Here is the Pickwatch BetSmart Preview for the New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of the AL Divisional Round in the 2025 MLB Playoffs.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Game Info

Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Time: 4:08 PM ET
Location: Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario
TV: FOX

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Info

Spread / Run Line
- Yankees +1.5 (-200)
- Blue Jays -1.5 (+164)
Moneyline
- Yankees +106
- Blue Jays -124
Total (Over/Under)
- Over 8 (-115)
- Under 8 (-105)

*Odds via FanDuel

Season Betting Trends

Moneyline
- Yankees: 94-71
- Blue Jays: 94-68
Run Line
- Yankees: 79-86
- Blue Jays: 91-71
Totals (Over-Under)
- Yankees: 78-83-6
- Blue Jays: 87-69-6

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Preview

This is the first ever postseason meeting between the Yankees and Blue Jays, despite their extensive history as AL East rivals. Toronto earned home-field advantage by winning the regular season series 8–5 over New York in 2025.

The Yankees will send Luis Gil to the mound in Game 1. He’s been used strategically after the Wild Card, likely to manage bullpen usage. Toronto counters with Kevin Gausman, their ace, scheduled to start Game 1.

New York’s bullpen may be tested — they used key relievers in the Wild Card series and may not have full freshness. Meanwhile, Toronto enters rested (having had a bye) and will lean heavily on depth, especially with Bo Bichette absent.

Toronto’s offense is strong, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer providing power. The Yankees, however, still lead MLB in home runs and have a deep lineup that can launch big innings.

Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The New York Yankees lead the all-time series 285-240 against the Toronto Blue Jays. Here are the last 5 matchups:

Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3 — September 7, 2025
Yankees 3, Blue Jays 1 — September 6, 2025
Blue Jays 7, Yankees 1 — September 5, 2025
Blue Jays 8, Yankees 4 — July 23, 2025
Blue Jays 4, Yankees 3 — July 9, 2025

BetSmart Betting Rundown

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Arbitrage

Our Arbitrage Betting Tool is currently not identifying any arbitrage betting opportunities for guaranteed profit. The tool scans all major sportsbooks in real-time, though, so be sure to check back often as odds and lines change often, and an arbitrage opportunity could still become available before the first pitch.

Middles

Our Middle Betting Tool is currently not identifying any middle betting opportunities. The tool scans all major sportsbooks in real-time, though, so be sure to check back often as odds and lines change often, and additional middle bet opportunities could still become available before the first pitch.

Positive EV

Our Positive EV Betting Tool has identified 2 different positive expected value wagers, and provided data on the expected value percentrage, suggested Kelly Stake, and how often the bet has hit in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Player Props

Our Prop Finder Tool has identified over 200 different player prop bets, and provided data on how often each player has hit the specific prop in the last 5, 10 and 15 games.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays: Expert Picks

Visit our Expert Picks page to view picks and data from experts to see where the consensus is on the Yankees vs. Blue Jays moneyline, run line and total.