In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	Odds	Decimal Odds	W/L	Unit Stake	Return
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	110	2.1	L	5	-5
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	116	2.16	L	5	-5
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	120	2.2	L	5	-5
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	100	2	L	5	-5
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	165	2.65	L	5	-5
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	195	2.95	L	5	-5
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	130	2.3	W	5	6.5
2	Best	New England	Miami	110	2.1	W	5	5.5
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	205	3.05	L	5	-5
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	130	2.3	W	5	6.5
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	550	6.5	L	5	-5
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	160	2.6	L	5	-5
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	140	2.4	L	5	-5
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	100	2	L	5	-5
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	195	2.95	W	5	9.75
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	114	2.14	L	5	-5
4	Best	Carolina	New England	205	3.05	L	5	-5
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	100	2	W	5	5
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	135	2.35	W	5	6.75
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	130	2.3	L	5	-5
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	130	2.3	W	5	6.5
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	165	2.65	W	5	8.25
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	185	2.85	W	5	9.25
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	165	2.65	W	5	8.25
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	350	4.5	W	5	17.5
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	143	2.43	W	5	7.15

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: +25.75 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +9.5 units

Best bets Season record: 7-8 (46.7%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: +24.65 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +17.4 units

Other bets season record: 5-6 (45.5%)

Total week profit/loss: +50.4 units

Total Season profit/loss: +26.9 units

Total season record: 12-14 (46.2%)

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Weekly Profit Record