie Barnes has been a standout performer for the Toronto Raptors, and his recent form suggests he is poised to continue his scoring streak. In the Raptors' victory over the Heat, Barnes contributed significantly with 24 points, demonstrating his ability to exploit the Heat's defensive weaknesses. Given his recent performances and the Raptors' need for offensive firepower, Barnes is likely to be heavily involved in their scoring efforts. The line of 21.5 points at -110 odds on DraftKings offers value, considering Barnes' recent scoring output and his role in the Raptors' offensive scheme.

Tyler Herro Over 3.5 Assists -130 (FanDuel)

Tyler Herro's playmaking ability has been a key component of the Miami Heat's offensive setup. In their last game against the Raptors, Herro not only scored 23 points but also contributed with his passing, helping to facilitate the Heat's ball movement. With the Heat's emphasis on three-point shooting and Herro's role in setting up his teammates, the over on 3.5 assists at -130 odds on FanDuel is an attractive proposition. Herro's ability to create opportunities for others will be crucial in breaking down the Raptors' defense, making this prop a compelling choice for bettors.