The Steelers pitched a second-half shutout against the Raiders Saturday night, which allowed the offense to rally and score the final 10 points of the game in a 13-10 win over Las Vegas. Pittsburgh improved to 7-8 straight up and 8-6-1 against the spread after covering as 2.5-point home favorites.

The Ravens locked up a playoff spot in their 17-9 win over the Falcons, but it wasn’t pretty as Tyler Huntley completed just nine passes for 115 yards and Baltimore converted just 1-of-4 red zone chances against the rebuilding Falcons. The Ravens improved to 10-5 overall and 6-8-1 against the spread after covering as 6.5-point home favorites.

Line Movement

The Ravens opened as 6.5-point home favorites, but with Lamar Jackson’s status up in the air, Baltimore’s consensus line dipped to -3 at best online sportsbooks we follow. The Steelers moneyline odds are anywhere between +140 to +145 to start the week. The over-under point total opened at 42, but can be found as low as an astonishing O/U 36. The UNDER has cashed in six of the Ravens last seven games and six of the Steelers last seven games AT Baltimore.

The Ravens odds to win Super Bowl 57 are up to 25-to-1, while Steelers have some work to do at 75-to-1.

Steelers News and Notes

• Pittsburgh weather Week 16, Saturday night: 8 degrees at kickoff
• Baltimore forecast Week 17, Sunday night: mid-40s at kickoff
• Steelers have won 4 of their past 5 games to get to 7-8 on the season, but lose several playoff tiebreakers and would need a lot of help to back their way into the postseason.
• Defense has allowed just 15 points per game over the past five contests.
• Derek Carr, Raiders offense second half possessions vs PIT Week 16: INT, INT, Punt, Punt, Punt, & INT.
• They’ve allowed only 4.0 second half points per game the past three weeks.
• Baltimore has allowed 6.7 points per second half.
• The Steelers average just 6.8 second half points per game, rank 31^st.
• Ravens average 10.3 second half points per game on the season, compared to 2.0 under Huntley the past three weeks.
• With Huntley limited in the passing game, focus will hone in on the Steelers rush defense that has allowed 98 rush yards per game over the past three games. J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards have to carry the load once again.

Ravens News and Notes

• Lamar Jackson has missed three consecutive weeks with a PCL knee injury.
• His initial prognosis was that he would miss up to three games.
• Head coach John Harbaugh was vague with reporters regarding Jackson’s chances of practicing/playing Week 17 against the Steelers with a mother-approved “we’ll just have to see” retort.
• The Ravens are 2-1 since Jackson’s injury, but the offense is averaging just 12 points per game with Tyler Huntley starting.
• Key Stats in Ravens 16-14 win over the Steelers Week 14:
• J.K. Dobbins + Gus Edwards combined for 186 rush yards on 28 carries and a touchdown.
• Ravens offense committed no turnovers.
• Defense forced three turnovers, which were converted into three points in a game decided by two points.
• Ravens converted just 4-of-13 third downs.
• Huntley should not be a starting quarterback.
• Baltimore ranks dead last in passing yards per game the past three weeks, 111 PYPG
• Only the Jets and Browns have averaged fewer points per game over the past three weeks.
• Ravens defense allowing just 12 points per game over their past three is a saving grace.
• The Steelers, Browns and Falcons converted just 25% of their red zone trips into touchdowns against the Ravens over the past three weeks.
• This is notable because Baltimore’s defense has allowed 4 red zone attempts per game. See: bend, don’t break.

Betting Pick: Ravens -3

With an over/under of 36, this defensive slog will be a tough watch ... unless Lamar Jackson returns from his knee injury. If you have the option to fade betting on this matchup, I would, but the twist-my-arm pick is laying the points on the home team and looking at the UNDER should Huntley start.