NFL Pickwatch - Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/26/2024 7:30 PM EST

We have your Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Milwaukee Bucks hit the road to face the Miami Heat.

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee Bucks +115 (ESPN BET) / Miami Heat -135 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -2.5 - Milwaukee Bucks -110 (bet365) / -2.0 - Miami Heat -114 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 223.0 - Under -112 (DraftKings) / 222.0 - Over -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 11/26/2024
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
TV: TNT

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

On the road, the Milwaukee Bucks have 1 wins and 6 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Milwaukee Bucks have 0 wins and 4 losses this season.
This season, the Milwaukee Bucks have hit 7 overs and 10 unders.

Miami Heat Betting Trends

At home, the Miami Heat have 3 wins and 3 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Miami Heat have 5 wins and 3 losses this season.
This season, the Miami Heat have hit 8 overs and 6 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks have faced each other three times, with the Bucks winning two of those encounters and the Heat securing one victory. The games have been evenly split between home and away victories, with the visiting team winning twice and the home team once. In terms of betting outcomes, the Bucks have covered the spread in two games, while the Heat have done so in one. The total points scored in these matchups have exceeded the over-under line twice, with one game falling under. These games have showcased competitive play, with both teams demonstrating strong performances in various statistical categories.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on February 13, 2024, where the Miami Heat emerged victorious with a decisive 123-97 win over the Milwaukee Bucks. Miami's Duncan Robinson and Nikola Jovic led the charge, scoring 23 and 24 points, respectively. The Heat's shooting efficiency was notable, with a field goal percentage of 51.7% and a three-point shooting percentage of 47.5%. They also dominated the boards, out-rebounding the Bucks 47 to 38, and displayed superior ball movement with 34 assists compared to Milwaukee's 24. The Bucks struggled to keep pace, with Giannis Antetokounmpo contributing 23 points and 11 rebounds, but the team only managed a 44.6% field goal percentage and 33.3% from beyond the arc.

In the earlier matchups, the Bucks secured victories on both occasions. On November 28, 2023, Milwaukee defeated Miami 131-124 in an in-season tournament game, with the Bucks covering the spread and the total score going over the line. The Bucks showcased a strong offensive performance, shooting 53.4% from the field and 88.9% from the free-throw line. In their first meeting of the season on October 30, 2023, Milwaukee won 122-114, again covering the spread and with the total score exceeding the over-under line. The Bucks' effective field goal percentage was 57.5%, and they capitalized on their free-throw opportunities, making 73.3% of their attempts. These games highlight the competitive nature of the matchups between these two teams, with both sides demonstrating the ability to perform at a high level.

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat are set to clash in a highly anticipated Eastern Conference Group B matchup in the 2024 NBA Cup. Both teams come into this game riding win streaks, with the Bucks having won five straight games and the Heat securing two consecutive victories. The Bucks, under the guidance of coach Doc Rivers, have found their rhythm after a rocky start to the season, where they lost eight of their first ten games. However, they have since turned the tide, winning six of their last seven games, thanks in large part to the stellar performances of their superstars, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard.

Antetokounmpo, leading the league in scoring with an impressive 32.4 points per game, has been a dominant force on both ends of the court. His ability to score efficiently, coupled with his prowess on the boards, averaging 11.9 rebounds per game, makes him a constant threat. Lillard, who recently returned from a concussion, has been instrumental in orchestrating the Bucks' offense, averaging 25.2 points and leading the team with 7.4 assists per game. His recent form, including three double-doubles in his last four games, has been crucial in Milwaukee's resurgence.

On the other side, the Miami Heat, coached by Erik Spoelstra, have been buoyed by the return of key players and the emergence of young talents. Jimmy Butler, who has been pivotal in Miami's recent success, is coming off a season-high 33-point performance against the Mavericks. His leadership and ability to perform in clutch moments have been vital for the Heat. Tyler Herro continues to be a significant contributor, leading the team in scoring with 23.8 points per game and shooting an impressive 43.2% from beyond the arc. The potential return of starting guard Terry Rozier adds depth to a team that has shown resilience and adaptability.

