The Bengals converted Tom Brady’s four turnovers (2x INT, 2x fumble) into 21 points as Cincinnati rallied back to beat the Buccaneers 34-23. Tampa Bay fell to 6-8 overall and a league worst 3-10-1 against the spread this season by not covering +3.5 as home dogs.

Arizona lost their second quarterback in as many weeks as Colt McCoy suffered a concussion in the third quarter of the Cardinals 24-15 loss to the Broncos. As of now Trace McSorly will lead the offense through the final three weeks as Arizona is just 4-10 overall and 6-8 against the spread after failing to cover +1.5 at Mile High.

Line Movement

The Buccaneers opened as 3-point road favorites, but ticked up as high as Tampa Bay -4.5 at the best online sportsbooks we follow. The Cardinals moneyline odds are anywhere between +180 to start the week. The over-under point total opened at 42, but can be found as low as O/U 41 as of Monday morning. The OVER has cashed in six of the Cardinals last 8 games.

Tampa Bay’s odds to win the NFC South are -300, but +3300 to win Super Bowl 57.

Buccaneers News and Notes

• Tom Brady is 2-11 ATS in his last 13 primetime games.
• What to say, Brady’s Buccaneers are 6-8 and, yet, they are in first place in the NFC South.
• Brady lost two fumbles in the loss to the Bengals.
  • He had not lost two fumbles IN A SEASON since 2004.
  • He’s also thrown five interceptions over his past three games.
• Tampa’s top 10 scoring defense has allowed 69 points over the past two games.
  • They’ve allowed an extra red zone trip per game over the past three games compared to season average of 2.9 RZAPG.
• Buccaneers hope to get offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs back from a high-ankle sprain.

Cardinals News and Notes

• Arizona has lost six of its last seven games and four straight.
• Cardinals can’t keep quarterbacks healthy
  • Kyler Murray injured his ankle in Week 8, later missed two games
  • Murray tore his ACL in Week 14, out for season
  • Colt McCoy suffered a concussion in Week 15, in protocol
• The team’s second-string quarterback Trace McSorley has never started a game
  • He was 7-for-15 with no touchdowns and one interception in relief of McCoy.
  • David Blough is the third-string quarterback, signed after Murray went on IR. He started several game for the Lions back in 2019.
• The Cardinals are tied with the Broncos, at 4-10, for the third-worst record in the NFL ahead of only the Texans and Bears.
• Arizona allows the most points per game, 26.6.
• Opposing offense have converted 69% of their red zone trips into touchdowns (32^nd).
  • Cardinals allow 3.7 RZ attempts per game (31^st).

Betting Pick: Buccaneers -3

Without Murray and McCoy, Arizona doesn't stand a chance in this matchup unless, ya know, they find their own Baker Mayfield (vs. Raiders) in McSorley to crush the hopes and dreams of this NFL sports handicapper.