In the interests of transparency, Upset Watch is the only column that posts every pick we make and the resulting profit and loss. To make a profit on 3 bets each week, with odds of +150 on average, you'd need to win around 40% of your bets over the course of a season. The aim of the column is not to win every bet, it's to win enough over the season that we make a profit.

How you use the information in Upset Watch is up to you. We publish this information so you can decide the appropriate level of risk to take for yourself.

Week	Type	Team	Opponent	W/L	Odds	Unit Stake	Return
1	Best	Chicago	Minnesota	L	110	5	-5
1	Best	Seattle	San Francisco	L	116	5	-5
1	Best	Atlanta	Tampa Bay	L	120	5	-5
1	Other	Miami	Indianapolis	L	100	5	-5
1	Other	Carolina	Jacksonville	L	165	5	-5
2	Best	San Francisco	New Orleans	L	195	5	-5
2	Best	Tampa Bay	Houston	W	130	5	6.5
2	Best	New England	Miami	W	110	5	5.5
2	Other	Chicago	Detroit	L	205	5	-5
2	Other	Cleveland	Baltimore	L	550	5	-5
2	Other	Seattle	Pittsburgh	W	130	5	6.5
3	Best	Las Vegas	Washington	L	160	5	-5
3	Best	Cincinnati	Minnesota	L	140	5	-5
3	Best	Dallas	Chicago	L	100	5	-5
3	Other	Arizona	San Francisco	L	114	5	-5
3	Other	Detroit	Baltimore	W	195	5	9.75
4	Best	Carolina	New England	L	205	5	-5
4	Best	Chicago	Las Vegas	W	100	5	5
4	Best	Pittsburgh	Minnesota	W	135	5	6.75
4	Other	New York Jets	Miami	L	130	5	-5
4	Other	Kansas City	Baltimore	W	130	5	6.5
5	Best	Jacksonville	Kansas City	W	165	5	8.25
5	Best	Denver	Philadelphia	W	185	5	9.25
5	Best	Tampa Bay	Seattle	W	165	5	8.25
5	Other	New England	Buffalo	W	350	5	17.5
5	Other	Washington	LA Chargers	W	143	5	7.15
6	Best	New Orleans	New England	L	168	5	-5
6	Best	Detroit	Kansas City	L	120	5	-5
6	Best	Seattle	Jacksonville	W	105	5	5.25
6	Other	Atlanta	Buffalo	W	190	5	9.5
6	Other	Chicago	Washington	W	210	5	10.5
7	Best	Indianapolis	LA Chargers	W	120	5	6
7	Best	Atlanta	San Francisco	L	140	5	-5
7	Best	Miami	Cleveland	L	120	5	-5
7	Other	NY Giants	Denver	W*	350	5	17.5
7	Other	Jacksonville	LA Rams	L	150	5	-5
7	Other	Tampa Bay	Detroit	L	210	5	-5

*Note for week 7

I have included the Giants as a win. This is tricky. I won. many others won, because they use a sportsbook we recommend, such as Bet365 or Fanatics, which pays out when their team goes up by 17 points or more at any stage. Draftkings, ESPNBet and BetMGM also offer similar promotions.

It was such a big win for me and many others (and in spirit, a hell of a pick!), that I couldn't completely ignore it, and as this chart is for reference only, you are free to adjust by the -17.5 units. I'll keep this disclaimer under all future weeks too, in the interest of transparency. Again, use Bet365, they're great for this.

Best Bet unit profit/loss for week: -4 units

Best bets unit profit/loss on season: +0.75 units

Best bets Season record: 9-12 (42.8%)

Other underdog bets unit profit/loss week: +7.5 units

Other bets unit profit/loss on season: +44.9 units

Other bets season record: 8-8 (50.0%)

Total week profit/loss: +3.5 units

Total Season profit/loss: +45.7 units

Total season record: 17-20 (45.9%)

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