NFL Pickwatch - New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Player Props, Picks and Predictions

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/17/2024 5:08 PM EST

We have your New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Yankees hit the road to face the Cleveland Guardians.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Yankees -110 (Caesars) / Cleveland Guardians +105 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - New York Yankees +150 (DraftKings) / Cleveland Guardians -166 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -120 (ESPN BET) / 7.0 - Over -120 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 10/17/2024
Time: 5:08 PM EST
Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio)
TV: TBS

New York Yankees Betting Trends

On the road, the New York Yankees have 52 wins and 31 losses this season.
As the favorite, the New York Yankees have 88 wins and 64 losses this season.
This season, the New York Yankees have hit 86 overs, 76 unders and pushed 6 times.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

At home, the Cleveland Guardians have 52 wins and 31 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Cleveland Guardians have 30 wins and 33 losses this season.
This season, the Cleveland Guardians have hit 70 overs, 90 unders and pushed 8 times.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the past two games between the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians, the Yankees have emerged victorious in both matchups. These games took place on October 14 and October 15, 2024, with the Yankees playing at home on both occasions. The Yankees, as the home team, were favored in both games and successfully covered the spread each time. The total score went over the set line once and under once, indicating a balanced offensive output across the two games. The Yankees demonstrated a strong offensive performance, accumulating a total of 17 runs over the two games, while the Guardians managed to score 5 runs in total. The Yankees' pitching staff allowed 5 earned runs over 18 innings, whereas the Guardians' pitchers gave up 11 earned runs over 16 innings.

In the most recent game on October 15, 2024, the Yankees defeated the Guardians with a final score of 6-3. The Yankees capitalized on the Guardians' defensive errors early in the game, with Gleyber Torres scoring on an error in the first inning. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto also advanced on a fielding error in the same inning. The Yankees extended their lead in the second inning with Alex Verdugo's double, bringing Anthony Volpe home, and Judge's sacrifice fly scoring Anthony Rizzo. The Guardians attempted a comeback in the fifth inning with a sacrifice fly from Josh Naylor and a fielder's choice by Will Brennan, but the Yankees maintained their lead. Aaron Judge's home run in the seventh inning, scoring Torres, further solidified the Yankees' advantage. José Ramírez hit a home run for the Guardians in the ninth inning, but it was not enough to close the gap. The Yankees recorded 11 hits and 6 walks, while the Guardians had 8 hits and 6 walks.

The game on October 14, 2024, saw the Yankees secure a 5-2 victory over the Guardians. The Yankees' offense was highlighted by two home runs, contributing to their total of 5 runs. The Guardians managed to score 2 runs, with one home run in their tally. The Yankees' pitching staff delivered a strong performance, allowing only 6 hits and 2 earned runs over 9 innings, while striking out 14 Guardians batters. The Guardians' pitchers struggled with control, issuing 7 walks and allowing 5 earned runs over 8 innings. The Yankees' ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and maintain solid pitching performances were key factors in their back-to-back victories against the Guardians.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Preview

The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians are set to face off in Game 3 of the American League Championship Series, with the Yankees holding a commanding 2-0 lead. The series shifts to Progressive Field in Cleveland, where the Guardians will look to leverage their home-field advantage to turn the tide. The Yankees have demonstrated their offensive prowess in the first two games, capitalizing on Cleveland's defensive miscues and showcasing their power with timely hits from stars like Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge, who broke out of his postseason slump with a crucial home run in Game 2, will be a key figure as the Yankees aim to extend their lead.

On the mound, the Yankees will send Clarke Schmidt, who has been reliable in his postseason appearances, to face the Guardians. Schmidt's ability to navigate through Cleveland's lineup will be crucial, especially given the Yankees' bullpen has been heavily utilized in the series. Meanwhile, the Guardians will counter with Matthew Boyd, who has been effective in his limited postseason outings. Boyd's task will be to contain a Yankees lineup that has been relentless in exploiting scoring opportunities.

