San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 12/22/2024 4:25 PM EST

We have your San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the San Francisco 49ers hit the road to face the Miami Dolphins.

San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: San Francisco 49ers +105 (bet365) / Miami Dolphins -120 (ESPN BET)
Best Spread Odds: -1.5 - San Francisco 49ers -110 (FanDuel) / Miami Dolphins -108 (DraftKings)
Best Total Odds: 46.5 - Under -115 (ESPN BET) / Over -105 (ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: 12/22/2024
Time: 4:25 PM EST
Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)
TV: CBS

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the San Francisco 49ers and the Miami Dolphins have faced each other once, with the 49ers emerging victorious. This matchup took place on December 4, 2022, with San Francisco playing at home. The 49ers not only won the game but also covered the spread, which had moved from an opening of -3.5 to a closing of -5.5 in their favor. The game went over the projected total score, with the final tally reaching 50 points against an over-under line of 46.5. In this single encounter, the home team, San Francisco, was the favorite, and they successfully defended their home turf, maintaining a perfect record against the Dolphins in this period.

In the detailed breakdown of the December 4, 2022 game, the 49ers secured a 33-17 victory over the Dolphins. The game began with Miami taking an early lead through a 75-yard touchdown pass from Tua Tagovailoa to Trent Sherfield. However, San Francisco quickly responded with a field goal and a touchdown pass from Brock Purdy to Kyle Juszczyk, taking a 10-7 lead by the end of the first quarter. The 49ers extended their lead with another touchdown pass from Purdy to Christian McCaffrey just before halftime, making it 17-10. In the second half, San Francisco's Robbie Gould added three field goals, while Miami managed a 45-yard touchdown pass from Tagovailoa to Tyreek Hill. The game was sealed with a 23-yard fumble return touchdown by Dre Greenlaw, capitalizing on Miami's four turnovers.

Statistically, the 49ers dominated in terms of time of possession, holding the ball for 40:34 compared to Miami's 19:26. San Francisco's offense accumulated 351 total yards, with a balanced attack of 121 rushing yards and 266 passing yards. In contrast, Miami's offense was more pass-heavy, with 295 passing yards but only 33 rushing yards, totaling 308 yards. The 49ers' defense was effective, forcing four turnovers, including three interceptions, while Miami's defense managed one interception. San Francisco's ability to control the game was further highlighted by their 24 first downs and a 42.1% third-down conversion rate, compared to Miami's 14 first downs and a 0% third-down conversion rate. This comprehensive performance by the 49ers set the stage for their decisive win over the Dolphins.

San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins Preview

The San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins are set to clash in a pivotal Week 16 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with both teams desperately clinging to their playoff hopes. The Dolphins, coming off a disappointing 20-12 loss to the Houston Texans, find themselves at 6-8, mirroring the 49ers' record. However, Miami enters this game as a slight favorite, buoyed by their home-field advantage and the 49ers' recent struggles.

Miami's season has been a rollercoaster, with Tua Tagovailoa's performance being a focal point. Despite a recent resurgence that saw the Dolphins win four of five games, Tagovailoa's three interceptions against the Texans have put their playoff aspirations in jeopardy. The Dolphins' offense will need to be at its best against a 49ers defense that, despite injuries, remains formidable. Miami's passing attack, led by Tagovailoa and star receiver Tyreek Hill, will face a stern test against San Francisco's second-ranked pass defense, which allows just 181 yards per game.

On the other side, the 49ers are reeling from a string of injuries and a recent loss to the Los Angeles Rams. Their playoff hopes are hanging by a thread, and a loss in Miami could seal their fate. Quarterback Brock Purdy will need to navigate a Dolphins defense that ranks eighth against the pass, allowing 205 yards per game. The 49ers' offense, which has struggled to find consistency, will look to key playmakers like Deebo Samuel to exploit any weaknesses in Miami's secondary.

