Milwaukee Brewers @ Toronto Blue Jays Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/29/2025 7:07 PM EDT

We have your Milwaukee Brewers @ Toronto Blue Jays prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Milwaukee Brewers hit the road to face the Toronto Blue Jays.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -132 at Fanduel, Milwaukee Brewers +115 at Caesars.
Best Spread Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -1.0 (+112) at BetRivers.
Best Total Odds: Over 7.5 (-114) at BetRivers, Under 7.5 (-104) at DraftKings.

Game Info

Date: August 29, 2025
Time: 7:07 PM EDT
Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto
TV: FanDuel Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV

Milwaukee Brewers @ Toronto Blue Jays Preview

This Friday night features a marquee matchup between two of MLB's top teams as the Milwaukee Brewers visit the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The Brewers, despite a recent cold spell going 4-7 in their last 11 games, still boast the best record in MLB at 83-52. They've been particularly strong on the road, holding a 38-28 record this season. Milwaukee's offense ranks 11th in OPS (.739), third in runs scored, and second in steals, led by Christian Yelich (26 HR, 90 RBI), Brice Turang (15 HR, 22 SB), and William Contreras (16 HR). Their pitching staff is a formidable unit, ranking third in team ERA (3.63) and second in starter ERA (3.50). However, they will be without All-Star closer Trevor Megill, who is on the IL with a right arm flexor strain, though young star Jackson Chourio is expected to return this weekend.

The Toronto Blue Jays, with a 78-56 record, are the second-best team in the league and currently lead the AL East by 3.5 games. They have turned Rogers Centre into a fortress, boasting the best home record in baseball at 44-22. While they've shown some inconsistency recently with a 15-14 record over the last month, their offense is potent, ranking third in OPS (.769) and sixth in runs scored. Key contributors include George Springer (24 HR, 67 RBI), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (.292 BA, 21 HR, 72 RBI), and Bo Bichette, who enters this game on an impressive 12-game hitting streak. On the mound, the Blue Jays' team ERA ranks 20th (4.23), but their pitching staff is fourth in strikeouts. They will be without several players due to injury, including Anthony Santander and Alek Manoah. Starting for Toronto is Shane Bieber, who made an impressive return from Tommy John surgery in his last outing, allowing just one run and striking out nine over six innings.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays and Milwaukee Brewers have a history of competitive matchups. Their most recent encounter was on June 12, 2024, which saw a close 5-4 final score. Historically, the Blue Jays hold a slight all-time series edge with 11 victories, including 5 at home, while the Brewers have claimed 10 wins, with 4 coming on the road. In their last three-game series played in Toronto, the Blue Jays emerged victorious with a 2-1 series win. The average runs scored by the home team in these matchups stands at 4.38, while the visitors average 4.29 runs.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-132)

widget-odds-mlb-su-12129-MIL-TOR

The Toronto Blue Jays moneyline at -132 offers solid value in this matchup. While the Brewers are the top team in MLB, they've hit a cold spell recently, going 4-7 in their last 11 games. In contrast, the Blue Jays have been dominant at home, boasting an impressive 44-22 record at Rogers Centre. The return of Shane Bieber to the mound for Toronto is a significant factor; he looked sharp in his first start back from Tommy John surgery, allowing just one run and striking out nine. Furthermore, sharp money analysis indicates a 54.83% sharp win percentage on the Blue Jays moneyline, suggesting confidence from professional bettors in Toronto's ability to secure the win at home against a Milwaukee team that has shown some recent vulnerability.

Top Player Prop Picks

Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits (-255)

widget-props-mlb-12129-6436801

Bo Bichette is currently one of the hottest hitters in baseball, riding a remarkable 12-game hitting streak. During this impressive stretch, he's batting an outstanding .438 (21-for-48). While he has a small sample size against Brewers starter Freddy Peralta (1-for-3 with a home run), his current form makes him a strong candidate to extend his hitting streak. Given his consistent production and high confidence at the plate, taking Bichette to record over 0.5 hits is a compelling pick.

William Contreras Over 0.5 Hits (-220)

widget-props-mlb-12129-6436816

William Contreras is a pivotal part of the Milwaukee Brewers' offense, consistently contributing with his bat. He has a favorable, albeit small, historical matchup against Blue Jays starter Shane Bieber, going 2-for-3 with a double in their previous encounters. Despite the Brewers' recent offensive struggles, Contreras remains a reliable hitter in their lineup. His ability to make contact and his past success against Bieber make the over 0.5 hits a strong play.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits (-215)

widget-props-mlb-12129-6436818

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been having a strong season for the Blue Jays, maintaining a .292 batting average. While he is 0-for-3 in his career against Freddy Peralta, advanced metrics suggest he's been unlucky in those plate appearances. His high expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) of 0.926 and expected slugging percentage (xSLG) of 1.713 against Peralta indicate that he has hit the ball well but hasn't seen the results. This suggests a strong potential for positive regression in this matchup, making the over 0.5 hits a favorable pick for the powerful slugger.