Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 10/13/2024 1:00 PM EST

We have your Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to face the New Orleans Saints.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -130 (DraftKings) / New Orleans Saints +110 (DraftKings)
Best Spread Odds: -2.0 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers -110 (BetMGM) / New Orleans Saints -110 (BetMGM)
Best Total Odds: 45.5 - Under -109 (BetRivers) / Over -112 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 10/13/2024
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans, LA)
TV: FOX

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past three seasons, the New Orleans Saints and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have faced off four times. In these matchups, the Buccaneers have emerged victorious in three games, while the Saints have claimed one win. The visiting team has had the upper hand, winning three out of the four encounters. When it comes to covering the spread, both teams have managed to do so twice. Notably, none of these games have gone over the total points line, with all four games finishing under. This trend highlights the defensive strengths or offensive struggles of both teams in their recent meetings.

The most recent game between these two teams took place on December 31, 2023, with the New Orleans Saints defeating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-13. The Saints, playing as the visiting team, were able to cover the spread, which closed at -2.5 in their favor. The game remained under the closing over-under line of 42.0 points. The Saints took an early lead with a 4-yard touchdown pass from Derek Carr to Juwan Johnson in the first quarter and extended their advantage with another touchdown pass from Carr to Taysom Hill in the second quarter. Blake Grupe contributed with three field goals, including a 45-yarder just before halftime. The Buccaneers struggled with turnovers, committing four, including two interceptions thrown by Baker Mayfield, which hindered their ability to mount a comeback despite scoring two touchdowns in the fourth quarter.

In terms of key statistics from the December 31, 2023 game, the Saints accumulated 310 total yards and achieved 20 first downs, while the Buccaneers managed 349 total yards and 13 first downs. The Saints' offense was balanced, with 108 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 208 passing yards on 25 completions. They maintained possession for over 36 minutes, which was crucial in controlling the game's tempo. On the other hand, the Buccaneers' offense was more pass-heavy, with 309 passing yards, but their efforts were marred by turnovers. The Saints' defense capitalized on these mistakes, recording two interceptions and recovering two fumbles, which played a significant role in their victory.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to face the New Orleans Saints in a crucial Week 6 matchup at the Caesars Superdome. This game comes amidst the backdrop of Hurricane Milton, which has forced the Buccaneers to relocate their operations to New Orleans earlier than planned. The Bucs, currently holding a 3-2 record, are eager to bounce back from a narrow 36-30 overtime loss to the Atlanta Falcons. This defeat not only knocked them out of the top spot in the NFC South but also highlighted some vulnerabilities in their defense.

On the other side, the Saints are coming off a challenging Monday night game against the Kansas City Chiefs, where they suffered a 26-13 loss. The Saints, now 2-3, have shown flashes of brilliance this season, particularly in their early blowout victories. However, recent injuries to key players like Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill have hampered their offensive efficiency. Derek Carr, who left the game against the Chiefs with an oblique injury, will be a critical factor in determining the Saints' success against the Buccaneers.

Historically, the Buccaneers have had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last four encounters. However, the Saints' defense has proven capable of stifling Tampa Bay's offensive efforts, as evidenced by their victory last December. The Buccaneers will need to address their turnover issues, which plagued them in their last matchup against the Saints, to secure a win.

Both teams are dealing with roster adjustments due to injuries and external circumstances. The Buccaneers have placed OLB Markees Watts on injured reserve, impacting their special teams unit. Meanwhile, the Saints are grappling with the absence of key offensive contributors, which could affect their ability to exploit the Buccaneers' defensive lapses.

As the Buccaneers settle into their temporary New Orleans base, they will look to leverage their extended rest period and the return of potentially key players to gain an edge. The Saints, despite their recent struggles, will aim to capitalize on home-field advantage and the Buccaneers' disrupted preparation to climb back into the NFC South race. This matchup promises to be a pivotal contest for both teams as they navigate the challenges of the season and the looming threat of Hurricane Milton.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Pick: New Orleans Saints Moneyline

The New Orleans Saints are poised to capitalize on their home-field advantage against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, making them a compelling pick for the moneyline. Despite their recent loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, the Saints have demonstrated resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, especially at home. Historically, the Saints have managed to stifle the Buccaneers' offensive efforts, as evidenced by their victory last December when they defeated Tampa Bay 23-13. In that game, the Saints' defense was instrumental, forcing four turnovers, including two interceptions, which significantly hindered the Buccaneers' ability to mount a comeback.

Moreover, the Saints' defense has been a formidable force, capable of applying pressure and disrupting opposing offenses. This season, they have maintained a high pressure rate, ranking seventh in the league, which could prove crucial against a Buccaneers team that has shown vulnerability in protecting the football. The Saints' ability to control the game's tempo, as they did in their previous encounter with the Buccaneers by maintaining possession for over 36 minutes, will be vital in dictating the flow of the game.

While the Buccaneers have had an extended rest period, their preparation has been disrupted by Hurricane Milton, forcing them to relocate to New Orleans earlier than planned. This logistical challenge, coupled with the absence of key players like OLB Markees Watts, could impact their performance. On the other hand, the Saints, despite dealing with injuries to key players like Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill, have shown they can adapt and find ways to compete effectively.

Given these factors, the Saints' defensive prowess, home-field advantage, and the Buccaneers' recent struggles with turnovers and disrupted preparation make New Orleans a strong pick for the moneyline. The Saints will look to leverage these advantages to secure a crucial victory and climb back into the NFC South race.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints Top Player Prop Picks

Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +120 (DraftKings)

Derek Carr has been a pivotal figure for the New Orleans Saints, and despite the team's recent struggles, he remains a key component of their offensive strategy. In their last encounter with the Buccaneers, Carr threw two touchdown passes, showcasing his ability to find the end zone against Tampa Bay's defense. With the Buccaneers' secondary having shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their recent loss to the Atlanta Falcons, Carr is well-positioned to exploit these weaknesses. The Saints' offensive line will need to provide Carr with adequate protection, but given his track record and the Buccaneers' defensive lapses, betting on Carr to throw over 1.5 touchdowns offers value, especially with the Saints playing at home.

Alvin Kamara Under 75.5 Rushing Yards -110 (BetMGM)

Alvin Kamara's recent performances have been hampered by injuries, and his efficiency has notably declined in the past two games. Against formidable defenses like Philadelphia and Atlanta, Kamara struggled to find significant yardage, and the Buccaneers' defense, despite its flaws, has been relatively effective against the run. With the Saints likely to rely more on their passing game, especially if Derek Carr is healthy and active, Kamara's opportunities on the ground may be limited. Additionally, the Buccaneers will be keen to address their defensive issues, making it challenging for Kamara to surpass the 75.5 rushing yards mark.

Chris Godwin Over 5.5 Receptions -115 (BetRivers)

Chris Godwin has been a consistent target for the Buccaneers, and with the team looking to bounce back from their recent loss, he is expected to play a significant role in their offensive game plan. The Saints' defense, while strong, has shown susceptibility to allowing receptions, particularly in games where they face high-volume passing attacks. Given the Buccaneers' need to rectify their turnover issues and establish a reliable passing rhythm, Godwin is likely to see a substantial number of targets. His ability to find openings in the Saints' secondary makes the over on 5.5 receptions a compelling choice, as Tampa Bay will aim to leverage his skills to keep their offense moving.