Historically, the Heat have had the upper hand against the Bucks in Miami, winning five of their last six encounters at home. However, the Bucks have shown they can compete, having won two of the last three meetings between these teams. With both teams demonstrating strong offensive capabilities, this matchup promises to be a high-scoring affair. The Heat's proficiency from the three-point line, coupled with the Bucks' dynamic duo, sets the stage for an exciting contest that could very well exceed expectations in terms of scoring.

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Pick: Total Points Over

The upcoming clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat promises to be a high-scoring affair, making the over on the total points a compelling pick. Both teams have demonstrated strong offensive capabilities in recent games, with the Bucks riding a five-game winning streak and the Heat securing two consecutive victories. The Bucks, led by the dynamic duo of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, have been particularly potent on offense. Antetokounmpo is leading the league in scoring with an impressive 32.4 points per game, while Lillard, who has returned from a concussion, is averaging 25.2 points and 7.4 assists per game. Their combined offensive prowess has been instrumental in Milwaukee's resurgence, as evidenced by their recent victory over the Charlotte Hornets, where they scored 125 points.

On the other side, the Miami Heat have also been firing on all cylinders offensively. Jimmy Butler, fresh off a season-high 33-point performance against the Mavericks, continues to be a clutch performer for the Heat. Tyler Herro, leading the team with 23.8 points per game and shooting 43.2% from beyond the arc, adds another layer of scoring threat. The potential return of Terry Rozier further bolsters Miami's offensive depth. Historically, the Heat have been proficient from the three-point line, a trend that has continued this season with a 38.2% success rate from deep. This shooting efficiency, combined with their ability to perform in high-pressure situations, suggests that Miami is well-equipped to contribute to a high-scoring game.

Moreover, the recent head-to-head matchups between these two teams have often resulted in high-scoring outcomes. In their last meeting, the Heat defeated the Bucks 123-97, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Previous encounters have also seen the total score exceed the over-under line, highlighting the potential for another high-scoring game. With both teams demonstrating strong offensive form and the stakes high in this NBA Cup matchup, the conditions are ripe for a game that surpasses the expected point total. Therefore, betting on the over for total points is a strategic choice that aligns with the current trends and performances of both teams.

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Top Player Prop Picks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Rebounds -118 (FanDuel)

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been a dominant force on the boards this season, averaging 11.9 rebounds per game, which ranks him sixth in the league. His ability to control the glass is a key component of Milwaukee's strategy, especially in high-stakes games like this NBA Cup matchup against the Miami Heat. Given his consistent performance and the fact that he has notched 14 double-doubles this season, betting on Antetokounmpo to exceed 11.5 rebounds is a strong play. The Bucks will rely heavily on his rebounding prowess to maintain possession and limit Miami's second-chance opportunities, making this prop a compelling choice.

Jimmy Butler Over 20.5 Points -110 (DraftKings)

Jimmy Butler has been pivotal for the Miami Heat, especially in recent games where he has stepped up as a clutch performer. Coming off a season-high 33-point performance against the Mavericks, Butler is in excellent form. His scoring average of 19.2 points per game is slightly below the line, but his recent performances suggest he is finding his rhythm. With the Heat needing his leadership and scoring ability against a formidable Bucks team, Butler is likely to be aggressive offensively. His knack for performing in high-pressure situations makes the over on 20.5 points a strategic pick, especially given his recent scoring surge.

Damian Lillard Over 23.5 Points 102 (FanDuel)

Damian Lillard has been a crucial part of the Bucks' offensive resurgence, averaging 25.2 points per game. Since returning from a concussion, Lillard has been in stellar form, contributing significantly to Milwaukee's current winning streak. His ability to score from anywhere on the court, combined with his leadership in orchestrating the offense, makes him a constant threat. With the Bucks looking to extend their winning streak, Lillard's scoring will be essential. Given his recent performances and the stakes of this NBA Cup matchup, betting on Lillard to exceed 23.5 points is a well-supported choice.