Week 14 is here and we're entering an interesting period of the season. With a 17 game schedule for each team, and 18 weeks in the regular season, weeks 14, 15 and 16 figure to be more competitive for some teams than they have been in recent years, with only 3 teams capable of cementing a playoff spot this week.

As always, Upset Watch is here to give you a handful of selections that are prime for underdog wins. With 3 wins in week 13, we've maintained a streak of at least 2 underdog victories every week of the season, so let's see if we can continue that at the business end of 2021.

 

Season Record:

Individual picks ($100 on each underdog win pick): +$1,905

Double Round Robin Picks ($10 on parlays of 2, covering every combination of underdog picks) +$1,062.88

Treble Round Robin Picks ($10 on parlays of 3, covering every combination of our underdog picks) +$1,447.13

Total of all parlays (doubles and trebles): +$2,510.01

Last week we got 3 more picks right, the Steelers, Patriots and Washington. It was a mixed bag, however, as our covers both lost, marking the first time in 2021 that we selected two teams to cover and both lost.

Some interesting stats to note - our 50% record of all our underdog picks is better than the 39% of underdog winners across the league. Essentially, if you picked the underdog in every game, you'd get 39% wins (and not make a profit!) but making between just 5 and 7 picks each week of the season so far, we've got 50% right, even though in theory, it is far harder to predict underdog victories than favorites.

 

Pro Update

I'm also please to tell you that we'll be adding some new features to your Pro subscription before Christmas. From week 16, you will be able to see which experts are hottest over the last 5 weeks from our main table, or even select your own timeframe to measure them over, while seeing every pick they make.

This feature will be exclusive to Pro members, and adds yet more value to what is already an extremely good value package! Our development will continue in January and all throughout the offseason, with our mobile app on the agenda soon!

If you have any suggestions, please send us an email at [email protected] -we'd love to hear your suggestions as to how we can improve the site!

Midseason Offer:

Get 50% off all Pro picks this week - subscribe to our annual package today and get 12 months for just $15 with the code

UPSET50

 

Week 14 Picks