Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/16/2024 7:40 PM EST

We have your Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -114 (BetRivers) / Milwaukee Brewers +102 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: 1.5 - Philadelphia Phillies +148 (BetRivers) / Milwaukee Brewers -165 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 8.0 - Under -112 (FanDuel) / 7.5 - Over -125 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 9/16/2024
Time: 7:40 PM EST
Location: American Family Field (Milwaukee, Wisconsin)
TV: MLB.TV

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In the three games played between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers during the 2024 season, the Phillies emerged victorious in all three matchups. These games took place over a span of three consecutive days, from June 3 to June 5, 2024. The home team, Philadelphia, won each game, maintaining a perfect record against the Brewers. The Phillies also covered the spread in two of the three games, while the Brewers managed to cover the spread once. Notably, all three games went under the set over-under line, indicating lower-than-expected scoring. Across these games, the Phillies demonstrated strong pitching and defense, allowing only two runs in total, while the Brewers struggled offensively, scoring just two runs over the series.

The most recent game on June 5, 2024, saw the Phillies secure a 2-0 victory over the Brewers. The game was highlighted by a fifth-inning home run from Nick Castellanos, which brought Garrett Stubbs home, accounting for the only runs of the game. The Phillies' pitching was particularly impressive, with their starter, Aaron Nola, achieving a complete game shutout, striking out nine batters and allowing only three hits and one walk. The Brewers' starter, Aaron Ashby, pitched eight innings, giving up two earned runs and striking out four. Despite having opportunities, the Brewers left ten runners on base, unable to capitalize on their chances. The Phillies' defense was flawless, with a fielding percentage of 1.000, contributing to their shutout victory.

Throughout the series, the Phillies consistently outperformed the Brewers, both offensively and defensively. The Phillies' pitchers were dominant, with Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler each delivering complete games in their respective starts. The Brewers' offense was limited to just 15 hits and two runs over the three games, while the Phillies managed to score seven runs on 18 hits. The Phillies' ability to capitalize on key moments, combined with their strong pitching and defense, proved decisive in their sweep of the series. As the teams prepare to face each other again on September 16, 2024, the Phillies will look to continue their dominance, while the Brewers will aim to turn the tide in their favor.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers are set to clash in a pivotal three-game series at American Family Field, with both teams eyeing crucial playoff positioning. The Phillies, boasting a 90-59 record, have been on a tear, winning seven of their last ten games and establishing themselves as the first MLB team to reach 90 wins this season. Their recent success has been fueled by a potent lineup and solid pitching performances, making them a formidable opponent as they aim to secure the top seed in the National League.

Leading the charge for the Phillies is Bryce Harper, who has been in exceptional form, going eight for his last 22 with two home runs in his last six games. Harper's contributions, along with Kyle Schwarber's power surge—seven home runs in September—have been instrumental in Philadelphia's offensive prowess. The Phillies' lineup, which ranks fourth in MLB with a .258 batting average, will look to continue their dominance against a Brewers team that has struggled against left-handed pitching, posting a 19-23 record in such matchups.

On the mound for the Phillies is Ranger Suarez, who has compiled a 12-6 record with a 3.05 ERA. Despite a recent rough patch, Suarez remains a reliable option, and his ability to limit walks and strike out batters will be crucial against a Brewers lineup that has shown flashes of brilliance but has been inconsistent at times. The Brewers, with an 86-63 record, are virtually assured of a playoff spot, leading the NL Central by ten games. However, they have been 5-5 in their last ten games, and their recent loss to the Diamondbacks highlighted some vulnerabilities.

Milwaukee's offense will rely heavily on the likes of Jackson Chourio, who has been a standout performer with eight hits, including two home runs, in his last six games. The Brewers' .250 team batting average ranks eighth in MLB, and they will need to capitalize on their home-field advantage to challenge the Phillies' strong pitching staff. Aaron Civale, Milwaukee's starting pitcher, has been solid since joining the Brewers, posting a 4-2 record with a 3.84 ERA. His recent form, including a 2.67 ERA over his last six starts, suggests he could pose a challenge to the Phillies' hitters.

As the series opener approaches, the Phillies appear to have the edge, given their recent form and the Brewers' struggles against left-handed pitching. However, with both teams vying for playoff positioning, this matchup promises to be a thrilling contest, with each game carrying significant implications for the postseason landscape.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Against the Spread

The Philadelphia Phillies are poised to continue their impressive run as they face the Milwaukee Brewers, and taking them against the spread appears to be a strong pick. The Phillies have been in exceptional form, winning seven of their last ten games and becoming the first MLB team to reach 90 wins this season. Their recent success is largely attributed to their potent lineup and solid pitching performances. Bryce Harper has been a key contributor, going eight for his last 22 with two home runs in his last six games, while Kyle Schwarber's power surge, with seven home runs in September, has further bolstered their offensive prowess.

On the mound, Ranger Suarez offers a reliable option for the Phillies. Despite a recent rough patch, Suarez has compiled a 12-6 record with a 3.05 ERA, and his ability to limit walks and strike out batters will be crucial against a Brewers lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching, posting a 19-23 record in such matchups. The Phillies' pitching staff has been dominant, as evidenced by their previous series against the Brewers in June, where they allowed only two runs over three games.

Meanwhile, the Brewers, with an 86-63 record, have been inconsistent, going 5-5 in their last ten games. Although they are virtually assured of a playoff spot, their recent loss to the Diamondbacks highlighted some vulnerabilities. While Aaron Civale has been solid since joining the Brewers, posting a 4-2 record with a 3.84 ERA, the Phillies' strong lineup and recent form suggest they have the upper hand.

Given the Phillies' recent dominance, both offensively and defensively, and the Brewers' struggles against left-handed pitching, the Phillies are well-positioned to cover the spread in this matchup. With both teams vying for crucial playoff positioning, the Phillies' momentum and superior form make them the favored choice against the spread.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers Top Player Prop Picks

Ranger Suarez Under 17.5 Pitching Outs -120 (Caesars)

Ranger Suarez has been a reliable pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a 12-6 record with a 3.05 ERA. However, his recent form has shown some vulnerabilities, as he is 2-4 with a 5.30 ERA over his last seven starts. This suggests that he might struggle to go deep into the game against a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that, while inconsistent, has shown the ability to capitalize on pitching weaknesses. Given Suarez's recent struggles and the Brewers' need to perform well at home, taking the under on 17.5 pitching outs seems a prudent choice.

Aaron Civale Over 16.5 Pitching Outs -121 (Caesars)

Aaron Civale has been a solid addition to the Milwaukee Brewers' rotation, posting a 4-2 record with a 3.84 ERA since joining the team. His recent form has been particularly impressive, with a 2.67 ERA over his last six starts. Civale's ability to pitch deep into games is evident, as he has consistently provided the Brewers with quality innings. Facing a Phillies lineup that, while potent, has been held in check by strong pitching performances in the past, Civale is well-positioned to exceed 16.5 pitching outs, especially given his recent success and the importance of this game for Milwaukee's playoff positioning.

Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Singles 100 (BetMGM)

Bryce Harper has been in exceptional form for the Philadelphia Phillies, going eight for his last 22 with two home runs in his last six games. His ability to get on base and contribute offensively has been a key factor in the Phillies' recent success. With a .258 team batting average, which ranks fourth in MLB, Harper is likely to continue his hot streak against a Brewers team that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Given Harper's recent performance and the Phillies' offensive momentum, betting on him to record at least one single in this matchup offers good value.