Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/8/2024 5:08 PM EST

We have your Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the New York Mets.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -110 (BetMGM) / New York Mets -104 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Philadelphia Phillies +165 (ESPN BET) / New York Mets -182 (FanDuel)
Best Total Odds: 7.5 - Under -125 (ESPN BET) / 7.0 - Over -115 (Caesars)

Game Info

Date: 10/8/2024
Time: 5:08 PM EST
Location: Citi Field (Queens, New York)
TV: FS1

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

On the road, the Philadelphia Phillies have 41 wins and 40 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Philadelphia Phillies have 82 wins and 53 losses this season.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have hit 80 overs, 77 unders and pushed 7 times.

New York Mets Betting Trends

At home, the New York Mets have 46 wins and 35 losses this season.
As the favorite, the New York Mets have 41 wins and 34 losses this season.
This season, the New York Mets have hit 87 overs, 76 unders and pushed 4 times.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past month, the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets have faced off nine times, with the Mets securing five victories and the Phillies winning four. The home team has generally had the upper hand, winning six of these encounters, while the visiting team has managed to win only three times. In terms of betting outcomes, the Mets have been more successful against the spread, covering in seven of the nine games, while the Phillies have covered only twice. The games have predominantly been high-scoring affairs, with the total score going over the set line in seven instances, compared to just two games hitting the under.

The most recent matchup between these two teams took place on October 6, 2024, where the Phillies emerged victorious with a narrow 7-6 win over the Mets. The game was a back-and-forth battle, with the Mets initially taking the lead in the third inning through a home run by Mark Vientos, which also brought Francisco Lindor home. The Mets extended their lead in the sixth inning with a home run from Pete Alonso. However, the Phillies responded in the same inning with back-to-back home runs from Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos. The Mets regained the lead in the seventh inning with a home run from Brandon Nimmo, but the Phillies surged ahead in the eighth inning with a triple from Bryson Stott, scoring Harper and Castellanos. The game was tied again in the ninth inning with another home run from Vientos, but the Phillies clinched the victory in the bottom of the ninth when Castellanos singled, scoring Trea Turner. The game featured a total of seven home runs, with the Mets hitting four and the Phillies three, and both teams leaving a significant number of runners on base.

In terms of individual performances and game statistics, the Mets had a total of 11 hits and left 12 runners on base, while the Phillies had 10 hits and left 10 runners on base. The game saw a combined total of 22 strikeouts, with the Mets striking out 10 times and the Phillies 11 times. The Mets' pitching staff allowed seven earned runs on 10 hits, while the Phillies' pitchers gave up six earned runs on 11 hits. Both teams committed one error each. The game was played in favorable weather conditions, with a temperature of 76 degrees and a light wind blowing from left to right. The attendance for the game was 45,679, and it lasted just over three hours.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are set to clash in a pivotal Game 3 of the National League Division Series at Citi Field, with the series tied at one game apiece. Both teams have showcased their resilience and offensive prowess in the first two games, setting the stage for what promises to be another thrilling encounter.

The Phillies, coming off a dramatic 7-6 walk-off victory in Game 2, will look to carry their momentum into New York. Their offense, led by the likes of Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos, has been firing on all cylinders. Harper's two-run homer and Castellanos' game-winning single in the ninth inning were crucial in leveling the series. The Phillies' lineup has demonstrated its ability to respond in high-pressure situations, a trait that will be vital as they face the Mets' pitching staff.

On the mound for Philadelphia will be Aaron Nola, who has a solid track record against the Mets. Nola, with a 14-8 record and a 3.57 ERA in the regular season, has been a reliable presence for the Phillies. His previous outings at Citi Field have been a mix of highs and lows, but his experience and ability to execute pitches will be key in containing the Mets' potent lineup.

The Mets, meanwhile, return home after a grueling road trip that saw them clinch a Wild Card spot and split the first two games of this series. Their offense has been buoyed by the power of Mark Vientos and Pete Alonso, both of whom have delivered crucial home runs. Vientos, in particular, has been a revelation, providing timely hits that have kept the Mets competitive.

