NFL Pickwatch - Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Player Props, Picks and Predictions

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/6/2024 8:00 PM EST

We have your Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Sacramento Kings hit the road to face the San Antonio Spurs.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Sacramento Kings -200 (bet365) / San Antonio Spurs +165 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: 4.5 - Sacramento Kings -108 (DraftKings) / San Antonio Spurs -109 (BetRivers)
Best Total Odds: 227.5 - Under -115 (ESPN BET) / 227.0 - Over -110 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 12/6/2024
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio, TX)
TV: NBA League Pass

Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

On the road, the Sacramento Kings have 5 wins and 6 losses this season.
As the favorite, the Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 8 losses this season.
This season, the Sacramento Kings have hit 11 overs and 12 unders.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Trends

At home, the San Antonio Spurs have 8 wins and 5 losses this season.
As the favorite, the San Antonio Spurs have 6 wins and 9 losses this season.
This season, the San Antonio Spurs have hit 11 overs and 11 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Sacramento Kings and San Antonio Spurs have faced each other five times. The Kings have emerged victorious in three of these encounters, while the Spurs have won twice. The home team has generally had the upper hand, winning three out of the five games. In terms of betting, the Spurs have been more successful against the spread, covering in four of the five games, while the Kings have only covered once. The games have predominantly been high-scoring affairs, with the total score going over the set line in four instances and under just once.

The most recent matchup between these two teams took place on December 1, 2024, with the Sacramento Kings narrowly defeating the San Antonio Spurs 127-125. Domantas Sabonis led the Kings with 25 points, including a crucial three-pointer at the end of the fourth quarter. DeMar DeRozan also made a significant contribution with 28 points. For the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama was the standout performer, scoring 34 points. The Kings shot 46.5% from the field and secured 51 rebounds, while the Spurs had a higher shooting percentage of 51.2% but managed only 38 rebounds. Turnovers were a factor, with the Spurs committing 16 compared to the Kings' 10.

In the previous games, the Kings and Spurs have shown varying strengths. The Kings have generally been more effective on the boards, as seen in their 51 rebounds in the latest game compared to the Spurs' 38. However, the Spurs have demonstrated a higher shooting efficiency, with a field goal percentage of over 50% in multiple games. The Spurs have also been more disciplined in terms of covering the spread, achieving this in four out of five games. The high-scoring nature of these matchups is evident, with the total score frequently surpassing the over-under line, indicating a trend towards offensive play from both teams.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Preview

The Sacramento Kings are set to face the San Antonio Spurs in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at the Frost Bank Center. The Kings, currently holding a 10-13 record, are looking to bounce back from a recent loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. Despite their struggles, the Kings have shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their recent victory over the Houston Rockets, where they displayed improved ball movement with 33 assists, a significant uptick from their season average.

DeMar DeRozan's addition to the Kings has been a double-edged sword. While his scoring ability is undeniable, his style has inadvertently disrupted Sacramento's offensive rhythm, which was previously characterized by fluid ball movement and drive-and-kick opportunities. The Kings' three-point shooting has been a glaring weakness, with key players like Keegan Murray and Kevin Huerter struggling to find their range. This has left Sacramento ranked 25th in the league in three-point percentage, a statistic they will need to improve to compete against a Spurs team that has been efficient from the field.

On the defensive end, the Kings have faced challenges with their switch-heavy scheme, often leaving them vulnerable to mismatches. This has resulted in opponents finding wide-open shots, contributing to Sacramento's poor defensive metrics. The absence of a player like Harrison Barnes, who was traded to make room for DeRozan, is felt deeply. Barnes' defensive prowess and three-point shooting would have been invaluable assets in shoring up the Kings' current weaknesses.

The Spurs, meanwhile, have been solid at home with an 8-5 record. They are led by the impressive Victor Wembanyama, who has been a standout performer, particularly in their recent narrow loss to the Kings. The Spurs' ability to shoot efficiently, as evidenced by their 51.2% field goal percentage in their last encounter with Sacramento, poses a significant threat. However, their tendency to commit turnovers, as seen in their 16 turnovers in the same game, could be an area the Kings look to exploit.