The Guardians, despite their struggles, have shown resilience and will rely on their star player José Ramírez to ignite their offense. Ramírez, who hit a late home run in Game 2, will need to lead by example and deliver in clutch situations to keep Cleveland's hopes alive. The Guardians' bullpen, a strength throughout the season, will also need to step up and provide stability after early exits from their starting pitchers in the first two games.

As the series progresses, both teams will be mindful of their strategic adjustments. The Yankees will look to maintain their aggressive approach on the bases and continue their disciplined at-bats, while the Guardians will aim to tighten their defense and capitalize on any Yankees' mistakes. With the stakes high and the series potentially on the line, Game 3 promises to be a pivotal matchup in this ALCS showdown.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Pick: Total Runs Over

As the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians prepare for Game 3 of the ALCS, the expectation is for a high-scoring affair, making the 'Total Runs Over' a compelling pick. The Yankees have demonstrated their offensive firepower in the first two games of the series, scoring a combined 11 runs. Key players like Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been instrumental in this offensive surge, with Judge breaking out of his postseason slump with a crucial home run in Game 2. The Yankees' ability to capitalize on Cleveland's defensive errors has also contributed to their scoring prowess, as seen in their 6-3 victory in Game 2, where they took advantage of multiple Guardians' miscues.

On the other side, the Guardians have shown they can put runs on the board, albeit inconsistently. José Ramírez, despite his struggles, managed to hit a home run in the ninth inning of Game 2, indicating his potential to spark the Guardians' offense. Cleveland's lineup, while not as potent as New York's, has the capability to exploit any lapses in the Yankees' pitching, especially if Clarke Schmidt, who has been reliable but not infallible, falters under the pressure of a pivotal postseason game.

Furthermore, both teams have had their starting pitchers exit early in the series, leading to increased reliance on their bullpens. This trend could continue in Game 3, potentially leading to more scoring opportunities as relievers are tasked with handling high-leverage situations. The Yankees' bullpen has been heavily utilized, and while effective, the wear and tear could present openings for the Guardians to capitalize.

Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, the defensive vulnerabilities displayed by the Guardians, and the potential for bullpen fatigue, the conditions are ripe for a game that exceeds the projected run total. With the series shifting to Progressive Field, where the Guardians will be eager to respond in front of their home crowd, expect both teams to come out swinging, making the 'Total Runs Over' a strong pick for Game 3.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians Top Player Prop Picks

Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 Strikeouts +125 (BetMGM)

Matthew Boyd has been a reliable arm for the Cleveland Guardians since joining the team, posting a 2.72 ERA over eight starts. Despite limited postseason experience, Boyd has shown the ability to perform under pressure, as evidenced by his 10 strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings during the ALDS against the Detroit Tigers. With the Guardians' backs against the wall in Game 3, Boyd will be motivated to deliver a strong performance. The Yankees' lineup, while potent, has shown vulnerability to strikeouts, particularly in high-pressure situations. Boyd's ability to mix his pitches and keep hitters off balance could lead to him surpassing the 3.5 strikeout line, making the over a compelling pick at favorable odds.

Anthony Rizzo Over 0.5 Singles +112 (Caesars)

Anthony Rizzo has been a consistent contributor for the Yankees since returning from injury, going 3-for-7 in the first two games of the ALCS. His ability to make contact and find gaps in the defense has been crucial for New York's offensive success. Rizzo's matchup against Matthew Boyd, a left-handed pitcher, could work in his favor, as Rizzo has historically performed well against southpaws. With the Yankees looking to extend their series lead, Rizzo's knack for getting on base and setting the table for the power hitters behind him makes the over on 0.5 singles an attractive proposition.

Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Singles -115 (bet365)

Gleyber Torres has been a spark plug for the Yankees at the top of the order, reaching base consistently and setting the tone for the lineup. In the postseason, Torres has demonstrated his ability to deliver in clutch situations, as seen in his three-hit performance in Game 2. His approach at the plate, characterized by patience and the ability to hit to all fields, makes him a constant threat to opposing pitchers. With the Yankees aiming to capitalize on their momentum, Torres is likely to continue his aggressive approach, making the over on 0.5 singles a strong pick. His recent form and the Guardians' pitching struggles further bolster the case for this prop.