In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	W/L	Odds	Unit Stake	Return
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	110	5	-5
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	L	116	5	-5
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	L	120	5	-5
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	L	100	5	-5
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	L	165	5	-5
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	L	195	5	-5
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	W	130	5	6.5
2	Best	New England	Miami	W	110	5	5.5
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	L	205	5	-5
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	W	130	5	6.5
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	L	550	5	-5
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	L	160	5	-5
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	L	140	5	-5
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	L	100	5	-5
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	W	195	5	9.75
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	L	114	5	-5
4	Best	Carolina	New England	L	205	5	-5
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	W	100	5	5
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	W	135	5	6.75
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	130	5	-5
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	W	130	5	6.5
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	W	165	5	8.25
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	W	185	5	9.25
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	W	165	5	8.25
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	W	350	5	17.5
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	W	143	5	7.15
6	Best	Seattle	Jacksonville	W	105	5	5.25
6	Best	New Orleans	New England	L	168	5	-5
6	Best	Detroit	Kansas City	L	120	5	-5
6	Other	Atlanta	Buffalo	W	190	5	9.5
6	Other	Chicago	Washington	W	210	5	10.5

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: -4.75 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +4.75 units

Best bets Season record: 8-10 (44.4%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: +20 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +37.4 units

Other bets season record: 7-6 (53.8%)

Total week profit/loss: +15.25 units

Total Season profit/loss: +42.2 units

Total season record: 15-16 (48.4%)

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Weekly Profit Record