Hello again! Here is my Super Bowl 59 confidence level pick. My Conference Championship picks last week went 1-1, bringing the overall 2024 record to 202-82.
This week’s pick will be available exclusively to Pickwatch VIP subscribers. Pickwatch VIP is a great service that allows subscribers to download the best expert data in the industry, see team-by-team winners for every expert, and provides access to Upset Watch, which has been the ultimate cheat code to beat the sportsbooks over the last seven years. Combine those elements with my weekly picks and it makes for a must-subscribe service for anyone serious about betting.
Now let’s get to the Super Bowl 59 pick!
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia
Kansas City’s formula for success over the years has been Patrick Mahomes leading a powerhouse offense to post high point totals and the Chiefs defense preventing games from turning into shootouts. That latter element way key because it used to be that the Chiefs did not fare well in shootout games (defined as contests where both teams score 24+ points).
The Kansas City offense hasn’t been at quite the same level this season as it was in past years, so it may seem that is not the formula this year, but the reality is it still is the way this team wins. The Chiefs have scored 26 or more points in ten of their 18 meaningful games and tallied fewer than 21 points in only four meaningful games. This club has also fared quite well in shootouts, going 4-0 in those types of contests (including the 32-29 win over Buffalo in the AFC Championship).
KC's Super Bowl 59 pick is available exclusively to Pickwatch Pro subscribers
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