Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 11/4/2024 10:00 PM EST

We have your Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Raptors hit the road to face the Denver Nuggets.

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Odds Info

Best Moneyline Odds: Toronto Raptors +380 (FanDuel) / Denver Nuggets -450 (bet365)
Best Spread Odds: -9.5 - Toronto Raptors -105 (bet365) / Denver Nuggets -115 (bet365)
Best Total Odds: 228.5 - Under -112 (BetRivers) / Over -109 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: 11/4/2024
Time: 10:00 PM EST
Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)
TV: Sportsnet

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the past two seasons, the Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets have faced each other three times, with the Nuggets emerging victorious in all three encounters. The games were played between December 2023 and October 2024. In these matchups, the visiting team won twice, while the home team secured a single victory. The Raptors managed to cover the spread in two of the games, while the Nuggets covered it once. The total score went over the set line in two of the games, with one game finishing under. These games have been competitive, with the Raptors showing resilience against the spread despite not securing a win.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on October 28, 2024, where the Denver Nuggets narrowly defeated the Toronto Raptors 127-125 in overtime. Nikola Jokic was instrumental for the Nuggets, scoring 40 points, including a decisive three-pointer in overtime. Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon also contributed significantly with 17 and 16 points, respectively. For the Raptors, Scottie Barnes led the scoring with 21 points, while RJ Barrett added 20 points. The game was marked by multiple lead changes, with the Raptors holding a 15-point lead at one point, while the Nuggets' largest lead was 8 points. Both teams were closely matched in rebounding, with the Raptors grabbing 54 rebounds to the Nuggets' 52. Turnovers were nearly even, with the Nuggets committing 16 and the Raptors 15.

In the previous two games, the Nuggets continued their dominance over the Raptors. On March 11, 2024, Denver secured a 125-119 victory at home, with the game going over the total score line. The Raptors managed to cover the spread as underdogs. Earlier, on December 20, 2023, the Nuggets won 113-104 in Toronto, covering the spread as favorites, while the game finished under the total score line. Across these games, the Nuggets have consistently demonstrated their offensive prowess, while the Raptors have shown the ability to challenge the spread, indicating competitive matchups despite the outcomes.

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Preview

The Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets are set to clash in what promises to be an intriguing matchup at Ball Arena. The Nuggets, currently holding a 3-3 record, are coming off a commanding victory against the Utah Jazz, where they showcased their offensive depth and rebounding prowess. Nikola Jokic, the linchpin of Denver's success, continues to be a formidable force, nearly achieving a triple-double in their recent win over the Jazz. His ability to dominate the paint and facilitate plays makes him a constant threat to any opponent.

On the other hand, the Raptors, with a 2-5 record, are riding high on the emotional wave of Vince Carter's jersey retirement, which seemed to inspire their overtime victory against the Sacramento Kings. Despite their struggles this season, Toronto has shown resilience, particularly in their ability to crash the offensive boards, a factor that could play a crucial role against a strong rebounding team like Denver.

Injuries have been a concern for the Raptors, with key players like Scottie Barnes and Kelly Olynyk sidelined, forcing younger talents like Gradey Dick to step up. Dick has been impressive, averaging 21 points per game and proving to be a reliable scorer in crucial moments. The Raptors will need his continued production alongside RJ Barrett, who has been a consistent performer, to challenge the Nuggets.

Denver's recent form has been bolstered by the emergence of players like Julian Strawther, who has provided valuable minutes off the bench, especially in the absence of Jamal Murray due to concussion protocol. The Nuggets' ability to adapt and find contributions from their roster depth will be key as they aim to maintain their winning momentum.

Historically, the Nuggets have had the upper hand in recent encounters with the Raptors, winning all three matchups over the past two seasons. However, the games have been closely contested, with the Raptors often covering the spread, indicating their potential to challenge Denver despite the odds. As both teams look to improve their standings, this game will be a test of resilience and strategy, with the Nuggets aiming to capitalize on their home-court advantage.

