In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	W/L	Odds	Return
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	L	+120	-5
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	L	+116	-5
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	+110	-5
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	L	+165	-5
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	L	+100	-5
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	L	+195	-5
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	W	+130	6.5
2	Best	New England	Miami	W	+110	5.5
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	L	+550	-5
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	L	+205	-5
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	W	+130	6.5
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	L	+160	-5
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	L	+140	-5
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	L	+100	-5
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	L	+114	-5
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	W	+195	9.75
4	Best	Carolina	New England	L	+205	-5
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	W	+135	6.75
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	W	+100	5
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	+130	-5
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	W	+130	6.5
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	W	+185	9.25
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	W	+165	8.25
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	W	+165	8.25
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	W	+350	17.5
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	W	+143	7.15
6	Best	New Orleans	New England	L	+168	-5
6	Best	Detroit	Kansas City	L	+120	-5
6	Best	Seattle	Jacksonville	W	+105	5.25
6	Other	Chicago	Washington	W	+210	10.5
6	Other	Atlanta	Buffalo	W	+190	9.5
7	Best	Atlanta	San Francisco	L	+140	-5
7	Best	Miami	Cleveland	L	+120	-5
7	Best	Indianapolis	LA Chargers	W	+120	6
7	Other	Tampa Bay	Detroit	L	+210	-5
7	Other	Jacksonville	LA Rams	L	+150	-5
7	Other	NY Giants	Denver	W*	+350	17.5
8	Best	Chicago	Baltimore	L	+270	-5
8	Best	Dallas	Denver	L	+150	-5
8	Best	San Francisco	Houston	L	+120	-5
8	Other	NY Giants	Philadelphia	L	+325	-5
9	Best	Atlanta	New England	L	+210	-5
9	Best	Buffalo	Kansas City	W	+115	5.75
9	Best	Denver	Houston	W	+110	5.5
9	Other	Cincinnati	Chicago	L	+125	-5
10	Best	Pittsburgh	LA Chargers	L	+150	-5
10	Best	Philadelphia	Green Bay	W	+125	6.25
10	Best	New England	Tampa Bay	W	+125	6.25
10	Other	Arizona	Seattle	L	+270	-5
10	Other	Minnesota	Baltimore	L	+210	-5
10	Other	Jacksonville	Houston	W*	+100	5
11	Best	Tampa Bay	Buffalo	L	+220	-5
11	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	+140	-5
11	Best	Detroit	Philadelphia	W	+125	6.25
11	Other	Seattle	LA Rams	L	+130	-5
11	Other	Carolina	Atlanta	W	+185	9.25
12	Best	Minnesota	Green Bay	L	+240	-5
12	Best	Indianapolis	Kansas City	L	+160	-5
12	Best	Atlanta	New Orleans	W	+125	6.25
12	Other	Cleveland	Las Vegas	W	+180	9
13	Best	Chicago	Philadelphia	W	+310	15.5
13	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	W	+300	15
13	Best	Houston	Indianapolis	W	+190	9.5
13	Other	New Orleans	Miami	L	+210	-5
13	Other	Pittsburgh	Buffalo	L	+160	-5
14	Best	Dallas	Detroit	L	+150	-5
14	Best	Cincinnati	Buffalo	L	+210	-5
14	Best	Houston	Kansas City	W	+185	9.25
14	Other	Washington	Minnesota	L	+110	-5
14	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	+120	-5
14	Other	Jacksonville	Indianapolis	W	+125	6.25
14	Other	Tennessee	Cleveland	W	+180	9
15	Best	Cincinnati	Baltimore	L	+225	-5
15	Best	New England	Buffalo	W*	+110	5.5
15	Best	Denver	Green Bay	W	+120	6
15	Other	Miami	Pittsburgh	L	+180	-5
15	Other	LA Chargers	Kansas City	W	+190	9.5
16	Best	New England	Baltimore	W	+180	9
16	Best	LA Rams	Seattle	L	+110	-5
16	Best	Tennessee	Kansas City	W	+165	8.25
16	Other	Jacksonville	Denver	W	+155	7.75
16	Other	Chicago	Green Bay	W	+102	5.1
16	Other	Carolina	Tampa Bay	W	+140	7
16	Other	LA Chargers	Dallas	W	+105	5.25

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: +12.5 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +50 units

Best bets Season record: 23-25 (47.9%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: +25 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +68 units

Other bets season record: 18-18 (50%)

Total week profit/loss: +37.4 units

Total Season profit/loss: +118 units

Total season record: 41-43 (48.8% +$2,360)

* Bets are placed with Bet365 which means if a team goes ahead by 17 points or more, our bet wins even if they subsequently lose.

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