KC Joyner's Super Bowl preview: Part 1: Points total over/under picks
KC Joyner, the Football Scientist, writes exclusively for Pickwatch. In part 1 of his Super Bowl preview, he breaks down the numbers to make a points total pick...
The Super Bowl is the biggest betting event of the football season and this year’s matchup of the Kansas City Chiefs against the Philadelphia Eagles, the No. 1 seeds in their respective conferences, could make that wager volume even higher than usual.
My article series usually covers confidence level picks on individual games, but since there is only one game this week, it will be a two-part article that covers a variety of wager types on Super Bowl LVII that have a confidence level of 6+ (a series of picks that went 62-28-1 (68.9 percent) this year (including a 4-0 mark in the postseason).
This first article of that series will review points-level wagers, a list that includes total points and alternate total points.
Total Points Overview
The consensus over/under in total points for this matchup is 50.5 points.There are many angles to this one, so let’s take start with the fact that the consensus for the over/under in total points for Super Bowl LVII is 50.5 points. That is tied for the highest over/under in total points for the Eagles this season (the Week 2 matchup against Minnesota being the other) but is the 11th lowest over/under that Kansas City has seen this year (per Pro Football Reference). This indicates that the sports betting public has met these clubs’ seasonal over/under points trends in the middle.
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