As both teams prepare for this clash, the Kings will aim to leverage their rebounding advantage, while the Spurs will look to capitalize on their shooting efficiency. With both teams having a history of high-scoring games, this matchup is poised to be another offensive showcase, setting the stage for an exciting contest.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Pick: Total Points Over

As the Sacramento Kings prepare to face the San Antonio Spurs, the stage is set for a high-scoring affair, making the over on total points an enticing pick. Historically, matchups between these two teams have been characterized by offensive fireworks, with four of their last five encounters surpassing the set over-under line. This trend is supported by the Kings' recent performances, where they have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, such as their narrow 127-125 victory over the Spurs on December 1, 2024. In that game, both teams displayed offensive prowess, with the Kings shooting 46.5% from the field and the Spurs an impressive 51.2%.

The Kings' offensive capabilities are further highlighted by their recent uptick in assists, averaging 29.2 over their last five games, a significant improvement from their season average. This increase in ball movement suggests a more dynamic and fluid offense, capable of generating high point totals. Despite their struggles from beyond the arc, the Kings have managed to find scoring opportunities through other means, as evidenced by DeMar DeRozan's impactful mid-range game and Domantas Sabonis' clutch performances.

On the other side, the Spurs have been efficient shooters, particularly at home, where they hold an 8-5 record. Led by the formidable Victor Wembanyama, the Spurs have consistently demonstrated their ability to score, as seen in their recent games. However, their tendency to commit turnovers, as highlighted by their 16 turnovers in the last matchup against the Kings, could lead to additional scoring opportunities for Sacramento.

Given the offensive strengths and recent trends of both teams, coupled with their history of high-scoring matchups, the over on total points is a compelling choice for this game. Expect both the Kings and the Spurs to continue their offensive exploits, setting the stage for another thrilling and high-scoring contest.

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs Top Player Prop Picks

DeMar DeRozan Over 3.5 Assists -146 (FanDuel)

DeMar DeRozan's role in the Sacramento Kings' offense has been a topic of much discussion this season. While his mid-range game has altered the team's offensive dynamics, it has also opened up opportunities for him to distribute the ball effectively. DeRozan's ability to draw defenders with his scoring threat creates passing lanes, making the over on 3.5 assists a compelling pick. The Kings have shown an uptick in ball movement recently, averaging 29.2 assists over their last five games, which suggests a more collaborative offensive approach. With DeRozan's knack for finding open teammates, especially in a game that promises to be high-scoring, he is well-positioned to exceed this assist line.

Victor Wembanyama Over 24.5 Points -115 (bet365)

Victor Wembanyama has been a standout performer for the San Antonio Spurs, consistently delivering high-scoring performances. In their recent narrow loss to the Kings, Wembanyama scored an impressive 34 points, showcasing his offensive prowess. The Kings' defensive struggles, particularly their vulnerability to mismatches and wide-open shots, play into Wembanyama's strengths. Sacramento's switch-heavy scheme often leaves them exposed, and Wembanyama's ability to exploit these defensive lapses makes the over on 24.5 points an attractive proposition. Given his recent form and the Kings' defensive vulnerabilities, Wembanyama is poised for another big scoring night.

Domantas Sabonis Over 19.5 Points -113 (FanDuel)

Domantas Sabonis has been a crucial component of the Kings' offense, and his recent performances underscore his scoring capabilities. In the last matchup against the Spurs, Sabonis contributed 25 points, including a critical three-pointer that sealed the victory. The Kings' offensive strategy, which has seen an increase in assists and improved ball movement, provides Sabonis with ample scoring opportunities. Additionally, the Spurs' tendency to commit turnovers could lead to fast-break points for Sabonis. With the Kings looking to capitalize on their rebounding advantage and Sabonis' ability to score in various ways, the over on 19.5 points is a strong pick for this matchup.