Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/26/2025 7:10 PM EDT

We have your Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the New York Mets.

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -108 on FanDuel | New York Mets -105 on Caesars
Best Spread Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+158) on BetRivers | New York Mets +1.5 (-190) on BallyBet / RiversCasino
Best Total Odds: Over 8.0 (-115) on DraftKings | Under 8.5 (-115) on ESPN BET

Game Info

Date: August 26, 2025
Time: 7:10 PM EDT
Location: Citi Field, New York
TV: SNY

Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies, leading the NL East with a 76-55 record, travel to Citi Field to face the second-place New York Mets (70-61). This divisional matchup features a compelling pitching duel and two offenses capable of putting up runs.

For the Phillies, left-hander Jesús Luzardo (12-6, 4.10 ERA) takes the mound. Luzardo has been in excellent form recently, boasting a 4-1 record with a 2.48 ERA over his last five starts, including a 12-strikeout performance in his last outing against Seattle. The Phillies' offense is a formidable unit, ranking 2nd in batting average (.257) and 4th in on-base percentage (.326), with 160 home runs (10th in MLB). Key hitters like Trea Turner (.299 batting average) and Bryce Harper (.263 batting average) provide consistent offensive production. However, the Phillies are looking to rebound after a significant 13-3 loss to the Mets in their most recent encounter.

The New York Mets will counter with left-hander Sean Manaea (1-2, 5.15 ERA). Manaea has struggled in his recent appearances, going winless in his last five starts and allowing 17 runs over four of those outings. Despite Manaea's recent struggles, the Mets' offense has been red-hot, especially in clutch situations. They are coming off an impressive 13-3 victory over the Phillies, where they exploded for 14 hits and went 11-for-19 with runners in scoring position. Over their last nine games, the Mets are hitting an astounding .375 in clutch spots, leading the National League. They also hold a dominant 4-0 record against the Phillies at Citi Field this season, hitting .419 with runners in scoring position in those matchups. Pete Alonso (29 home runs, 103 RBIs) and Francisco Lindor (25 home runs, 72 RBIs) are central to the Mets' power-hitting lineup, which ranks 5th in on-base percentage (.325) and 8th in slugging percentage (.424) with 176 home runs.

Citi Field is generally considered a slightly pitcher-friendly park with a park factor of 98. The Mets have several players on the injured list, including key contributors like Francisco Alvarez, while the Phillies are without Zack Wheeler.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The New York Mets have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Philadelphia Phillies, particularly when playing at Citi Field. In their most recent game on August 25, 2025, the Mets secured a decisive 13-3 victory over the Phillies. This win contributed to the Mets' impressive 4-0 record against the Phillies at Citi Field this season.

Looking back further, the Phillies have struggled when visiting Flushing, holding a regular-season record of 3-8 over the past two seasons at Citi Field, in addition to an 0-2 record in playoff games. A notable trend in these matchups is Bryce Harper's performance at Citi Field as a Phillie; he is batting just .200 with three home runs in 38 games, and his struggles have continued with a .194 average and one home run since the start of 2024 in New York.

Recent head-to-head results between the two teams include:

August 25, 2025: New York Mets 13, Philadelphia Phillies 3 (Mets Won)
June 22, 2025: New York Mets 1, Philadelphia Phillies 7 (Mets Lost)
June 21, 2025: New York Mets 11, Philadelphia Phillies 4 (Mets Won)
June 20, 2025: New York Mets 2, Philadelphia Phillies 10 (Mets Lost)
April 23, 2025: New York Mets 4, Philadelphia Phillies 3 (Mets Won)
April 22, 2025: New York Mets 5, Philadelphia Phillies 1 (Mets Won)
April 21, 2025: New York Mets 5, Philadelphia Phillies 4 (Mets Won)
October 9, 2024: New York Mets 4, Philadelphia Phillies 1 (Mets Won)
October 8, 2024: New York Mets 7, Philadelphia Phillies 2 (Mets Won)
October 6, 2024: New York Mets 6, Philadelphia Phillies 7 (Mets Lost)

Pick: Total Over 8.0 Runs

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Despite the presence of Jesús Luzardo, who has been pitching well for the Phillies, the Mets' offense has shown an exceptional ability to score runs, especially at home against Philadelphia. The Mets are coming off a 13-run outburst against the Phillies and have been hitting .375 in clutch situations over their last nine games. Their strong offensive metrics, ranking 8th in slugging percentage and home runs, suggest they can continue to produce runs. While Sean Manaea has struggled for the Mets, the offensive firepower from both sides, coupled with the Mets' recent offensive surge, points towards a higher-scoring game. The model projects a total score of 9 runs, making the Over on 8.0 runs a compelling pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Francisco Lindor (New York Mets) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Francisco Lindor has been consistently getting on base, hitting the over on 0.5 hits in 80% of his last 15 games and 70% of his last 20 games. His season average for hits is 1.06. Against the Phillies in 2025, he has hit the over in 71.43% of his appearances. Historically, Lindor has a .238 batting average in 24 plate appearances against Phillies starter Jesús Luzardo. Given his recent form and his performance against this opponent, Lindor is well-positioned to record at least one hit. You can find the best odds for this prop at -220 on FanDuel.

Alec Bohm (Philadelphia Phillies) - Over 0.5 Hits

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Alec Bohm has been a reliable hitter for the Phillies, hitting the over on 0.5 hits in 80% of his last 15 games and 85% of his last 20 games. His season average for hits is 1.07. When playing on the road in 2025, he has hit the over in 72% of his games. Against the Mets in 2025, Bohm has an impressive 85.71% hit rate over 7 games. While his career batting average against Mets starter Sean Manaea is .231 in 14 plate appearances, his current form and strong performance against the Mets this season make him a solid pick for a hit. The best odds for this prop are -250 on BetMGM.

Trea Turner (Philadelphia Phillies) - Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Trea Turner has been a consistent contributor to the Phillies' offense, hitting the over on 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs in 66.67% of his last 15 games and 60% of his last 20 games. His season average for this combined prop is 2.4. In 2025 road games, he has hit the over in 52.31% of his appearances. Against the Mets in 2025, he has hit the over in 57.14% of his games. Historically, Turner has a .333 batting average in 19 plate appearances against Mets starter Sean Manaea. Given his strong recent performance and favorable matchup against Manaea, Turner is a good candidate to exceed this line. You can find the best odds for this prop at -140 on BetMGM.