Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 4/9/2025 7:00 PM EDT

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: -125 for Toronto Maple Leafs, +105 for Tampa Bay Lightning (BetMGM).
Best Total Odds: Over/Under 6.5 goals (-110) (DraftKings).

Game Info

Date: April 9, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM EDT
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are in a tight race to secure the Atlantic Division lead, sitting four points ahead of the Tampa Bay Lightning. Toronto has been in strong form, winning two consecutive games, including a dominant 5-0 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets. Mitchell Marner continues to shine with a career-best 70 assists, while William Nylander and Nicholas Robertson have been key contributors offensively.

The Tampa Bay Lightning, on the other hand, are coming off a commanding 5-1 win against the New York Rangers. Tampa Bay’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, and their defense has been solid. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they prepare for the playoffs, with Toronto looking to extend their lead and Tampa Bay aiming to close the gap.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

In their last 10 meetings, the Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning have split victories evenly, with each team winning five games. The games have been closely contested, with an average margin of victory of just 1.8 goals. Toronto has had the edge in recent matchups, winning three of the last four games, including a 4-3 overtime thriller earlier this season.

Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline (-125)

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The Maple Leafs have been in excellent form, and their home-ice advantage at Scotiabank Arena gives them the edge. With Mitchell Marner and William Nylander leading the charge, Toronto’s offense is poised to exploit Tampa Bay’s defense. Additionally, Toronto’s recent dominance in head-to-head matchups makes them a strong pick to secure the win.

Top Player Prop Picks

1. Mitchell Marner Over 1.5 Points (+120)

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Marner has been on fire, recording points in seven consecutive games. With his playmaking ability and the Maple Leafs’ potent offense, he is a strong candidate to hit the over on points.

2. William Nylander Anytime Goal Scorer (+150)

Nylander has been a consistent goal-scoring threat, netting two goals in his last game. Facing a Tampa Bay defense that has shown vulnerabilities, Nylander is a solid pick to find the back of the net.

3. Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 30.5 Saves (-110)

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Vasilevskiy is likely to face a high volume of shots from Toronto’s aggressive offense. With his ability to make big saves, the over on his save total is a strong play.

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