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Pick: Denver Nuggets Moneyline

The Denver Nuggets are poised to secure a victory against the Toronto Raptors, and the moneyline pick for the Nuggets is well-supported by recent performances and historical trends. Denver enters this matchup with a balanced 3-3 record, fresh off a dominant win over the Utah Jazz, where they showcased their offensive depth and rebounding strength. Nikola Jokic, the cornerstone of the Nuggets' success, continues to be a formidable presence, nearly achieving a triple-double in their recent victory. His ability to control the game from the paint and facilitate plays makes him a constant threat, and his performance will be crucial in this encounter.

Historically, the Nuggets have had the upper hand against the Raptors, winning all three of their recent matchups over the past two seasons. These games have been competitive, but Denver's ability to close out games has been a defining factor. In their most recent meeting on October 28, 2024, the Nuggets narrowly defeated the Raptors 127-125 in overtime, with Jokic leading the charge with 40 points. This victory underscores Denver's resilience and ability to perform under pressure, a trait that will be vital in their upcoming clash.

Moreover, the Nuggets have demonstrated their depth, with players like Julian Strawther stepping up in the absence of Jamal Murray, who is out due to concussion protocol. Strawther's contribution off the bench has been significant, providing the team with much-needed scoring and stability. This depth will be a key advantage for Denver as they look to maintain their winning momentum.

On the other hand, the Raptors, despite their recent emotional victory over the Kings, are grappling with injuries to key players like Scottie Barnes and Kelly Olynyk. This has forced them to rely on younger talents, which, while promising, may not be enough to overcome a well-rounded Nuggets team. The Raptors' struggles this season, reflected in their 2-5 record, further tilt the odds in favor of Denver.

Given these factors, the Denver Nuggets are well-positioned to capitalize on their home-court advantage and secure a win against the Toronto Raptors. The combination of Jokic's leadership, the team's depth, and their historical success against Toronto makes the Nuggets a strong moneyline pick for this matchup.

Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets Top Player Prop Picks

Nikola Jokic Over 29.5 Points -111 (FanDuel)

Nikola Jokic has been a dominant force for the Denver Nuggets, consistently delivering high-scoring performances. In their recent victory over the Utah Jazz, Jokic nearly achieved a triple-double, showcasing his ability to control the game from the paint. His scoring prowess was also evident in the previous matchup against the Toronto Raptors on October 28, 2024, where he led the Nuggets with 40 points, including a crucial three-pointer in overtime. With the Raptors dealing with injuries to key players like Scottie Barnes and Kelly Olynyk, Jokic is poised to exploit these gaps and continue his scoring streak. The odds of -111 on FanDuel make this a compelling pick, as Jokic's offensive capabilities are likely to shine once again.

RJ Barrett Over 23.5 Points -115 (FanDuel)

RJ Barrett has been a consistent performer for the Toronto Raptors, stepping up in the absence of key players. In their recent overtime victory against the Sacramento Kings, Barrett was instrumental, scoring 31 points. His ability to deliver under pressure was also highlighted in the close game against the Denver Nuggets on October 28, 2024, where he contributed 20 points. With the Raptors relying heavily on Barrett due to injuries, he is expected to take on a significant scoring role once again. The odds of -115 on FanDuel reflect his potential to exceed the 23.5 points line, making this a strong prop bet.

Aaron Gordon Over 16.5 Points -104 (Caesars)

Aaron Gordon has been a key contributor for the Denver Nuggets, particularly in their recent games. In the matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves, Gordon showcased his shooting ability by going 5-for-7 from downtown, contributing to his double-double performance with 31 points. His scoring ability will be crucial against the Raptors, especially with Jamal Murray out due to concussion protocol. Gordon's role in the Nuggets' offense is likely to expand, providing him with ample opportunities to surpass the 16.5 points line. The odds of -104 on Caesars make this an attractive proposition, as Gordon's recent form suggests he is well-positioned to deliver another strong performance.