New York Knicks at Miami Heat Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/30/2024 7:30 PM EST

We have your New York Knicks at Miami Heat prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Knicks hit the road to face the Miami Heat.

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Knicks -125 (ESPN BET) / Miami Heat +110 (BetMGM)
Best Spread Odds: 2.0 - New York Knicks -110 (FanDuel) / Miami Heat -110 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 214.5 - Under -109 (BetRivers) / Over -112 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 10/30/2024
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)
TV: NBA League Pass

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the New York Knicks and Miami Heat have faced each other three times, with the Knicks winning two of those encounters and the Heat securing one victory. All three games were won by the home team, indicating a strong home-court advantage for both teams. In terms of betting outcomes, the Miami Heat covered the spread in two of the three games, while the Knicks managed to cover the spread once. The games have generally been high-scoring, with the total points going over the set line in two of the three matchups, while one game went under. These games have showcased competitive play, with both teams having moments of dominance.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on April 2, 2024, where the Miami Heat emerged victorious with a 109-99 win over the New York Knicks. Miami, playing at home, was the favorite with a point spread of -2.5 and successfully covered the spread with a final score spread of -10.0. The Heat's shooting efficiency was a key factor, as they shot 48.6% from the field and 44.7% from beyond the arc, compared to the Knicks' 46.1% and 35.3%, respectively. Miami also excelled at the free-throw line, converting 95.2% of their attempts, while New York managed 81.0%. Terry Rozier led the Heat with 34 points, while Jalen Brunson was the top scorer for the Knicks with 20 points. The Heat's dominance in rebounding, out-rebounding the Knicks 39 to 30, further highlighted their control in the paint.

In the earlier matchups, the Knicks secured a narrow 100-98 victory on November 24, 2023, and a more decisive 125-109 win on January 27, 2024, both at home. In the November game, the Knicks were the favorites with a -5.5 spread but did not cover, as the Heat managed to keep the game close. The total points in this game went under the set line of 209.5. In contrast, the January game saw the Knicks as favorites with a -5.0 spread, which they covered comfortably, with the total points going over the line of 220.0. These games have demonstrated the Knicks' ability to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Heat's recent win suggests they have the potential to challenge the Knicks effectively.

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Preview

The New York Knicks and Miami Heat are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at the Kaseya Center. Both teams have had a mixed start to the season, with the Knicks holding a 1-2 record and the Heat slightly better at 2-1. The Knicks are coming off a narrow loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, where Jalen Brunson led the team with 21 points. Despite the loss, the Knicks have shown flashes of their potential, particularly in their dominant victory over the Indiana Pacers, where they won by 25 points. However, consistency has been an issue, especially with integrating new star Karl-Anthony Towns into their offensive scheme. Towns has been relatively quiet in terms of shot attempts, a trend that coach Tom Thibodeau will need to address to maximize the team's offensive output.

On the other hand, the Miami Heat have rebounded well after a disappointing season opener against the Orlando Magic. They have since secured back-to-back wins against the Charlotte Hornets and Detroit Pistons. Jimmy Butler has been pivotal in these victories, finding his rhythm and leading the team in scoring. The Heat's defense, traditionally one of their strengths, has been solid, allowing 106 points or fewer in two of their three games. However, their offensive efficiency has been inconsistent, with none of their top scorers shooting over 50% from the field. This inconsistency could be a concern against a Knicks team that has shown the ability to score efficiently when firing on all cylinders.

As both teams look to establish early-season momentum, the matchup between Towns and Bam Adebayo will be a key battle to watch. Adebayo's defensive prowess will be tested against Towns, who is eager to make a significant impact. The potential absence of Josh Hart for the Knicks could also play a role, as his contributions on the boards and defense have been valuable. With both teams still finding their footing, this game could be a high-scoring affair, especially if the Knicks can unlock their offensive potential and the Heat continue to improve their shooting efficiency.

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Pick: Total Points Over

As the New York Knicks prepare to face the Miami Heat, the potential for a high-scoring game is evident, making the over on the total points an enticing pick. Historically, matchups between these two teams have often resulted in high-scoring affairs, with two of their last three encounters surpassing the set point total. The Knicks, despite their early-season struggles, have demonstrated the ability to score efficiently, particularly in their commanding victory over the Indiana Pacers where they put up 123 points. Jalen Brunson, leading the Knicks with an average of 23 points per game, has been a consistent offensive threat, and the integration of Karl-Anthony Towns into their lineup promises to bolster their scoring potential once he becomes more involved in the offense.

On the other side, the Miami Heat have shown flashes of offensive prowess, especially in their recent victories over the Charlotte Hornets and Detroit Pistons. Jimmy Butler's resurgence, highlighted by his 26-point performance against the Hornets, indicates that the Heat are finding their rhythm offensively. While their shooting efficiency has been inconsistent, the Heat have the capability to score in bunches, particularly if they can replicate their three-point shooting success from the Hornets game, where they converted 41% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Both teams have defensive strengths, but their early-season performances suggest vulnerabilities that could be exploited. The Knicks have allowed over 100 points in two of their three games, while the Heat have conceded 106 points or more in two of their contests. With both teams still working on their defensive cohesion and the potential absence of key defensive contributors like Josh Hart for the Knicks, the stage is set for an offensive showcase. Given these factors, the over on the total points appears to be a strong play as both teams look to capitalize on their offensive capabilities in this early-season clash.

New York Knicks at Miami Heat Top Player Prop Picks

Jalen Brunson Over 6.5 Assists -128 (FanDuel)

Jalen Brunson has been a pivotal playmaker for the New York Knicks, averaging 23 points per game and consistently leading the team's offensive efforts. Despite the Knicks' early-season struggles, Brunson's ability to distribute the ball effectively remains a key component of their game plan. With the Knicks still working to integrate Karl-Anthony Towns into their offensive scheme, Brunson's role as a facilitator becomes even more crucial. The Miami Heat's defense, while traditionally strong, has shown vulnerabilities, allowing over 100 points in two of their three games. This presents an opportunity for Brunson to exploit defensive lapses and rack up assists, especially if the Knicks can find their rhythm offensively. Given his central role in orchestrating the Knicks' attack, taking the over on Brunson's assists is a promising play.

Karl-Anthony Towns Over 29.5 Points Rebounds -104 (FanDuel)

Karl-Anthony Towns is a significant addition to the Knicks' roster, and his potential impact on the game cannot be overstated. Although Towns has been relatively quiet in terms of shot attempts, the matchup against the Miami Heat presents an opportunity for him to assert himself. Facing Bam Adebayo, one of the league's premier defenders, Towns will need to be aggressive in both scoring and rebounding to help the Knicks secure a victory. The Heat have allowed 106 points or more in two of their three games, indicating potential defensive lapses that Towns can exploit. With the Knicks aiming to maximize Towns' contributions, expect him to be more involved in the offense and on the boards, making the over on his points and rebounds a compelling choice.

Jimmy Butler Over 23.5 Points Assists -105 (BetRivers)

Jimmy Butler has been instrumental in the Miami Heat's recent successes, leading the team in scoring and finding his rhythm after a slow start to the season. Butler's performance against the Charlotte Hornets, where he scored 26 points, highlights his ability to take over games and contribute significantly to the Heat's offensive output. As the Heat face a Knicks team still finding its defensive footing, Butler's scoring and playmaking will be crucial. The Knicks have allowed over 100 points in two of their three games, providing Butler with opportunities to exploit defensive weaknesses. With the Heat looking to continue their winning streak, Butler's over on points and assists is a strong pick, as he is likely to be at the forefront of Miami's offensive efforts.