San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/10/2024 9:40 PM EST

We have your San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners prop betting and game preview needs covered as the San Diego Padres hit the road to face the Seattle Mariners.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: San Diego Padres -100 (FanDuel) / Seattle Mariners -110 (BetRivers)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - San Diego Padres +170 (Caesars) / Seattle Mariners -205 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -145 (ESPN BET) / 7.0 - Over -110 (bet365)

Game Info

Date: 9/10/2024
Time: 9:40 PM EST
Location: T-Mobile Park (Seattle, Washington)
TV: MLB.TV

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres have faced each other six times. In these matchups, the Mariners have emerged victorious in five games, while the Padres have managed to secure just one win. The games have been evenly split between home and away victories, with each team winning three times as the visiting team. Against the spread, the Mariners have consistently outperformed the Padres, covering the spread in five of the six games. The total score has gone over the set line twice, while it has stayed under four times, indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring games in this matchup.

The most recent encounter between these two teams took place on July 10, 2024, where the Seattle Mariners defeated the San Diego Padres with a score of 2-0. The Mariners capitalized on a fielding error by Padres' first baseman Luis Arraez in the second inning, allowing Cal Raleigh to score. Later, in the fourth inning, Jorge Polanco's single brought Luke Raley home, securing the Mariners' second run. Seattle's pitching was particularly effective, with their starter, Bryce Miller, delivering a complete game shutout, striking out four batters and allowing only six hits and three walks. Despite the Padres' pitching staff recording 13 strikeouts, they were unable to prevent the Mariners from scoring two runs on four hits.

In terms of betting odds, the Mariners were the underdogs with a moneyline of +115, while the Padres were favored at -140. The point spread was set at -1.5 in favor of the Padres, but the Mariners covered the spread with their two-run victory. The total score for the game was set at 7.5, and the final score of 2-0 resulted in the game going under by 5.5 points. Both teams struggled to capitalize on scoring opportunities, with the Mariners leaving 12 runners on base and the Padres leaving 14, highlighting the challenges both teams faced in converting chances into runs.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Preview

The San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners are set to clash in a pivotal two-game series at T-Mobile Park, with both teams eyeing crucial victories as the regular season winds down. The Padres, currently holding an 81-64 record, are looking to bounce back after a challenging series against the San Francisco Giants, where they dropped two out of three games. Despite their recent struggles, the Padres have shown resilience, with standout performances from players like Jackson Merrill, who recently hit a home run against the Giants.

On the other side, the Mariners, with a 73-71 record, are in the midst of a late-season push for a playoff spot. They have been gaining momentum, winning four of their last five games, and have been particularly effective offensively, scoring six or more runs in each of those victories. The Mariners' recent success has been bolstered by strong performances from players like Luke Raley, who played a key role in their recent win over the Cardinals.

The pitching matchup for this game features Yu Darvish for the Padres and George Kirby for the Mariners. Darvish, making only his second start since returning from a lengthy stint on the injured list, will be looking to find his rhythm after a shaky outing against Detroit. Meanwhile, Kirby has been a reliable force for the Mariners, especially at home, where he has consistently delivered strong performances.

Historically, the Mariners have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Padres, winning five of their last six encounters. This includes a sweep in their previous two-game series at Petco Park in July. As both teams prepare to face off, the Mariners will be aiming to capitalize on their home-field advantage and continue their offensive surge, while the Padres will be looking to tighten their defense and find consistency on the mound.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Pick: Total Runs Over

As the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners prepare to face off at T-Mobile Park, the betting landscape suggests a compelling case for the total runs to go over. Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games recently, with the Mariners in particular demonstrating offensive prowess. Seattle has scored six or more runs in four of their last five games, a testament to their potent lineup that has been firing on all cylinders as they make a late-season push for the playoffs. This offensive surge is further highlighted by their recent 10-4 victory over the Cardinals, where players like Luke Raley have been instrumental in driving in runs.

On the other hand, the Padres have also been involved in high-scoring affairs, with the over cashing in their last two games. Despite their recent struggles, San Diego's lineup, featuring power hitters like Jackson Merrill, has the capability to put runs on the board, as evidenced by their recent 7-6 loss to the Giants where Merrill contributed with a home run. The Padres' pitching has been less reliable, allowing an average of 6.5 runs per game over their past two outings, which further supports the likelihood of a high-scoring contest.

The pitching matchup also leans towards the over. Yu Darvish, making only his second start since returning from the injured list, showed signs of rust in his previous outing, allowing three earned runs in just 2.2 innings. Meanwhile, George Kirby, while generally reliable, will face a Padres lineup eager to capitalize on any opportunities. Given the recent trends and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the conditions are ripe for a game that exceeds the set total, making the over a strong play in this matchup.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Top Player Prop Picks

Yu Darvish Over 1.5 Earned Runs -148 (Caesars)

Yu Darvish is set to make only his second start since returning from a lengthy stint on the injured list, and his recent performance suggests that he might still be shaking off some rust. In his previous outing against Detroit, Darvish allowed three earned runs in just 2.2 innings, indicating potential vulnerabilities that the Mariners' potent lineup could exploit. Seattle has been on an offensive tear, scoring six or more runs in four of their last five games, including a commanding 10-4 victory over the Cardinals. With the Mariners' bats firing on all cylinders and Darvish still finding his rhythm, the over on earned runs for Darvish is a compelling play.

George Kirby Over 4.5 Strikeouts -134 (FanDuel)

George Kirby has been a reliable force for the Mariners, particularly when pitching at home. In his last start, Kirby struck out nine batters, showcasing his ability to dominate opposing lineups. The Padres, while featuring power hitters like Jackson Merrill, have been inconsistent, as evidenced by their recent struggles against the Giants. Kirby's recent form and the Padres' tendency to strike out make the over on 4.5 strikeouts an attractive proposition. With Seattle's playoff push in full swing, expect Kirby to bring his best to the mound, further bolstering the case for this prop.

Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Singles -105 (DraftKings)

Julio Rodriguez has been a key contributor to the Mariners' recent offensive success, and his ability to get on base will be crucial in this matchup against the Padres. With Seattle's lineup consistently producing runs, Rodriguez's role as a catalyst cannot be overstated. The Mariners have been scoring prolifically, and Rodriguez's knack for finding gaps in the defense makes the over on 0.5 singles a strong play. Given the Padres' recent pitching struggles, particularly with Darvish's uncertain form, Rodriguez is well-positioned to capitalize and deliver at least one single in this contest.