Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 9/24/2024 6:40 PM EST

We have your Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Cincinnati Reds hit the road to face the Cleveland Guardians.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Cincinnati Reds +143 (BetRivers) / Cleveland Guardians -164 (FanDuel)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - Cincinnati Reds -150 (BetMGM) / Cleveland Guardians +130 (Caesars)
Best Total Odds: 8.0 - Under -109 (BetRivers) / 7.5 - Over -122 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: 9/24/2024
Time: 6:40 PM EST
Location: Progressive Field (Cleveland, Ohio)
TV: MLB.TV

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians have faced each other six times, with each team securing three victories. The games have been evenly split between home and away wins, with the visiting team winning three times and the home team also winning three times. In terms of covering the spread, the Reds have been more successful, covering in four out of the six games, while the Guardians have covered the spread twice. The games have predominantly leaned towards the under, with five of the six matchups falling below the over-under line, and only one game exceeding it. This suggests a trend of lower-scoring games when these two teams meet.

The most recent encounter between the Reds and Guardians took place on June 12, 2024, with the Reds emerging victorious with a 4-2 win. The game saw Jeimer Candelario play a pivotal role for the Reds, hitting two home runs, including a three-run shot in the sixth inning that ultimately secured the win. The Guardians managed to score twice, with Steven Kwan and José Ramírez crossing the plate, but they struggled to capitalize on their opportunities, leaving 18 runners on base. The Reds' pitching staff recorded eight strikeouts, while the Guardians' pitchers managed 13 strikeouts against the Reds' batters. Despite the Guardians being the favorites with a moneyline of -120, the Reds, as the underdogs, managed to secure the win.

In the context of these past matchups, the Reds have shown a consistent ability to cover the spread, even when not favored to win. The Guardians, on the other hand, have struggled to convert their chances into victories, as evidenced by their lower success rate against the spread. The trend of games going under the total score line suggests that both teams have been involved in tightly contested, low-scoring affairs. As the two teams prepare to face off again, these historical statistics provide a framework for understanding the dynamics that have characterized their recent encounters.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Preview

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to face the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field, both teams are navigating contrasting narratives. The Reds, having recently parted ways with manager David Bell, are looking to end a disappointing season on a positive note. Despite the managerial shake-up, the Reds have shown flashes of potential, particularly through standout performances from players like Elly De La Cruz. However, injuries and inconsistency have plagued their campaign, leaving them with a 76-81 record and out of playoff contention.

On the other hand, the Guardians have already secured the American League Central title and are focused on fine-tuning their game as they eye a deep postseason run. With a 90-67 record, Cleveland is aiming to secure a top seed in the playoffs, which would grant them a bye into the AL Division Series. The Guardians have been bolstered by strong performances from key players, including José Ramírez, who has been a consistent offensive threat.

Tuesday's matchup will see Jakob Junis take the mound for the Reds. Acquired from the Milwaukee Brewers, Junis has been a bright spot in Cincinnati's rotation, boasting a 4-0 record with a 2.61 ERA. His recent performances suggest he could play a significant role for the Reds in the future. Meanwhile, the Guardians will counter with Tanner Bibee, who has been reliable throughout the season with an 11-8 record and a 3.56 ERA. Bibee will look to continue his strong form as Cleveland gears up for the playoffs.

Historically, encounters between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides securing three wins each over their last six meetings. The Reds have been more successful against the spread, covering in four of those games. While past matchups have often been low-scoring affairs, the offensive capabilities of both teams, particularly with players like Ramírez and De La Cruz, suggest the potential for a more dynamic contest this time around.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Pick: Total Runs Over

As the Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians prepare to face off, the potential for a high-scoring affair is evident, making the over on total runs an enticing pick. Historically, while the matchups between these two teams have leaned towards lower-scoring games, the current dynamics suggest a shift. The Reds, despite their struggles this season, have shown offensive flashes, particularly through the electrifying performances of Elly De La Cruz. His ability to change the game with his bat adds a layer of unpredictability to the Reds' offense.

On the other side, the Guardians, having secured the AL Central title, are not only playing with confidence but also with the freedom to fine-tune their strategies ahead of the postseason. José Ramírez, a consistent offensive powerhouse, has been in exceptional form, batting .365 with six homers and 23 RBIs in his last 18 games against Cincinnati. His presence in the lineup is a constant threat to any pitching staff, including the Reds'.

Furthermore, the pitching matchup could contribute to a higher-scoring game. While Jakob Junis has been a bright spot for the Reds, his historical struggles against the Guardians, with a 6.41 ERA in 18 career appearances, suggest that Cleveland's hitters could capitalize on his vulnerabilities. Tanner Bibee, though reliable, will face a Reds lineup eager to prove themselves under interim management, potentially leading to more aggressive offensive play.

Given these factors, the combination of potent offensive players and the potential for pitching vulnerabilities on both sides makes the over on total runs a compelling choice. The stage is set for a dynamic contest where both teams have the capability to exceed the expected run total, providing an exciting spectacle for fans and bettors alike.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Top Player Prop Picks

Tanner Bibee Under 5.5 Strikeouts -118 (BetRivers)

Tanner Bibee has been a reliable force for the Cleveland Guardians this season, boasting an 11-8 record with a 3.56 ERA. However, the Cincinnati Reds, despite their struggles, have shown resilience at the plate, particularly with players like Elly De La Cruz who can disrupt a pitcher's rhythm. Bibee's recent outings have seen him maintain a solid ERA, but his strikeout numbers have not been overwhelming. Given the Reds' determination to end their season on a high note and the potential for aggressive play under interim management, Bibee might find it challenging to reach the 5.5 strikeout mark. The Reds' lineup, eager to prove themselves, could focus on making contact and putting the ball in play, thus limiting Bibee's strikeout opportunities.

Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases +112 (Caesars)

Elly De La Cruz has been a standout performer for the Cincinnati Reds, providing highlight-reel moments throughout the season. His recent form, going 12-for-40 with two home runs in his last 10 games, underscores his ability to impact the game significantly. Facing Tanner Bibee, De La Cruz's aggressive approach at the plate could lead to multiple base hits, especially given Bibee's tendency to allow contact. With the Reds looking to end their season positively, De La Cruz will be a key figure in their offensive strategy, making the over on 1.5 total bases a compelling pick.

Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Runs Scored -105 (BetMGM)

Jose Ramirez has been a consistent offensive powerhouse for the Cleveland Guardians, particularly against the Cincinnati Reds. His recent performance against Cincinnati, batting .365 with six homers and 23 RBIs in his last 18 games, highlights his ability to get on base and score. With Jakob Junis on the mound for the Reds, who has historically struggled against the Guardians with a 6.41 ERA, Ramirez is well-positioned to capitalize on scoring opportunities. As the Guardians aim to fine-tune their game ahead of the playoffs, Ramirez's presence in the lineup is likely to result in him crossing the plate, making the over on 0.5 runs scored a strong proposition.