Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 5/1/2025 7:00 PM EDT

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Ottawa Senators hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -175, Ottawa Senators +145
Best Spread Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+150), Ottawa Senators +1.5 (-175)
Best Total Odds: Over 5.5 (-115), Under 5.5 (-105)

Game Info

Date: May 1, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EDT
Location: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, Ontario
TV: CBC | Sportsnet

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators face off in a pivotal Game 6 of their playoff series. The Senators hold a 3-2 series lead and will look to close out the series on home ice. Toronto, on the other hand, is fighting to force a decisive Game 7. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance throughout the series, with Ottawa relying on their depth and Toronto leaning on their star power. Expect a high-intensity matchup as both teams battle for playoff survival.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last 10 meetings, the Ottawa Senators have a 6-4 record against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Ottawa has also been strong at home, winning 6 of their last 9 games against Toronto. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring affairs in recent matchups. Toronto, however, has been dominant in their last nine games overall, boasting an 8-1 record, which could give them momentum heading into this crucial game.

Pick: Total Under 5.5 (-105)

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Given the recent trend of low-scoring games between these two teams and the high stakes of a playoff elimination game, the UNDER 5.5 is a strong play. Both teams are likely to tighten up defensively, and goaltending will play a significant role in keeping the score low. Additionally, Toronto's recent games have leaned towards the UNDER, making this a logical pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Auston Matthews Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110)

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Matthews has been a shooting machine in this series, consistently generating chances for the Maple Leafs. With Toronto facing elimination, expect Matthews to be aggressive and surpass this line. His ability to create opportunities makes this a solid prop bet.

2. Tim Stützle Over 0.5 Points (-125)

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Stützle has been a key contributor for the Senators, tallying points in four of the five games in this series. Playing on home ice, he is likely to be involved in Ottawa's offensive production, making this a favorable bet.

3. Mitch Marner Over 0.5 Assists (-120)

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Marner is one of the league's best playmakers and has been instrumental in setting up Toronto's scoring chances. With the Maple Leafs in a must-win situation, Marner's ability to distribute the puck should lead to at least one assist in this game.

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