Historically, the 49ers have not fared well in Miami, with their last road victory against the Dolphins dating back to 1995. However, they did secure a convincing win in their last meeting in 2022, showcasing their ability to capitalize on Miami's mistakes. As both teams fight to keep their postseason dreams alive, this matchup promises to be a tightly contested battle, with each side looking to gain an edge in what has become a must-win game.

San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins Pick: San Francisco 49ers Against the Spread

As the San Francisco 49ers prepare to face the Miami Dolphins in a crucial Week 16 matchup, the odds suggest a tightly contested battle, with the Dolphins opening as slight favorites. However, there are compelling reasons to consider the 49ers against the spread. Despite their recent struggles and a 6-8 record, the 49ers have shown resilience in past matchups against Miami, including a decisive victory in their last encounter in 2022. In that game, San Francisco's defense effectively capitalized on Miami's mistakes, forcing four turnovers and controlling the game with a dominant time of possession.

While the 49ers have been plagued by injuries, their defense remains a formidable unit, ranking second in the league against the pass by allowing just 181 yards per game. This strength will be crucial against a Dolphins offense led by Tua Tagovailoa, who has been inconsistent, as evidenced by his three interceptions in the recent loss to the Texans. The 49ers' ability to pressure Tagovailoa and disrupt Miami's passing game could be a decisive factor in this matchup.

Moreover, the 49ers have a history of overcoming adversity, and their recent loss to the Rams may serve as a catalyst for a strong performance in Miami. With key playmakers like Deebo Samuel poised to exploit any weaknesses in the Dolphins' secondary, San Francisco has the potential to cover the spread, especially given Miami's own struggles and the pressure of maintaining their slim playoff hopes.

While the Dolphins have the advantage of playing at home, the 49ers' defensive prowess and historical success against Miami make them a strong pick against the spread. As both teams fight to keep their postseason dreams alive, expect San Francisco to rise to the occasion and deliver a performance that could very well cover the spread.

San Francisco 49ers at Miami Dolphins Top Player Prop Picks

Tua Tagovailoa Over 196.5 Passing Yards Passing Yards -110 (FanDuel)

Tua Tagovailoa has been a focal point for the Miami Dolphins' offense, and despite his recent struggles, he remains a key player in their passing game. In the recent loss to the Houston Texans, Tagovailoa threw for 196 yards, and with the Dolphins' playoff hopes hanging by a thread, he will be motivated to perform against the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers boast a strong pass defense, ranked second in the league, but Tagovailoa's ability to connect with star receiver Tyreek Hill and other offensive weapons could see him surpass this yardage mark. Given the stakes of this matchup and the need for Miami to exploit any defensive lapses, Tagovailoa is likely to air it out, making the over on his passing yards an appealing proposition.

Deebo Samuel Over 5.5 Receptions Receptions -115 (DraftKings)

Deebo Samuel is a crucial component of the San Francisco 49ers' offensive strategy, especially in a game where they need to keep their playoff hopes alive. Facing a Miami Dolphins defense that ranks eighth against the pass, Samuel's versatility and ability to make plays in open space will be vital. With the 49ers' offense looking to find consistency, Samuel is expected to be heavily targeted by quarterback Brock Purdy. His knack for making crucial catches and extending plays makes the over on his receptions a strong pick, as San Francisco will likely rely on his playmaking ability to challenge Miami's secondary and keep their offensive drives alive.

Tyreek Hill Over 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns Receiving Touchdowns +120 (bet365)

Tyreek Hill has been a standout performer for the Miami Dolphins, and his explosive playmaking ability is a constant threat to opposing defenses. Despite the challenge posed by the 49ers' second-ranked pass defense, Hill's speed and route-running prowess make him a prime candidate to find the end zone. In a game where Miami's playoff aspirations are on the line, Tagovailoa will likely look to Hill as a primary target in the red zone. Hill's ability to break free for big plays and his chemistry with Tagovailoa make the over on his receiving touchdowns an enticing option, especially with the added value of positive odds.