Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees Player Props, Picks and Predictions - 8/26/2025 7:05 PM EDT

We have your Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Nationals hit the road to face the New York Yankees.

Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees Pick

Best Moneyline Odds: New York Yankees -180 (ESPN BET), Washington Nationals +158 (Caesars)
Best Spread Odds: New York Yankees -1.0 (-136 on BetRivers), Washington Nationals +1.5 (-134 on Fanduel)
Best Total Odds: Over 9.0 (-113 on BetRivers), Under 9.5 (-130 on ESPN BET)

Game Info

Date: August 26, 2025
Time: 7:05 PM EDT
Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
TV: MASN

Washington Nationals @ New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees (71-60) are set to host the Washington Nationals (53-78) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees come into this matchup on a two-game winning streak and have a strong 7-3 record over their last ten games. Their offense has been a dominant force this season, leading the league in slugging percentage and home runs, and ranking second in on-base percentage. Key players like Ben Rice, Jazz Chisholm Jr., and Jasson Domínguez showcased their power in the recent 10-5 victory over the Nationals, each hitting a home run. Right-hander Luis Gil (1-1, 4.26 ERA) will take the mound for New York. While his ERA is 4.26, the Yankees' pitching staff as a whole has been effective, holding opponents to a .230 batting average, which ranks fourth in the league. The Yankees will also see the return of shortstop Anthony Volpe, who was given a brief "reset" after a challenging stretch at the plate and defensively. Despite his recent struggles, Volpe has shown flashes of power with 18 home runs and 15 stolen bases this season.

The Washington Nationals, meanwhile, are looking to turn things around as they sit in fifth place in the NL East. They are currently on a three-game losing streak and have gone 4-6 in their last ten outings. Left-hander MacKenzie Gore (5-12, 4.11 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Nationals. Gore has faced a difficult period since the All-Star break, posting a 1-4 record with a concerning 7.88 ERA over his last seven starts. The Nationals' team ERA of 5.34 ranks 29th in the league, highlighting their pitching struggles. Offensively, the Nationals have shown some ability to get on base and create scoring opportunities, ranking 8th in doubles and 7th in stolen bases. They managed to score 5 runs on 9 hits in their recent loss to the Yankees, with Jacob Young contributing a home run and four RBIs. Despite their overall inconsistency, the Nationals' offense has performed decently on the road, scoring more than 3 runs in 8 of their last 9 away games.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

The New York Yankees and Washington Nationals recently faced off on August 25, 2025, with the Yankees securing a decisive 10-5 victory at home. Historically, the Yankees have had the upper hand in recent encounters, recording 14 wins against the Nationals, with 7 of those triumphs coming on their home turf. The Nationals have claimed 13 victories against the Yankees, with 6 of those wins occurring in away games. In head-to-head matchups, the home team has averaged 4.17 runs per game, while the visiting team has averaged 3.77 runs. Looking at betting trends, the Nationals have been strong against the spread (ATS) when playing the Yankees, holding a 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games against New York. Conversely, the Yankees are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games against Washington. The total has gone over in 7 of the Yankees' last 10 head-to-head games, while the Nationals have seen the total go over in 2 of their last 10 matchups against the Yankees, with 4 pushes.

Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline

widget-odds-mlb-su-12091-WSH-NYY

The New York Yankees Moneyline is the pick for this matchup. The Yankees are a formidable force at home, boasting a 38-28 record, and have won 57.4% of their games when favored this season. Their offense is elite, leading MLB in slugging percentage and home runs, and they demonstrated this power with a 10-5 win over the Nationals just yesterday. While Luis Gil's 4.26 ERA might seem a concern, the Yankees' pitching staff collectively limits opponents effectively. On the other side, MacKenzie Gore's recent struggles, marked by a 7.88 ERA over his last seven starts, present a significant advantage for the Yankees' potent lineup. The Nationals' overall team ERA of 5.34 is among the worst in the league, making it difficult for them to contain a high-octane offense like New York's. Sharp bettors are also heavily backing the Yankees, with a 61.13% sharp win percentage on their moneyline. My model projects a 6-4 Yankees victory, reinforcing the confidence in this pick.

Top Player Prop Picks

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases

widget-props-mlb-12091-6401766

Aaron Judge has an outstanding career history against Nationals starter MacKenzie Gore. In 6 plate appearances, Judge has collected 3 hits, including 2 home runs, resulting in an impressive 1.800 slugging percentage and a 0.930 wOBA. Given Gore's recent struggles on the mound and Yankee Stadium's favorable park factor for home runs, Judge is in an excellent position to record multiple bases in this game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has demonstrated power against MacKenzie Gore in their limited matchups, hitting 1 home run in 7 plate appearances with an .857 slugging percentage. Chisholm Jr. is also currently on a two-game home run streak, indicating he's seeing the ball well. As a key contributor to the Yankees' league-leading home run offense, and with the game being played in the HR-friendly Yankee Stadium, Chisholm Jr. is a strong candidate to go deep.

Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Runs Scored

widget-props-mlb-12091-6401780

Paul Goldschmidt has a solid career matchup against MacKenzie Gore, with a .286 batting average and a .429 slugging percentage in 8 plate appearances. He has shown an ability to get on base against Gore, with a 0% strikeout rate and a 12.5% walk rate. Batting near the top of the Yankees' high-powered lineup, which ranks first in slugging and second in on-base percentage, Goldschmidt will have ample opportunities to be driven in by the strong hitters behind him, making him a good bet to score at least one run.