Sean Manaea will take the mound for New York, bringing with him a 12-6 record and a 3.47 ERA. Manaea has been a cornerstone of the Mets' rotation, and his ability to go deep into games will be crucial in giving the bullpen some much-needed rest. The Mets will rely on their home-field advantage and the energy of the Citi Field crowd to propel them to a series lead.

As both teams prepare for this critical matchup, the focus will be on maintaining offensive pressure and executing on the mound. With the series finely poised, Game 3 promises to be a high-stakes affair, with both teams eager to seize the advantage in their quest for a spot in the National League Championship Series.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Pick: Total Runs Over

As the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets prepare for Game 3 of their NLDS showdown, the stage is set for another high-scoring affair. The series has already showcased explosive offensive performances, with both teams combining for 13 runs in Game 2 alone. This trend of high-scoring games is likely to continue, making the over on the total runs a compelling pick.

Throughout the postseason, both teams have demonstrated their offensive prowess. The Phillies, led by the likes of Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos, have consistently found ways to generate runs. Harper's two-run homer and Castellanos' walk-off single in Game 2 were pivotal in their comeback victory, highlighting their ability to deliver in clutch situations. The Phillies have scored six or more runs in two of their last three games, underscoring their offensive capabilities.

On the other side, the Mets have also been potent at the plate, with Mark Vientos and Pete Alonso providing significant power. Vientos' two home runs in Game 2 were crucial in keeping the Mets competitive, and Alonso's consistent ability to go deep adds another layer of threat to their lineup. The Mets have hit the over in four of their five postseason games so far, reflecting their tendency to engage in high-scoring contests.

Moreover, both teams have shown vulnerabilities in their bullpens, which could further contribute to a high-scoring game. The Phillies' bullpen has struggled, allowing 10 earned runs over the first two games of the series. Similarly, the Mets' relievers have been unable to consistently shut down the Phillies' offense, as evidenced by their inability to hold leads in Game 2.

Given these factors, the over on the total runs is a strong pick for Game 3. Both teams have the offensive firepower to exploit each other's pitching weaknesses, and with the series tied, the stakes are higher than ever. Expect another thrilling, high-scoring encounter as these two rivals battle for a crucial series lead.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Top Player Prop Picks

Nick Castellanos Over 1.5 Hits Runs RBIs -105 (DraftKings)

Nick Castellanos has been a pivotal player for the Phillies in this series, showcasing his ability to deliver in crucial moments. In Game 2, Castellanos was instrumental in the Phillies' victory, going 3-for-5 with two RBIs, including the game-winning walk-off single. His performance in the postseason has been consistent, and he has shown a knack for coming through in high-pressure situations. With the series shifting to Citi Field, Castellanos will be looking to continue his hot streak. Given his recent form and the Mets' bullpen struggles, taking the over on 1.5 Hits Runs RBIs for Castellanos is a strong play.

Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts -103 (BetRivers)

Aaron Nola has been a reliable force for the Phillies, and his track record against the Mets suggests he could have a strong outing in Game 3. Nola finished the regular season with a solid 3.57 ERA and has a history of performing well at Citi Field, boasting a 2.49 ERA in 12 starts there since 2018. The Mets' lineup, while potent, has shown vulnerabilities, particularly with strikeouts. In the previous games of this series, the Mets have struck out a combined 22 times. Nola's ability to execute pitches and his familiarity with the Mets' hitters make the over on 5.5 strikeouts an appealing option.

Mark Vientos Over 1.5 Hits Runs RBIs 100 (BetMGM)

Mark Vientos has emerged as a key contributor for the Mets, particularly in the postseason. In Game 2, Vientos was a standout performer, going 3-for-4 with two home runs and four RBIs, keeping the Mets in contention throughout the game. His power and timely hitting have been crucial for the Mets, and with the series now at Citi Field, Vientos will be eager to continue his impressive form. Given his recent performances and the Phillies' bullpen issues, betting on Vientos to exceed 1.5 Hits Runs RBIs offers good value.